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Northern Iowa

Also known as: Northern Iowa Panthers, Northern Iowa
Program History

Model Outputs

1993-1994
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1084 (#111) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1029 (#142) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +119 elo More โ†’ 1036 (#109) HCA +119 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +3.6 (#110) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +5.2 (#86) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.618 (#96) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.3 More โ†’ 0.620 (#112) AdjNet +4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.3 More โ†’ 0.621 (#112) AdjNet +4.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 70.4 More โ†’ 0.573 (#107) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 70.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 72.9 More โ†’ 0.579 (#94) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 72.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.599 (#109) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.601 (#108) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 139 | GP 28 More โ†’ 1044 (#125) RD 139 | GP 28

1994 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1993-12-04 @ Iowa State L 66 - 79
1993-12-07 vs Iowa L 76 - 81
1993-12-12 vs Drake W 71 - 54
1993-12-19 @ Illinois State L 61 - 74
1993-12-21 @ Long Island University W 71 - 57
1993-12-28 @ Cal State Fullerton W 71 - 57
1993-12-31 @ Nebraska L 63 - 70
1994-01-04 @ Creighton W 64 - 63
1994-01-08 @ Tulsa L 62 - 75
1994-01-11 vs St. Bonaventure L 70 - 74
1994-01-15 @ Wichita State L 71 - 77
1994-01-18 vs Chicago State W 102 - 80
1994-01-22 vs Creighton W 78 - 60
1994-01-24 @ Missouri State W 70 - 58
1994-01-27 vs Wichita State W 74 - 58
1994-01-29 vs Indiana State W 84 - 71
1994-02-03 @ Southern Illinois L 68 - 89
1994-02-05 vs Illinois State W 82 - 79
1994-02-07 vs Bradley W 92 - 72
1994-02-12 @ Drake W 102 - 79
1994-02-15 vs Tulsa L 63 - 69
1994-02-19 @ Indiana State L 73 - 82
1994-02-23 vs Southern Illinois L 94 - 97
1994-02-26 @ Bradley L 54 - 68
1994-02-28 vs Missouri State W 86 - 76
1994-03-05 N Illinois State W 84 - 70
1994-03-06 N Tulsa W 79 - 73
1994-03-07 N Southern Illinois L 74 - 77

1994 Roster

No roster data available for this season.