🐻⬇️🏀

Northern St.

Also known as: Northern St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 974 (#254) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 944 (#358) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1093 (#79) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +8.0 (#124) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +18.1 (#74) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.290 (#444) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +54.9 More → 0.997 (#54) NetEff +54.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.5 More → 0.703 (#297) AdjNet +7.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.7 More → 0.711 (#297) AdjNet +7.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.631 (#295) AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 72.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.820 (#13) AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.872 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.859 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 26 More → 1231 (#36) RD 100 | GP 26

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Colo. Christian W 101 - 65
2025-11-14 vs Maryville (MO) W 91 - 70
2025-11-15 vs Mo.-St. Louis L 67 - 80
2025-11-21 @ Northern St. W 80 - 61
2025-11-23 vs Northwest Mo. St. W 69 - 51
2025-11-26 vs Concordia Wisconsin L 0 - 0
2025-11-29 vs Minn. Duluth W 79 - 53
2025-11-29 vs Regis (CO) W 104 - 63
2025-12-04 @ Wis.-Parkside W 82 - 78
2025-12-06 @ Roosevelt W 85 - 64
2025-12-11 vs Concordia Wisconsin W 87 - 35
2025-12-14 vs Marian (WI) W 109 - 52
2025-12-18 vs Interamericana (P.R.) W 85 - 47
2025-12-19 @ P.R.-Rio Piedras W 81 - 42
2025-12-20 @ P.R.-Bayamon W 97 - 54
2026-01-02 vs Davenport W 101 - 65
2026-01-03 vs Grand Valley St. W 72 - 60
2026-01-08 @ Michigan Tech L 75 - 84
2026-01-12 vs Ferris St. W 95 - 66
2026-01-15 @ Lake Superior St. W 77 - 74
2026-01-17 @ Saginaw Valley W 86 - 77
2026-01-23 @ Minnesota St. L 67 - 78
2026-01-24 @ St. Cloud St. L 59 - 72
2026-01-30 vs Sioux Falls L 65 - 81
2026-01-31 vs Southwest Minn. St. W 70 - 63
2026-02-05 vs Minn.-Crookston W 78 - 71
2026-02-07 vs MSU Moorhead W 83 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dylan Kuehl - 18 29.2 19.2 6.2 2.7 0.6 1.2 1.8 13.2 14.7 186 7.8 34.0 54.2 39.7 71.4 2.77 62.7 59.9
Zach Bloch - 2 17.8 19.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.5 14.0 - - - 63.2 61.1 100.0 - 93.5 92.1
Brock Wisne - 1 21.1 18.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 21.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 50.0 - 102.7 114.3
Joshua Book - 6 33.8 15.8 5.0 4.5 0.7 0.0 3.0 11.3 11.7 27 1.1 4.0 45.6 25.0 81.8 1.04 57.6 50.0
Cal Klesmit - 18 23.7 13.7 3.8 2.7 1.2 0.0 1.4 9.9 10.1 6 0.2 1.5 44.1 43.7 82.9 0.42 62.7 59.5
Ariik Mawien - 2 15.2 13.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 8.5 8.0 - - - 64.7 44.4 100.0 - 77.4 76.5
Simon Akena - 6 32.0 12.5 5.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.8 10.8 8.3 89 4.5 18.6 46.2 15.8 85.7 0.18 52.7 48.5
Jackson Dudek - 18 23.3 12.4 4.7 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.9 8.0 10.1 72 3.0 18.1 56.9 49.2 75.0 1.76 69.8 68.1
Marshawn Smith - 6 25.9 12.0 5.0 1.0 0.3 0.2 1.7 10.8 6.0 -34 -1.4 -7.0 43.1 33.3 71.4 -4.24 50.6 47.7
Ring Nyeri - 2 24.5 12.0 4.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 7.0 13.0 - - - 64.3 40.0 100.0 - 76.1 71.4
Quinn Denker - 2 19.9 10.5 3.0 7.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 6.0 15.0 - - - 66.7 42.9 100.0 - 81.5 79.2
Bennett Basich - 13 21.5 9.1 6.1 2.3 1.2 0.4 1.7 6.6 10.8 15 0.8 3.4 45.3 45.5 75.0 1.42 56.9 51.2
