🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Mich.

Also known as: Northern Mich.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1141 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1227 (#13) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +16.3 (#20) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.919 (#118) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.9 More → 0.702 (#118) NetEff +7.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +28.1 More → 0.963 (#63) AdjNet +28.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.3 More → 0.964 (#63) AdjNet +28.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.8 | AdjD 65.4 More → 0.865 (#68) AdjO 85.8 | AdjD 65.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Maryville (MO) W 78 - 59
2024-11-09 @ Mo.-St. Louis W 77 - 63
2024-11-16 @ Ill. Springfield W 85 - 83
2024-11-22 @ MSU Moorhead L 71 - 82
2024-11-23 @ Minn. Duluth L 67 - 79
2024-11-30 vs Concordia Wisconsin W 70 - 58
2024-12-05 vs Purdue Northwest W 70 - 54
2024-12-07 vs Wis.-Parkside W 73 - 62
2024-12-14 vs Upper Iowa W 79 - 76
2024-12-21 vs Northland W 83 - 37
2025-01-02 @ Davenport W 60 - 52
2025-01-04 @ Grand Valley St. W 78 - 70
2025-01-09 vs Michigan Tech L 65 - 88
2025-01-13 vs Roosevelt W 77 - 55
2025-01-16 vs Wayne St. (MI) L 67 - 82
2025-01-18 vs Saginaw Valley W 75 - 62
2025-01-23 @ Ferris St. L 79 - 85
2025-01-25 @ Lake Superior St. L 49 - 79

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ethan Erickson - 1 32.0 20.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 10.0 -89 -3.4 -9.3 42.9 40.0 100.0 0.28 60.1 50.0
Dylan Kuehl - 17 29.9 15.1 6.5 1.7 0.8 0.5 1.5 10.9 12.1 9 0.2 0.9 52.2 43.6 73.8 0.21 60.1 56.7
Reece Hazelton - 1 27.0 12.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 13.0 -10 -0.4 -1.3 66.7 0.0 0 1.17 66.7 66.7
Julien Smith - 16 26.0 11.2 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.2 1.3 9.8 5.8 -39 -1.3 -4.9 35.0 28.9 80.4 -0.04 49.9 43.9
Sam Privet - 17 25.4 10.3 5.8 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.5 6.2 11.2 -114 -3.9 -12.2 63.8 36.7 81.1 0.45 72.1 69.0
Gerald Gittens - 17 22.6 8.7 2.9 1.8 1.5 0.1 2.0 6.3 6.8 -40 -1.4 -4.8 38.3 28.6 80.6 -0.38 55.1 45.8
Brian Parzych - 15 22.7 6.9 3.1 2.4 0.8 0.3 2.3 5.8 5.4 -46 -2.2 -7.5 35.6 20.0 78.0 1.36 49.0 40.8
Jackson Dudek - 17 13.5 5.1 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 4.3 4.9 4 0.1 0.7 43.8 42.9 55.0 1.05 53.2 52.1
Derek Merwick - 17 17.0 4.5 2.4 2.2 0.9 0.0 1.1 3.2 5.7 10 0.5 3.2 44.4 50.0 79.2 0.25 58.9 52.8
Cal Klesmit - 10 9.4 4.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 4.0 1.3 -43 -2.4 -15.1 35.0 32.4 80.0 -0.5 50.9 48.8
Michael McNabb - 17 10.5 4.0 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.4 3.4 2.6 16 1.6 95.0 46.6 33.3 57.9 -1.02 51.2 49.1
Deng Reng - 1 15.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 -121 -4.8 -16.7 50.0 0 0 0.11 50.0 50.0
Jimmy Scholler - 1 16.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 -101 -4.0 -12.7 50.0 50.0 0.0 -0.44 52.1 75.0
Biggie Luster - 17 15.2 2.7 2.2 1.1 1.1 0.1 0.6 2.8 3.8 9 0.4 3.9 42.6 6.7 55.6 0.26 45.1 43.6
Owen Hardy - 1 12.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 -60 -2.5 -18.7 50.0 0 0 0.1 50.0 50.0
Brandon Trilli - 17 4.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.8 11 1.8 43.9 33.3 25.0 57.1 -0.79 42.7 38.9
Peter Lattos - 17 3.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.7 29 1.5 54.7 35.3 0.0 40.0 -0.54 36.5 35.3
Aidan Bellisle - 17 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 4 0.7 21.0 25.0 12.5 66.7 -0.93 33.8 29.2
Cooper LePage - 16 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -5 -1.7 -48.4 33.3 0.0 0 -1.22 33.3 33.3
Cody Schmitz - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jonny Ingalls - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Isaiah Allen - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nathan Claerbaut - 1 22.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -98 -3.8 -12.2 0.0 0 0 0.52 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG