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Northwest Mo. St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Northwest Mo. St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 982 (#199) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1065 (#112) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +13.5 (#71) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.688 (#293) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.9 More → 0.441 (#236) NetEff -1.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.7 More → 0.925 (#187) AdjNet +21.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.6 More → 0.934 (#180) AdjNet +22.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 53.1 More → 0.789 (#178) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 53.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-02 @ Ashland W 57 - 49
2024-11-03 vs Texas Woman's L 41 - 58
2024-11-08 vs MSU Moorhead W 54 - 47
2024-11-09 vs Minnesota St. W 85 - 67
2024-11-14 vs Rockhurst W 66 - 51
2024-11-15 vs Graceland (IA) W 85 - 54
2024-11-23 @ William Jewell W 80 - 55
2024-11-30 vs Mission U. W 75 - 59
2024-12-03 vs Missouri Western L 48 - 57
2024-12-05 @ Emporia St. L 66 - 75
2024-12-19 @ Colorado Mesa L 45 - 64
2024-12-20 @ Nova Southeastern L 57 - 73
2025-01-02 vs Fort Hays St. L 60 - 70
2025-01-04 vs Neb.-Kearney L 46 - 48
2025-01-09 @ Central Mo. W 66 - 58
2025-01-11 @ Washburn W 66 - 61
2025-01-16 @ Neb.-Kearney L 64 - 71
2025-01-18 @ Fort Hays St. L 60 - 84
2025-01-22 vs Washburn L 60 - 71
2025-01-25 vs Central Mo. W 75 - 57
2025-02-01 @ Missouri Western L 66 - 69
2025-02-06 @ Central Okla. L 44 - 61
2025-02-08 @ Rogers St. W 76 - 73
2025-02-13 vs Mo. Southern St. W 62 - 54
2025-02-15 vs Pittsburg St. L 59 - 61
2025-02-20 @ Northeastern St. W 53 - 45
2025-02-22 @ Ark.-Fort Smith L 47 - 56
2025-02-27 vs Newman W 82 - 76
2025-03-01 vs Emporia St. W 70 - 51
2025-03-05 vs Mo. Southern St. L 50 - 59
2025-10-31 vs Adams St. L 51 - 56

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Andrea Lopreato - 1 22.7 16.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 12.0 5.0 -39 -3.5 -5.5 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.08 58.1 50.0
Hayley Smith - 1 26.0 14.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 17.0 9.0 193 5.4 6.8 35.3 25.0 50.0 1.34 39.1 38.2
Caely Kesten - 30 30.0 13.7 2.8 2.0 0.7 0.3 2.4 10.7 6.4 -5 -0.2 -0.2 43.2 42.9 87.0 -0.26 58.3 54.5
Molly Hartnett - 30 31.4 12.0 5.0 3.6 0.8 0.2 1.9 10.2 9.4 44 1.5 1.3 37.1 20.4 84.8 0.32 49.2 40.2
Lydia Sweeney - 1 32.0 12.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 12.0 4.0 138 4.1 4.5 41.7 0.0 50.0 0.63 43.6 41.7
Zoe Miller - 1 32.0 12.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 7.0 108 3.1 3.0 41.7 0.0 100.0 0.3 46.6 41.7
Sarah Mckee - 1 20.0 10.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 7.0 99 2.8 4.6 50.0 50.0 0 0.41 62.5 62.5
Kelsey Fields - 30 24.8 9.3 8.1 0.7 0.6 0.6 1.3 7.3 10.6 34 1.1 1.3 49.3 9.1 58.1 0.03 52.4 49.5
Kirsten Hauck - 1 35.1 8.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 -68 -1.8 -2.1 60.0 0.0 100.0 -0.26 68.0 60.0
Emree Zars - 30 25.8 6.5 4.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.2 7.4 3.3 50 1.7 1.8 33.8 25.9 66.7 0.57 41.0 38.5
Lindsey Kelderman - 30 25.1 6.4 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.7 6.7 2.8 -2 -0.1 -0.1 33.2 38.1 62.5 -0.0 45.9 45.0
Sadie Maas - 31 17.7 4.6 4.2 0.3 0.2 1.6 0.7 3.7 6.4 -5 -0.1 -0.2 56.0 0 48.0 0.45 55.9 56.0
Brooklyn Stanley - 31 16.8 3.0 2.6 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.7 3.5 2.6 8 0.2 0.4 31.8 22.6 50.0 0.23 39.0 37.3
Aaliyah Riley - 25 8.9 2.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.0 2.0 0.8 1 0.1 0.1 42.9 0.0 58.1 0.24 47.9 42.9
Ella Moody - 31 4.9 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.3 -26 -0.9 -3.1 30.2 25.0 72.2 -0.19 38.6 32.1
Peyton Kelderman - 30 5.5 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.5 0.7 8 0.3 1.7 33.3 32.4 80.0 0.06 48.7 46.7
Kenzie Melcher - 6 5.0 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.7 0.0 -25 -5.0 -5.0 20.0 14.3 75.0 -0.38 34.0 25.0
Evelyn Vazquez - 28 5.3 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.4 28 1.8 6.5 30.3 40.0 31.2 0.25 33.7 33.3
Morgan Yoder - 1 36.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 8.0 131 3.6 3.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.18 26.6 0.0
Avery Yosten - 6 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 -13 -1.2 -2.7 50.0 0.0 0 0.09 50.0 50.0
Kendall Clatt - 29 2.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 17 1.2 13.1 26.3 27.8 50.0 0.12 40.2 39.5
Laini Joseph - 22 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 -48 -3.4 -8.1 27.3 0.0 100.0 -0.76 30.6 27.3
Annastyn Pettlon - 29 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.1 - - - 28.6 20.0 0 - 35.7 35.7
Maggie Collins - 6 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -9 -0.8 -1.7 0 0 50.0 -0.35 56.8 0
Aliyah Al-Hameed - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kylie Leibacher - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 19 0.7 2.9 0.0 0 0 -0.36 0.0 0.0
Gia Casalinova - 1 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 147 3.5 7.4 0.0 0 0 1.0 0.0 0.0
Corri Vermilya - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8 0.2 0.6 0.0 0 0 -0.2 0.0 0.0
Ashley Mullet - 1 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -5.0 122 2.8 3.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.88 0.0 0.0
Reese Pasternik - 1 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -4.0 -1 -0.1 -0.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.17 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG