Northern Mich.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1141 (#24) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1243 (#18) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1099 (#75) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +23.2 (#6) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.2 (#47) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.919 (#118) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#5) | NetEff +83.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.963 (#63) | AdjNet +28.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.964 (#63) | AdjNet +28.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.865 (#68) | AdjO 85.8 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.800 (#20) | AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.891 (#14) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.880 (#11) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1176 (#62) | RD 142 | GP 7 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | vs | N.M. Highlands | W | 97 - 47 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Purdue Northwest | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | W | 83 - 62 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Grand Valley St. | L | 80 - 85 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Davenport | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 83 - 61 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Lake Superior St. | L | 68 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Kuehl | - | 6 | 33.3 | 21.3 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 13.7 | 16.3 | 186 | 7.8 | 34.0 | 57.3 | 22.7 | 74.4 | 2.77 | 64.5 | 60.4 |
| Jake Hall | - | 1 | 15.6 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 23 | 1.2 | 8.8 | 66.7 | 62.5 | 100.0 | -0.56 | 97.6 | 94.4 |
| Jackson Dudek | - | 6 | 26.0 | 12.7 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 9.8 | 10.7 | 72 | 3.0 | 18.1 | 47.5 | 42.3 | 56.2 | 1.76 | 57.5 | 56.8 |
| Cal Klesmit | - | 6 | 25.1 | 12.2 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 9.8 | 6 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 52.4 | 50.0 | 73.3 | 0.42 | 75.1 | 73.8 |
| Antonio Chol | - | 1 | 16.9 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 67.6 | 68.8 |
| Uriah Tenette | - | 1 | 18.4 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 28.6 | 100.0 | - | 55.8 | 44.4 |
| Timeo Pons | - | 1 | 14.5 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 42.9 | 66.7 | - | 66.1 | 64.3 |
| Bennett Basich | - | 6 | 26.6 | 10.5 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 9.0 | 10.8 | 15 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 40.7 | 40.0 | 88.2 | 1.42 | 51.2 | 44.4 |
| Tajavis Miller | - | 1 | 21.1 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14 | 2.8 | 36.1 | 37.5 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0.19 | 56.3 | 56.2 |
| JT Rock | - | 1 | 17.3 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 75.3 | 75.0 |
| Kevin Patton Jr. | - | 1 | 20.4 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 78 | 3.9 | 39.2 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.64 | 73.5 | 70.0 |
| Brooks Hinson | - | 6 | 21.1 | 7.0 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 105 | 4.6 | 31.4 | 41.2 | 42.1 | 100.0 | 0.47 | 57.3 | 52.9 |
| Milos Vicentic | - | 1 | 21.9 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 39.4 | 31.2 |
| Sam Privet | - | 6 | 17.9 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 4.3 | -23 | -1.0 | -8.1 | 38.7 | 0.0 | 73.7 | -1.08 | 48.3 | 38.7 |
| Deyton Albury | - | 1 | 22.4 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 61.5 | 62.5 |
| Charlie Miller | - | 6 | 22.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | -16 | -0.7 | -4.4 | 26.1 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.87 | 41.1 | 37.0 |
| Aidan Bellisle | - | 1 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 14.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.29 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Isaiah Allen | - | 6 | 10.8 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 12 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 63.6 | 100.0 | 40.0 | 0.48 | 64.4 | 68.2 |
| Trevor Polite | - | 6 | 13.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.5 | -18 | -0.9 | -8.4 | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.48 | 80.4 | 60.0 |
| Ross Robertson | - | 3 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -18 | -1.1 | -26.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jonny Ingalls | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 1.1 | 234.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cody Schmitz | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18 | 1.6 | 351.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Haupt | - | 1 | 14.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Chris Howell | - | 1 | 16.9 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG