Northwest Mo. St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 959 (#465) | - |
| Margin Recency | +7.5 (#198) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.560 (#196) | AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 70.9 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.645 (#194) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.619 (#211) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.732 (#196) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 1014 (#211) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | W | 82 - 79 |
| 2025-11-04 | vs | Adams St. | W | 83 - 72 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | N.M. Highlands | W | 74 - 58 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | St. Cloud St. | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Augustana (SD) | W | 85 - 72 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Missouri Valley | W | 71 - 47 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Northern St. | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | York (NE) | W | 97 - 59 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 77 - 99 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Emporia St. | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Missouri S&T | L | 54 - 80 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Kan. Wesleyan | W | 96 - 58 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | William Jewell | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Fort Hays St. | L | 50 - 67 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | W | 100 - 94 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 72 - 76 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Washburn | L | 53 - 76 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | L | 89 - 96 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Fort Hays St. | L | 50 - 66 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Washburn | L | 44 - 94 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Central Mo. | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Missouri Western | L | 65 - 84 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Central Okla. | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Rogers St. | L | 69 - 77 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles, with four dividers separating the position buckets.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest Mo. St. | - | 2 | 200.0 | 63.5 | 35.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 56.0 | 47.0 | - | - | - | 33.9 | 27.5 | 80.4 | - | 48.0 | 40.2 |
| Royce Williams | - | 2 | 32.5 | 20.5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 45.5 | 100.0 | - | 70.0 | 60.4 |
| Aiden Gair | - | 2 | 32.4 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 14.0 | -4.0 | - | - | - | 21.4 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 31.2 | 28.6 |
| Trey Moala | - | 2 | 32.4 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 91.6 | 100.0 |
| Matthew Mayes | - | 2 | 23.3 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 20.0 | 44.4 | - | 35.8 | 32.4 |
| Larenz Walters | - | 2 | 19.4 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 57.4 | 45.0 |
| Robert Garcia | - | 2 | 21.6 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 26.7 | 28.6 | 75.0 | - | 38.8 | 33.3 |
| Mikhail Abdul-Hamid | - | 1 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Jack Ratigan | - | 2 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Presley Ibeh | - | 1 | 11.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Booker Scheierman | - | 1 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Osa Obasohan | - | 2 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG