Northern Iowa
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1084 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1029 (#142) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1036 (#109) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +3.6 (#110) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +5.2 (#86) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.618 (#96) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.620 (#112) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.621 (#112) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.573 (#107) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 70.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.579 (#94) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 72.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.599 (#109) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.601 (#108) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1044 (#125) | RD 139 | GP 28 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-12-04 | @ | Iowa State | L | 66 - 79 |
| 1993-12-07 | vs | Iowa | L | 76 - 81 |
| 1993-12-12 | vs | Drake | W | 71 - 54 |
| 1993-12-19 | @ | Illinois State | L | 61 - 74 |
| 1993-12-21 | @ | Long Island University | W | 71 - 57 |
| 1993-12-28 | @ | Cal State Fullerton | W | 71 - 57 |
| 1993-12-31 | @ | Nebraska | L | 63 - 70 |
| 1994-01-04 | @ | Creighton | W | 64 - 63 |
| 1994-01-08 | @ | Tulsa | L | 62 - 75 |
| 1994-01-11 | vs | St. Bonaventure | L | 70 - 74 |
| 1994-01-15 | @ | Wichita State | L | 71 - 77 |
| 1994-01-18 | vs | Chicago State | W | 102 - 80 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | Creighton | W | 78 - 60 |
| 1994-01-24 | @ | Missouri State | W | 70 - 58 |
| 1994-01-27 | vs | Wichita State | W | 74 - 58 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Indiana State | W | 84 - 71 |
| 1994-02-03 | @ | Southern Illinois | L | 68 - 89 |
| 1994-02-05 | vs | Illinois State | W | 82 - 79 |
| 1994-02-07 | vs | Bradley | W | 92 - 72 |
| 1994-02-12 | @ | Drake | W | 102 - 79 |
| 1994-02-15 | vs | Tulsa | L | 63 - 69 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | Indiana State | L | 73 - 82 |
| 1994-02-23 | vs | Southern Illinois | L | 94 - 97 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | Bradley | L | 54 - 68 |
| 1994-02-28 | vs | Missouri State | W | 86 - 76 |
| 1994-03-05 | N | Illinois State | W | 84 - 70 |
| 1994-03-06 | N | Tulsa | W | 79 - 73 |
| 1994-03-07 | N | Southern Illinois | L | 74 - 77 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.