James Glenn - 6 24.0 9.0 2.5 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.8 7.2 7.5 40 2.0 11.7 41.9 40.0 100.0 0.12 59.2 55.8
Tanner Braketa - 2 16.1 8.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 6.0 3.5 - - - 50.0 45.5 0 - 70.8 70.8
Charlie Miller - 18 24.6 7.4 2.4 2.5 0.9 0.1 1.2 6.3 5.9 -16 -0.7 -4.4 36.0 38.0 94.4 0.87 55.0 51.3
Chancellor White - 2 14.3 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.5 4.5 51 2.3 11.1 45.5 33.3 100.0 -1.23 58.9 54.5
Ibu Yamazaki - 2 18.2 7.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.5 4.5 - - - 38.5 40.0 0 - 53.8 53.8
Tobi Obiora - 6 24.8 6.5 7.7 0.7 0.0 1.5 1.8 4.8 9.7 -5 -0.2 -1.0 62.1 100.0 33.3 -0.07 61.6 63.8
Sam Privet - 18 16.0 5.7 2.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 4.1 4.6 -23 -1.0 -8.1 56.8 25.0 62.5 -1.08 60.9 59.5
Benjamin Bowen - 6 22.1 5.7 2.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.5 3.0 6.8 -4 -0.2 -0.9 50.0 50.0 90.9 -0.35 74.4 66.7
Isaiah Allen - 18 16.3 5.3 3.1 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.6 4.7 5.7 12 0.5 5.9 47.6 28.6 58.3 0.48 53.2 52.4
Nelson Reynolds - 6 14.8 4.7 1.5 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 5.3 1.8 -17 -0.8 -6.8 31.2 35.0 100.0 0.31 43.2 42.2
Brooks Hinson - 17 16.9 4.5 2.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.8 3.3 4.8 105 4.6 31.4 39.3 39.5 90.0 0.47 59.4 52.7
Vincent Delano - 2 15.4 4.5 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.5 3.5 - - - 33.3 16.7 100.0 - 45.5 38.9
Egan Shields - 2 15.2 4.5 5.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.0 7.0 - - - 66.7 0 50.0 - 65.4 66.7
Hunter Caldwell - 2 12.3 4.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 - - - 42.9 50.0 0 - 57.1 57.1
Trevor Polite - 15 21.1 3.9 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 6.7 -18 -0.9 -8.4 54.5 50.0 70.0 -0.48 59.9 58.0
Ross Robertson - 14 10.2 3.4 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 2.4 3.7 -18 -1.1 -26.7 60.6 50.0 66.7 -0.57 64.9 63.6
Ty Rogers - 6 17.4 3.3 3.8 0.5 0.8 0.3 1.2 4.5 3.2 -47 -2.1 -11.7 25.9 14.3 30.8 0.65 30.6 29.6
Walker Asp - 1 12.4 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Keller Hanson - 5 4.4 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.0 -5 -0.2 -1.1 44.4 42.9 66.7 0.13 63.0 61.1
Cody Schmitz - 10 4.0 2.1 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.8 18 1.6 351.2 53.8 0.0 63.6 0.05 58.9 53.8
Pryce Gregoire - 5 4.5 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.6 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
William Humer - 2 14.2 1.5 6.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 2.0 3.5 5.5 - - - 14.3 50.0 0 - 21.4 21.4
Aidan Bellisle - 11 3.6 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5 1.0 1 0.1 14.0 31.2 30.0 0 0.29 40.6 40.6
Nathan Fife - 5 4.2 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 - - - 20.0 25.0 100.0 - 42.5 30.0
Jonny Ingalls - 10 3.6 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 12 1.1 234.1 30.0 25.0 37.5 0.05 37.0 35.0
Lane Tietz - 3 2.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 -1.0 -21 -2.1 -77.7 20.0 25.0 0 -1.3 30.0 30.0
Jake Vliem - 3 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -15 -2.5 -119.2 100.0 0 0 -0.86 100.0 100.0
Marley Baah-Yeboah - 3 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.3 -14 -2.0 -111.3 0.0 0 0 -0.86 0.0 0.0
Braeden Vanbockern - 3 3.9 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -16 -3.2 -54.9 0.0 0.0 0 -1.36 0.0 0.0
Parker Lemer - 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -3.7 -149.2 0 0 0 -1.08 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG