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Northern St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northern St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 972 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 987 (#181) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +18.2 (#27) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.648 (#304) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.6 More → 0.800 (#121) NetEff +11.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.3 More → 0.937 (#170) AdjNet +23.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.0 More → 0.944 (#167) AdjNet +24.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 58.3 More → 0.804 (#166) AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 58.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Pittsburg St. L 55 - 85
2024-11-09 vs Neb.-Kearney L 65 - 69
2024-11-15 @ Black Hills St. W 72 - 60
2024-11-16 @ South Dakota Mines W 82 - 68
2024-11-21 vs Mary W 73 - 71
2024-11-29 @ Hawaii Hilo W 72 - 47
2024-11-30 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 43 - 60
2024-12-05 @ MSU Moorhead L 70 - 73
2024-12-13 @ Bemidji St. W 77 - 60
2024-12-14 @ St. Cloud St. L 72 - 75
2024-12-20 vs Minn.-Crookston W 69 - 60
2024-12-21 vs Minot St. W 78 - 52
2025-01-03 vs Minn. Duluth W 73 - 43
2025-01-04 vs Concordia-St. Paul W 66 - 60
2025-01-10 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 82 - 87
2025-01-11 @ Augustana (SD) W 94 - 48
2025-01-17 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 72 - 82
2025-01-18 @ Sioux Falls W 81 - 70
2025-01-24 vs Minnesota St. W 93 - 82
2025-01-25 vs Winona St. W 85 - 73
2025-01-30 vs MSU Moorhead W 69 - 60
2025-02-01 @ Minot St. L 64 - 73
2025-02-06 @ Minn.-Crookston L 74 - 79
2025-02-08 vs Bemidji St. W 77 - 65
2025-02-14 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 69 - 75
2025-02-15 @ Minn. Duluth W 77 - 59
2025-02-21 vs Sioux Falls W 75 - 72
2025-02-22 vs Southwest Minn. St. W 78 - 75
2025-03-02 vs Sioux Falls W 75 - 61
2025-03-03 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 44 - 66

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Madelyn Bragg - 30 27.4 16.8 7.2 1.6 0.7 1.2 2.1 13.3 12.0 71 2.3 2.8 47.7 26.7 80.4 0.51 54.6 48.7
Rianna Fillipi - 30 33.7 13.4 5.5 5.5 1.6 0.6 2.4 12.2 12.0 89 3.0 2.9 43.4 31.1 64.4 0.83 49.7 47.3
Michaela Jewett - 30 31.9 13.0 8.7 2.0 0.6 0.9 1.8 11.3 12.1 42 1.4 1.5 45.7 30.8 75.0 0.21 53.9 51.8
Alayna Benike - 30 32.0 8.1 6.5 2.7 0.6 0.5 1.9 7.2 9.2 38 1.3 1.3 36.7 26.5 86.8 0.11 49.6 42.8
Izzy Moore - 30 23.4 8.1 3.8 1.4 0.8 0.1 1.5 5.7 7.1 38 0.9 1.1 48.8 35.4 75.0 0.01 59.2 53.8
Decontee Smith - 21 18.0 7.2 3.1 0.7 0.8 0.5 1.2 5.8 5.5 54 2.8 4.4 45.5 7.1 77.4 0.43 52.7 45.9
Morgan Fiedler - 30 28.7 6.5 2.2 2.3 0.9 0.1 1.5 6.4 4.1 74 1.8 1.9 41.1 29.6 51.7 0.4 47.4 46.6
Taylor Tool - 30 6.8 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.4 1.1 30 0.8 1.7 43.9 27.3 57.1 0.4 48.8 47.6
Brylie Schultz - 18 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Carli Kuyper - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -0.2 -0.6 0 0 0 0.46 0 0
Jordyn Hilgemann - 15 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lily Klein - 11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -13 -1.1 -1.2 0 0 0 0.44 0 0
Kennedi Deckert - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lucy Moore - 9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5 0.4 1.8 0 0 0 0.2 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG