Northwest (WA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1030 (#139) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1020 (#231) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1001 (#272) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.9 (#212) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.128 (#517) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.421 (#450) | AdjNet -2.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.425 (#450) | AdjNet -2.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.466 (#444) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 72.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.559 (#198) | AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 69.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.546 (#281) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.539 (#283) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 993 (#235) | RD 284 | GP 3 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 49 - 50 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 52 - 71 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Central Wash. | W | 82 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Swillie | - | 1 | 35.1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 44 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 75.0 | -0.57 | 53.9 | 50.0 |
| Bishop Tosi | - | 1 | 31.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 117 | 4.9 | 19.8 | 60.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.66 | 63.8 | 60.0 |
| Caleb Whalen | - | 1 | 34.3 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 37.6 | 16.7 |
| Chae Haynes | - | 1 | 23.1 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | -25 | -1.1 | -7.1 | 54.5 | 0 | 14.3 | 1.17 | 46.2 | 54.5 |
| Eli Williams | - | 1 | 32.9 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | -11 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 85.7 | 0.62 | 49.7 | 33.3 |
| Matt Amano | - | 1 | 15.3 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 55.7 | 50.0 |
| Garrett Marrs | - | 1 | 31.3 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 51 | 2.2 | 13.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.13 | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Sylas Williams | - | 1 | 36.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 171 | 8.1 | 31.0 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.38 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Jalen Childs | - | 1 | 29.9 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 9 | 0.4 | 4.1 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.04 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Hasaan Herrington | - | 1 | 25.9 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 170 | 7.1 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 1.89 | 58.9 | 50.0 |
| Luke Johnston | - | 1 | 22.1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Cole Johnson | - | 1 | 22.1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 92 | 3.8 | 18.9 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.18 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Akok Machar | - | 1 | 32.8 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 68 | 2.8 | 10.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.26 | 44.4 | 20.0 |
| Filip Mugosa | - | 1 | 24.6 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Bralyn Smith | - | 1 | 17.8 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 13 | 2.2 | 264.4 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.32 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
| Calvin Sisk | - | 1 | 14.7 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 67 | 3.0 | 23.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Shane McGaughey-Fick | - | 1 | 12.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Jamari Harris | - | 1 | 15.3 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 18 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.83 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Elijah Mobley | - | 1 | 18.9 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -20 | -0.8 | -6.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 3.32 | 21.0 | 0.0 |
| Devin Wade-Henderson | - | 1 | 22.7 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Jeremiah Coleman | - | 1 | 17.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -35 | -1.8 | -46.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.15 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zach Ibbetson | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -55 | -2.6 | -26.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| John McFadden | - | 1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -28 | -1.2 | -11.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lyman Simmons | - | 1 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -32 | -3.6 | -93.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.36 | 0 | 0 |
| Jesse Stines | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Trent Williams | - | 1 | 25.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -6.0 | 42 | 3.2 | 14.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.23 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dominic Wilson | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nash Wobrock | - | 1 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG