Northern St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 969 (#336) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 952 (#341) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1093 (#79) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.7 (#160) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +18.1 (#74) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.290 (#444) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.997 (#54) | NetEff +54.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.703 (#297) | AdjNet +7.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.711 (#297) | AdjNet +7.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.631 (#295) | AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.820 (#13) | AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.872 (#26) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.860 (#23) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1223 (#36) | RD 98 | GP 26 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Maryville (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Northern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Minn. Duluth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Roosevelt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Marian (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Interamericana (P.R.) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | P.R.-Rio Piedras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | P.R.-Bayamon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Grand Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Michigan Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Ferris St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Lake Superior St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Saginaw Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Minnesota St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | St. Cloud St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Sioux Falls | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Kuehl | - | 18 | 29.2 | 19.2 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 13.2 | 14.7 | 186 | 7.8 | 34.0 | 54.2 | 39.7 | 71.4 | 3.99 | 62.7 | 59.9 |
| Joshua Book | - | 6 | 33.8 | 15.8 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.3 | 11.7 | 27 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 45.6 | 25.0 | 81.8 | -0.15 | 57.6 | 50.0 |
| Cal Klesmit | - | 18 | 23.7 | 13.7 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 6 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 44.1 | 43.7 | 82.9 | 0.57 | 62.7 | 59.5 |
| Simon Akena | - | 6 | 32.0 | 12.5 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 10.8 | 8.3 | 89 | 4.5 | 18.6 | 46.2 | 15.8 | 85.7 | 3.24 | 52.7 | 48.5 |
| Jackson Dudek | - | 18 | 23.3 | 12.4 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 8.0 | 10.1 | 72 | 3.0 | 18.1 | 56.9 | 49.2 | 75.0 | 0.64 | 69.8 | 68.1 |
| Marshawn Smith | - | 6 | 25.9 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 10.8 | 6.0 | -34 | -1.4 | -7.0 | 43.1 | 33.3 | 71.4 | -1.88 | 50.6 | 47.7 |
| Bennett Basich | - | 13 | 21.5 | 9.1 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 10.8 | 15 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 45.3 | 45.5 | 75.0 | 1.14 | 56.9 | 51.2 |
| James Glenn | - | 6 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 7.2 | 7.5 | 40 | 2.0 | 11.7 | 41.9 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 1.21 | 59.2 | 55.8 |
| Charlie Miller | - | 18 | 24.6 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.3 | 5.9 | -16 | -0.7 | -4.4 | 36.0 | 38.0 | 94.4 | -2.03 | 55.0 | 51.3 |
| Tobi Obiora | - | 6 | 24.8 | 6.5 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 9.7 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 62.1 | 100.0 | 33.3 | -0.49 | 61.6 | 63.8 |
| Benjamin Bowen | - | 6 | 22.1 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 6.8 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 90.9 | 1.57 | 74.4 | 66.7 |
| Sam Privet | - | 18 | 16.0 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 4.1 | 4.6 | -23 | -1.0 | -8.1 | 56.8 | 25.0 | 62.5 | -0.9 | 60.9 | 59.5 |
| Isaiah Allen | - | 18 | 16.3 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 12 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 47.6 | 28.6 | 58.3 | -1.64 | 53.2 | 52.4 |
| Nelson Reynolds | - | 6 | 14.8 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 1.8 | -17 | -0.8 | -6.8 | 31.2 | 35.0 | 100.0 | -0.63 | 43.2 | 42.2 |
| Brooks Hinson | - | 17 | 16.9 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 105 | 4.6 | 31.4 | 39.3 | 39.5 | 90.0 | 3.41 | 59.4 | 52.7 |
| Trevor Polite | - | 15 | 21.1 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 6.7 | -18 | -0.9 | -8.4 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 70.0 | 1.91 | 59.9 | 58.0 |
| Ross Robertson | - | 14 | 10.2 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 3.7 | -18 | -1.1 | -26.7 | 60.6 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -2.17 | 64.9 | 63.6 |
| Ty Rogers | - | 6 | 17.4 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 3.2 | -47 | -2.1 | -11.7 | 25.9 | 14.3 | 30.8 | -1.16 | 30.6 | 29.6 |
| Keller Hanson | - | 5 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 44.4 | 42.9 | 66.7 | -1.43 | 63.0 | 61.1 |
| Cody Schmitz | - | 10 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 18 | 1.6 | 351.2 | 53.8 | 0.0 | 63.6 | 1.08 | 58.9 | 53.8 |
| Pryce Gregoire | - | 5 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Aidan Bellisle | - | 11 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 14.0 | 31.2 | 30.0 | 0 | 3.56 | 40.6 | 40.6 |
| Lane Tietz | - | 3 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | -1.0 | -21 | -2.1 | -77.7 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -3.26 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Nathan Fife | - | 5 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Jonny Ingalls | - | 10 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12 | 1.1 | 234.1 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 37.5 | 2.11 | 37.0 | 35.0 |
| Jake Vliem | - | 3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -15 | -2.5 | -119.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Marley Baah-Yeboah | - | 3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -14 | -2.0 | -111.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Braeden Vanbockern | - | 3 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -3.2 | -54.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Parker Lemer | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -3.7 | -149.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG