🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Mich.

Also known as: Northern Mich.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1102 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1198 (#22) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +22.3 (#15) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.838 (#219) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.2 More → 0.843 (#96) NetEff +13.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.7 More → 0.975 (#111) AdjNet +31.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +32.2 More → 0.978 (#111) AdjNet +32.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 52.8 More → 0.868 (#114) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 52.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Thomas More W 48 - 46
2024-11-09 @ Lewis W 53 - 48
2024-11-15 vs Minn.-Crookston W 85 - 69
2024-11-16 vs Bemidji St. W 80 - 51
2024-11-23 @ Minn. Duluth W 65 - 63
2024-11-24 @ St. Cloud St. W 63 - 52
2024-12-05 vs Purdue Northwest W 70 - 48
2024-12-07 vs Wis.-Parkside W 72 - 67
2024-12-20 @ Northwood L 50 - 68
2024-12-22 @ Ashland L 62 - 84
2025-01-02 @ Davenport W 47 - 40
2025-01-04 @ Grand Valley St. L 71 - 81
2025-01-09 vs Michigan Tech W 68 - 64
2025-01-13 vs Roosevelt W 60 - 56
2025-01-16 vs Wayne St. (MI) L 60 - 61
2025-01-18 vs Saginaw Valley L 51 - 67
2025-01-23 @ Ferris St. W 78 - 48
2025-01-25 @ Lake Superior St. W 75 - 37
2025-01-30 vs Grand Valley St. L 48 - 74
2025-02-01 vs Davenport W 80 - 41
2025-02-06 @ Saginaw Valley W 69 - 59
2025-02-08 @ Wayne St. (MI) W 66 - 61
2025-02-13 vs Lake Superior St. W 67 - 44
2025-02-15 vs Ferris St. W 75 - 48
2025-02-20 @ Michigan Tech L 59 - 64
2025-02-24 @ Roosevelt W 90 - 52
2025-02-27 @ Wis.-Parkside W 69 - 68
2025-03-01 @ Purdue Northwest W 81 - 66
2025-03-05 vs Saginaw Valley W 81 - 60
2025-03-08 vs Ferris St. L 66 - 73
2025-03-14 vs Hillsdale W 61 - 56
2025-03-15 @ Ashland L 45 - 68

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jacy Weisbrod - 29 25.7 12.9 3.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 1.1 10.7 6.1 28 0.7 0.8 44.1 39.6 76.9 0.55 58.0 56.9
Sarah Newcomer - 32 27.4 8.9 2.9 2.4 0.7 0.4 1.6 8.7 5.1 79 1.8 2.0 37.3 36.1 81.0 0.54 49.6 48.2
Alyssa Nimz - 32 26.2 8.3 6.4 1.1 0.6 0.8 1.6 7.3 8.4 62 1.9 2.2 43.4 23.4 65.0 0.47 49.4 45.7
Alyssa Hill - 32 18.6 7.3 5.4 0.8 0.4 0.4 1.4 6.2 6.7 75 1.7 2.5 52.5 25.0 61.5 0.45 54.1 52.8
Abi Fraaza - 23 14.0 7.2 4.7 1.3 0.5 0.4 1.1 4.1 8.9 48 2.7 5.3 61.1 60.0 82.5 0.46 69.1 62.6
Mackenzie Holzwart - 32 23.6 6.5 4.4 2.7 0.9 0.4 2.4 5.3 7.2 29 0.9 1.1 40.6 26.7 73.1 -0.1 50.7 44.1
Sydney Whitehouse - 32 12.1 6.2 2.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.1 5.2 3.7 -28 -0.6 -1.5 46.7 32.6 65.1 0.08 53.6 51.2
Madison Schroeder - 32 6.8 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 3.1 1.4 -44 -1.2 -3.8 36.7 0.0 68.0 -0.3 40.8 36.7
Kayla Tierney - 32 15.8 2.4 2.3 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.7 2.8 3.3 26 0.8 1.8 30.0 27.9 57.1 0.22 41.4 40.6
Addison Pytleski - 32 11.0 2.4 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.7 6 0.1 0.3 25.9 22.6 90.0 -0.2 39.7 30.0
Cj Romero - 3 15.3 1.7 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.7 3.0 1.7 53 1.2 1.9 22.2 20.0 0 0.17 27.8 27.8
Ava Bates - 29 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 -9 -0.6 -7.6 35.0 16.7 0 -0.19 40.0 40.0
Reide Osterman - 15 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -31 -1.9 -5.7 0.0 0 0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Hallie Marshall - 26 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Braelyn Torres - 13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.04 0 0
Megan Marta - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordyn Schmittdiel - 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -48 -3.7 -11.7 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG