Northwest Mo. St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 976 (#328) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1056 (#178) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1024 (#219) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.8 (#98) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.6 (#189) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.688 (#293) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.748 (#209) | NetEff +8.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.925 (#187) | AdjNet +21.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.934 (#180) | AdjNet +22.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.789 (#178) | AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 53.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.663 (#108) | AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 54.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.749 (#141) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.735 (#142) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1089 (#125) | RD 94 | GP 26 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | @ | West Tex. A&M | L | 51 - 67 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | N.M. Highlands | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Sioux Falls | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 46 - 48 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Rockhurst | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Lincoln (MO) | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | William Jewell | W | 70 - 44 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Graceland (IA) | W | 69 - 52 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Emporia St. | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Western N.M. | W | 76 - 44 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Baker | W | 73 - 36 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 90 - 63 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Eastern N.M. | W | 52 - 48 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Fort Hays St. | L | 71 - 84 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 49 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Washburn | W | 65 - 61 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | L | 51 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Fort Hays St. | L | 46 - 60 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Washburn | L | 38 - 45 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Central Mo. | L | 59 - 77 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Missouri Western | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Central Okla. | W | 57 - 40 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Rogers St. | W | 65 - 55 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Sears | - | 1 | 32.0 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 57 | 2.6 | 9.3 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -0.24 | 67.2 | 64.3 |
| Tara Biocanin | - | 1 | 28.0 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 107 | 5.1 | 19.2 | 80.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 4.28 | 80.8 | 80.0 |
| Gosia Byczkowska | - | 1 | 35.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 71.4 | 0 | - | 94.4 | 94.4 |
| Lucia Yenes | - | 3 | 22.6 | 15.3 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 10.7 | 14.7 | - | - | - | 53.1 | 33.3 | 91.7 | - | 61.7 | 54.7 |
| Imani Warren | - | 3 | 27.3 | 13.3 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 6.0 | 10.3 | 11.3 | - | - | - | 48.4 | 0.0 | 58.8 | - | 52.0 | 48.4 |
| Bailey Birmingham | - | 19 | 30.5 | 12.1 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 32 | 1.5 | 8.4 | 34.5 | 33.9 | 87.9 | 0.75 | 51.5 | 45.2 |
| Andrea Lopreato | - | 17 | 21.5 | 11.5 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 17 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 36.2 | 26.3 | 86.7 | -0.47 | 47.3 | 37.6 |
| Kirsten Hauck | - | 19 | 30.5 | 8.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 7.9 | 3.1 | 24 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 37.3 | 38.2 | 80.8 | 1.2 | 51.7 | 48.7 |
| Kenzie Melcher | - | 6 | 26.3 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.8 | 2.3 | -12 | -1.7 | -6.7 | 34.0 | 30.8 | 100.0 | 0.34 | 47.5 | 45.3 |
| Jillian Aschoff | - | 1 | 37.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 13.0 | 52 | 2.7 | 7.5 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.27 | 26.7 | 26.7 |
| Senoj Jones | - | 2 | 15.9 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 7.5 | -20 | -1.0 | -11.5 | 55.6 | 0 | 57.1 | 0.18 | 57.9 | 55.6 |
| Sadie Maas | - | 19 | 26.3 | 6.4 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 10.7 | 51 | 2.2 | 11.5 | 51.5 | 50.0 | 60.9 | 0.68 | 53.5 | 51.9 |
| Boston Wand | - | 19 | 21.9 | 6.4 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6.3 | 6.7 | -12 | -0.5 | -4.8 | 48.3 | 0.0 | 17.9 | -1.77 | 45.7 | 48.3 |
| Avery Yosten | - | 18 | 15.1 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 42 | 1.9 | 21.4 | 38.3 | 19.2 | 55.1 | 1.67 | 45.0 | 41.0 |
| Anna Csenyi | - | 3 | 22.4 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 29.2 | 13.3 | 50.0 | - | 34.2 | 33.3 |
| Morane Dossou | - | 3 | 16.6 | 5.7 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 100.0 | 0.0 | - | 58.9 | 60.7 |
| Marta Guilera | - | 2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 53.3 | 55.6 |
| Loes Rozing | - | 3 | 26.0 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 60.0 | 75.0 | - | 58.1 | 54.2 |
| Ella Moody | - | 14 | 15.8 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.2 | 1.7 | -22 | -1.4 | -11.0 | 35.6 | 36.4 | 78.9 | -0.44 | 43.6 | 38.4 |
| Lucia Lara | - | 3 | 12.2 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 63.0 | 66.7 |
| Brooklyn Stanley | - | 19 | 15.9 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 35 | 1.5 | 10.3 | 40.3 | 25.0 | 57.1 | 2.26 | 46.9 | 45.2 |
| Keira Hudson | - | 3 | 13.9 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 3.3 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0.0 | 87.5 | - | 39.1 | 12.5 |
| Emma Christiano | - | 3 | 22.7 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 8.7 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | - | 39.3 | 40.9 |
| Myleigh Weers | - | 1 | 29.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | -8.0 | 106 | 5.3 | 15.0 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.34 | 15.2 | 11.1 |
| Saniya Simmons | - | 1 | 29.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 82 | 4.6 | 22.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -1.39 | 26.0 | 0.0 |
| Maggie Collins | - | 19 | 16.1 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 6.1 | 32 | 1.4 | 12.3 | 55.3 | 11.1 | 52.6 | -1.42 | 57.2 | 56.6 |
| Iyana Beh | - | 3 | 9.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Andrea Simmons | - | 7 | 8.9 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.1 | 4.1 | 28.6 | 18.2 | 50.0 | -0.51 | 37.0 | 35.7 |
| Reese Pasternik | - | 13 | 8.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.7 | -1.6 | -5 | -0.3 | -5.1 | 17.1 | 13.6 | 33.3 | -0.26 | 22.0 | 21.4 |
| Nikki Stanic | - | 3 | 8.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 14.3 | 0 | - | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| DeAvion Wilson | - | 3 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 21.8 | 16.7 |
| Paige Horne | - | 1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 32 | 1.8 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.44 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Abigail Richter | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 32 | 2.9 | 138.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG