🐻⬇️🏀

Northern N.M.

Also known as: Northern N.M.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 904 (#314) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 859 (#326) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -9.6 (#281) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.110 (#529) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.4 More → 0.132 (#571) AdjNet -16.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.6 More → 0.136 (#568) AdjNet -15.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.288 (#567) AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 66.7

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-13 vs Western N.M. W 63 - 55
2024-11-20 @ N.M. Highlands W 63 - 61
2024-11-22 vs Western Colo. L 35 - 69
2024-11-23 @ Fort Lewis L 57 - 67
2024-11-26 @ Sul Ross St. L 71 - 75
2024-11-30 @ CSU Pueblo L 46 - 75
2024-12-20 vs Fort Lewis W 63 - 52
2024-12-22 @ Western N.M. W 58 - 50
2025-01-04 @ Western Colo. L 51 - 64

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ethena Silva - 9 28.0 8.9 5.1 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.9 10.9 4.3 15 1.9 2.0 35.7 12.5 60.0 0.02 39.1 37.8
Miranda Salazar - 9 32.8 8.2 5.0 3.2 3.2 0.1 2.8 5.7 11.3 0 0.0 0.0 60.8 56.2 50.0 0.04 69.0 69.6
Gillian Roybal - 9 20.1 7.4 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.8 5.6 3.9 6 0.8 1.1 44.0 51.4 57.1 -0.14 63.1 63.0
Dalys McGuinnis - 5 13.2 7.4 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.4 5.0 4.2 -22 -2.8 -5.9 40.0 53.8 90.9 -0.21 62.0 54.0
Briana Marquez - 9 22.7 7.3 2.2 1.6 1.9 0.1 1.1 5.1 6.9 24 3.0 4.8 32.6 22.2 76.2 0.32 51.2 37.0
Shaela Carrillo - 9 11.4 5.1 1.3 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.0 3.1 3.1 -13 -1.6 -7.2 53.6 46.7 81.8 -0.06 70.0 66.1
Jayden Jenkins - 8 15.2 4.1 2.6 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.5 4.6 2.0 22 2.0 4.6 29.7 0.0 84.6 -0.16 38.6 29.7
Maesyn Lopez - 9 18.6 3.6 1.9 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.6 3.0 2.1 -27 -3.9 -6.9 40.7 100.0 80.0 -0.27 51.0 44.4
Paulina Lopez - 8 14.9 3.1 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.2 3.8 1.1 -25 -2.3 -4.1 26.7 42.9 66.7 -0.39 36.8 31.7
Lauren Hicks - 9 10.2 1.9 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.1 0 0.0 0.0 33.3 16.7 50.0 -0.01 39.5 36.1
Jaci Powers - 9 6.9 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.0 0.4 -34 -3.8 -9.6 27.8 14.3 75.0 -0.47 35.4 30.6
Romina Lopez - 9 5.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 0.0 -0.43 45.0 50.0
Rhianna Padilla - 7 4.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 -0.6 28 3.5 12.3 33.3 0.0 0 -0.09 33.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG