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Northwest Nazarene

Also known as: Northwest Nazarene
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1001 (#181) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1049 (#134) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +10.7 (#75) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.710 (#208) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.3 More → 0.668 (#133) NetEff +6.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.2 More → 0.837 (#207) AdjNet +14.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.5 More → 0.843 (#207) AdjNet +14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 67.3 More → 0.713 (#223) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 67.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Bushnell W 78 - 65
2024-11-12 vs Col. of Idaho W 69 - 66
2024-11-15 vs Northern St. W 68 - 66
2024-11-22 vs Westmont L 82 - 84
2024-11-23 vs Jessup W 70 - 58
2024-12-05 vs Western Wash. W 75 - 74
2024-12-07 vs Simon Fraser W 73 - 68
2024-12-14 vs Northwest Mo. St. W 64 - 58
2024-12-17 @ Cal State LA W 76 - 66
2024-12-20 @ Biola W 80 - 68
2025-01-04 vs Central Wash. W 85 - 78
2025-01-09 @ Alas. Anchorage W 71 - 63
2025-01-11 @ Alas. Fairbanks L 62 - 71
2025-01-16 vs Mont. St. Billings W 76 - 70
2025-01-18 vs Seattle Pacific W 67 - 55
2025-01-23 @ Western Ore. W 84 - 60
2025-01-25 @ Saint Martin's L 54 - 58
2025-02-01 @ Central Wash. L 88 - 91
2025-02-06 vs Alas. Fairbanks W 78 - 70
2025-02-08 vs Alas. Anchorage W 72 - 51
2025-02-13 @ Seattle Pacific L 62 - 72
2025-02-15 @ Mont. St. Billings L 73 - 77
2025-02-20 vs Saint Martin's W 68 - 63
2025-02-22 vs Western Ore. W 74 - 62
2025-02-27 @ Simon Fraser W 69 - 68
2025-03-01 @ Western Wash. W 86 - 83
2025-03-07 vs Seattle Pacific L 68 - 73
2025-03-14 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 59 - 66

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kye Dickson - 28 33.3 18.5 8.1 1.9 0.8 0.7 2.7 12.8 14.6 -3 -0.1 -0.3 47.4 37.9 75.5 0.89 58.6 52.4
Ryzin Bergersen - 28 35.6 10.6 4.1 2.9 1.9 0.2 1.0 10.0 8.8 36 1.6 3.8 35.8 29.6 63.9 1.07 47.6 44.8
Yaru Harvey - 28 28.6 10.4 3.4 3.5 1.7 0.2 2.8 7.6 8.8 -15 -0.6 -1.9 46.3 21.4 69.9 0.93 54.1 47.7
Sullivan Menard - 28 22.7 8.9 2.4 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.8 6.9 5.8 2 0.1 0.3 33.2 34.2 82.6 0.31 54.2 46.4
Briggs Ranstrom - 27 28.0 8.9 5.5 1.7 1.5 0.9 1.2 6.7 10.5 -42 -1.2 -5.7 50.3 29.3 64.8 0.2 58.4 56.4
Easton Reagan - 28 17.3 7.1 3.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.6 6.1 4.9 -24 -1.0 -7.0 47.4 35.3 69.2 0.37 54.3 52.6
Zane Foster - 28 16.4 5.3 4.6 0.3 0.2 1.1 0.7 3.9 7.0 6 0.3 1.9 58.3 0.0 50.0 0.32 58.1 58.3
Nathan Perez - 14 7.9 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.5 2.6 1.3 - - - 38.9 40.9 100.0 - 54.3 51.4
Rayzhon Bergersen - 19 17.1 1.6 1.1 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.6 31 2.6 15.2 28.9 24.0 42.9 0.11 37.7 36.8
Teagen Hoard - 28 2.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 -11 -1.0 -21.9 40.0 33.3 100.0 -0.58 59.5 50.0
Cyrus Turley - 27 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Blaine Granberg - 22 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cameron Holliway - 21 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Brycen Mackenzie - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aaron Murphy - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Parker Martens - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cade Rubright - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG