Northwest Nazarene
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 968 (#247) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 1007 (#173) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | +12.1 (#83) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β | 0.452 (#379) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More β | 0.571 (#201) | NetEff +2.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More β | 0.738 (#303) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More β | 0.753 (#302) | AdjNet +9.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More β | 0.623 (#312) | AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 68.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | W | 83 - 69 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Stanislaus St. | W | 88 - 53 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Oregon St. | L | 52 - 80 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Westmont | L | 68 - 85 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Vanguard | W | 56 - 53 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | W | 77 - 60 |
| 2024-11-29 | vs | Point Loma | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | CUI | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Central Wash. | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | MSU Denver | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 115 - 90 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Western Wash. | W | 63 - 51 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Simon Fraser | W | 81 - 55 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Seattle Pacific | W | 88 - 84 |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Western Ore. | W | 74 - 68 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Saint Martin's | L | 58 - 79 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 80 - 68 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 47 - 86 |
| 2025-02-06 | vs | Simon Fraser | W | 90 - 82 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Western Wash. | L | 64 - 67 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Pedrojetti | - | 1 | 33.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | -29 | -1.2 | -1.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -0.02 | 69.8 | 67.9 |
| Kendall Clark | - | 19 | 26.2 | 15.3 | 7.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 11.1 | 11.7 | 37 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 60.2 | 0.0 | 72.5 | 0.07 | 62.3 | 60.2 |
| Libby Stump | - | 1 | 29.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | -36 | -1.6 | -1.7 | 54.5 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.15 | 58.8 | 59.1 |
| Demi Dykstra | - | 1 | 37.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | -68 | -1.8 | -1.7 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.01 | 51.3 | 45.5 |
| MilaSarai Tau | - | 1 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | -32 | -1.3 | -2.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 40.0 | -0.81 | 49.2 | 50.0 |
| Enid Vaifanua | - | 1 | 38.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 13 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.15 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Alyson Deaver | - | 1 | 27.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | -21 | -0.7 | -0.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.17 | 57.7 | 50.0 |
| Madeline Gebers | - | 20 | 24.6 | 11.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 9.8 | 8.2 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 36.4 | 36.8 | 73.7 | -0.15 | 51.6 | 47.4 |
| Maddy Grandbois | - | 1 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 40 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.54 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Chloe Deharo | - | 20 | 23.8 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 6.4 | 8.2 | 49 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 30.5 | 29.8 | 91.4 | 0.51 | 51.6 | 37.1 |
| Kate Clark | - | 20 | 24.6 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 29 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 44.2 | 37.7 | 63.2 | 0.13 | 56.3 | 54.3 |
| Mya India Thomas | - | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -14 | -0.4 | -0.9 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.56 | 62.1 | 58.3 |
| Mason Oberg | - | 1 | 33.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.09 | 40.5 | 41.7 |
| Loy Waid | - | 20 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 22 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 43.0 | 22.2 | 88.6 | 0.2 | 51.6 | 44.0 |
| Natalie Brown | - | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | -21 | -0.8 | -0.7 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.01 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Ciona Wells | - | 1 | 37.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -14 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.41 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Olivia Wikstrom | - | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -9 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.06 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Beaux Bruegman | - | 20 | 15.2 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 18 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 44.6 | 28.6 | 61.5 | 0.64 | 51.6 | 49.5 |
| Shawnacee Davis | - | 20 | 16.2 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 55 | 2.1 | 4.0 | 39.1 | 18.5 | 50.0 | 0.43 | 42.7 | 41.3 |
| Danika Starr | - | 20 | 12.8 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 5.0 | -32 | -0.9 | -2.4 | 44.7 | 41.2 | 62.5 | -0.09 | 54.3 | 52.9 |
| Rylie Edlefsen | - | 20 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 58 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 33.3 | 25.6 | 91.7 | 0.62 | 45.8 | 41.3 |
| Jadyn Watts | - | 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 49 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.22 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| JenΓΒ© Wells | - | 18 | 16.4 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.6 | -35 | -1.0 | -2.5 | 29.2 | 20.0 | 81.2 | -0.52 | 38.2 | 30.2 |
| JenΓ© Wells | - | 18 | 16.4 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.7 | -35 | -1.0 | -2.5 | 29.2 | 20.0 | 81.2 | -0.52 | 38.2 | 30.2 |
| Sadi Clemons | - | 20 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.9 | -12 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 53.3 | 0.0 | 52.6 | 0.01 | 54.7 | 53.3 |
| De'Andrea Woods-Singleton | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -6 | -0.4 | -1.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.03 | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Elliett Lee | - | 20 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 8 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 27.3 | 27.3 | 50.0 | 0.07 | 43.1 | 40.9 |
| Hallee Schelhaas | - | 9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Aly Herber | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Salma Youngblood | - | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Violeta Gluvic | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brianna Badonie | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Selai Niu | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -22 | -0.8 | -1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kortlin Allen | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19 | 2.7 | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Anna VanderYacht | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylyn Arosemena | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ellie Croco | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aspen Garrison | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -32 | -2.7 | -3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 |
| Ellee Brockman | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CC Size | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG