Northern N.M.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 934 (#346) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 863 (#483) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 943 (#491) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.8 (#265) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.5 (#445) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.059 (#554) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.131 (#595) | AdjNet -16.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.130 (#595) | AdjNet -16.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.241 (#597) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 83.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.396 (#460) | AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 83.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.315 (#454) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.322 (#456) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 719 (#490) | RD 243 | GP 3 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Eastern N.M. | L | 73 - 92 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Colo. Christian | L | 74 - 99 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 84 - 92 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Abrams | - | 1 | 26.9 | 26.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 51 | 2.4 | 12.7 | 64.7 | 100.0 | 66.7 | 0.71 | 71.0 | 70.6 |
| Markus Pastorcic-Straun | - | 1 | 30.7 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 18.0 | 20 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 46.7 | -0.88 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Pierce Bazil | - | 1 | 32.9 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | -69 | -3.1 | -13.9 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 77.8 | -2.96 | 61.2 | 53.6 |
| Shelton Henton | - | 1 | 32.6 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 88 | 3.5 | 15.1 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.58 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Jose Murillo | - | 1 | 26.6 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 96 | 4.8 | 22.5 | 62.5 | 0 | 60.0 | 2.1 | 65.1 | 62.5 |
| Andrew Reichart | - | 1 | 25.2 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.92 | 92.4 | 100.0 |
| Alex Romack | - | 1 | 27.8 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 65 | 2.6 | 7.8 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 1.22 | 64.4 | 63.6 |
| Breckten Wilson | - | 1 | 12.3 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 97 | 3.5 | 38.5 | 62.5 | 100.0 | 66.7 | 2.59 | 69.7 | 68.8 |
| Jonathan Moore | - | 1 | 19.6 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 23 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -1.45 | 75.2 | 58.3 |
| Porter Bazil | - | 1 | 24.2 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | -47 | -2.1 | -9.9 | 55.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -1.57 | 60.7 | 61.1 |
| Treyvon Byrd | - | 1 | 25.4 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 125 | 6.9 | 29.3 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.31 | 86.8 | 75.0 |
| Ezra Guest | - | 1 | 23.8 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 18 | 0.8 | 9.7 | 75.0 | 75.0 | 0 | -1.15 | 112.5 | 112.5 |
| Mo Austin | - | 1 | 27.1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 127 | 6.0 | 26.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.28 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Raul Stanford | - | 1 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Jimmy House | - | 1 | 9.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 49 | 2.7 | 22.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.68 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Schafer Reichart | - | 1 | 30.8 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | -104 | -5.2 | -23.2 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.81 | 34.2 | 14.3 |
| Zachary Reed | - | 1 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -55 | -2.6 | -15.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 1.83 | 133.0 | 150.0 |
| Braydon Jacob | - | 1 | 17.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 24 | 1.0 | 5.4 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0.33 | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Kellon Johnson | - | 1 | 34.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 14 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.45 | 31.7 | 28.6 |
| Cooper Jackson | - | 1 | 22.6 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 122 | 5.8 | 28.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.56 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Jared Lloyd Jr. | - | 1 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 11.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.11 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Will Cordonnier | - | 1 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 15 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 1.04 | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Trent Minter | - | 1 | 23.7 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 39 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.31 | 46.3 | 33.3 |
| Lincoln Cantrall | - | 1 | 10.2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.53 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Andrija Maric | - | 1 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Joshua Reid | - | 1 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -15 | -0.7 | -4.9 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Alex Alfaro | - | 1 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 44 | 2.3 | 60.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jaden Clarke | - | 1 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Johnathan Lyons Jr. | - | 1 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 125 | 6.9 | 53.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.11 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| PJ Chambers | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -19 | -1.4 | -21.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Johnson | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.3 | -114.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Garrett Poelman | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.87 | 0 | 0 |
| Derek Lamb | - | 1 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.69 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cooper Mroczek | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 36 | 1.5 | 13.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brandon Kehres | - | 1 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 177.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG