๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Northern Iowa

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

53.7
PPG
71.0
Opp
-17.3
Margin
32.9%
FG%
25.7%
3P%
76.1%
FT%
31.3
RPG
10.7
APG
17.0
TO
68.1
Est. poss./game
54.1
Adj PPG
61.4
Adj Opp PPG
#204
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1035 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1056, returning +36, transfers -58, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 1042 (#139) Preseason prior 1035 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1056, returning +36, transfers -58, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 1006 (#155) HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 1006 (#155) HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ -6.6 (#223) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ -6.5 (#223) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.212 (#238) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.3 More โ†’ 0.332 (#233) AdjNet -13.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.9 More โ†’ 0.338 (#232) AdjNet -12.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.1 | AdjD 61.4 More โ†’ 0.419 (#204) AdjO 54.1 | AdjD 61.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.0 | AdjD 61.3 More โ†’ 0.418 (#206) AdjO 54.0 | AdjD 61.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.400 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.400 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 179 | GP 3 More โ†’ 987 (#166) RD 179 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.438 (#179) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs St. Thomas Tommies W 67 - 59
2026-11-06 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 54 - 76
2026-11-12 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 40 - 78
2026-11-15 vs Creighton Bluejays - Preview
2026-11-18 vs Iowa State Cyclones - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jenna Twedt Jenna Twedt G 3 29.0 13.0 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 9.3 3.7 -61 3 -20.3 -28.3 35.7 26.3 82.4 -2.62 55.0 44.6
Callie Levin Callie Levin G 3 27.3 8.3 2.3 2.7 0.7 0.0 2.7 9.7 1.7 -23 3 -7.7 -11.3 34.5 40.0 100.0 -0.2 41.2 37.9
Elise Jaeger Elise Jaeger F 3 25.0 7.0 9.3 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 11.3 -35 3 -11.7 -18.6 41.7 25.0 0 0.52 43.8 43.8
Abby Tuttle Abby Tuttle G 3 28.3 6.0 2.3 3.3 1.3 0.0 2.0 7.0 4.0 -16 3 -5.3 -7.5 33.3 37.5 50.0 3.02 41.1 40.5
Mya Nicholson Mya Nicholson G 3 15.0 5.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 4.0 1.3 -35 3 -11.7 -30.4 41.7 37.5 100.0 -2.5 61.8 54.2
Kaylynn Janes Kaylynn Janes F 3 16.7 4.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.0 0.3 -30 3 -10.0 -23.9 33.3 33.3 0 -2.57 46.7 46.7
Lauren Walker Lauren Walker G 2 11.5 3.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 3.0 -24 2 -12.0 -41.3 33.3 0 100.0 -1.35 63.0 33.3
Taylor Franck Taylor Franck G 3 8.0 2.7 2.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 1.0 1.7 3.7 -18 3 -6.0 -29.1 20.0 0.0 75.0 -1.75 46.9 20.0
Callie Oakland Callie Oakland F 3 10.0 2.0 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.3 3.7 -0.7 -12 3 -4.0 -17.1 27.3 0.0 0 -1.45 27.3 27.3
Maren Schmotzer Maren Schmotzer F 3 23.3 1.3 2.7 0.7 2.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.7 -31 3 -10.3 -17.8 22.2 0.0 0.0 -3.53 18.6 22.2
Le'Sedra Williams Le'Sedra Williams F 2 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8 2 4.0 64.0 0 0 100.0 0.7 113.6 0
Anna Greene Anna Greene F 3 4.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.3 1 3 0.3 3.3 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.59 12.9 0.0
Harper Whetstine Harper Whetstine G 2 4.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.5 8 2 4.0 39.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.64 0.0 0.0
Emily Larsen Emily Larsen G 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8 2 4.0 64.0 0 0 0 0.7 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

164 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Jaeger37% Levin36% Levin50% Twedt100% Janes100% Levin50% Tuttle33% Tuttle50% Nicholson43%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Jaeger38% Levin33% Levin25% Tuttle20% Tuttle100% Twedt38% Twedt18% Oakland21% Twedt39%
Misses: who misses most here

Jenna TwedtCallie LevinElise JaegerAbby TuttleKaylynn JanesMya NicholsonCallie Oakland

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 19-35 54.3 38 Elise Jaeger 37% (14 pts) Jenna Twedt 21% (8 pts) Elise Jaeger 38% (6 misses) Abby Tuttle 25% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 14-47 29.8 28 Callie Levin 36% (10 pts) Abby Tuttle 21% (6 pts) Callie Levin 33% (11 misses) Abby Tuttle 12% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 2-6 33.3 4 Callie Levin 50% (2 pts) Mya Nicholson 50% (2 pts) Callie Levin 25% (1 misses) Callie Oakland 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 1-6 16.7 2 Jenna Twedt 100% (2 pts) - Abby Tuttle 20% (1 misses) Anna Greene 20% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 Kaylynn Janes 100% (3 pts) - Abby Tuttle 100% (1 misses) -
Right corner 3 2-10 20.0 6 Callie Levin 50% (3 pts) Jenna Twedt 50% (3 pts) Jenna Twedt 38% (3 misses) Abby Tuttle 12% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 6-17 35.3 18 Abby Tuttle 33% (6 pts) Jenna Twedt 33% (6 pts) Jenna Twedt 18% (2 misses) Mya Nicholson 18% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-16 12.5 6 Abby Tuttle 50% (3 pts) Jenna Twedt 50% (3 pts) Callie Oakland 21% (3 misses) Jenna Twedt 14% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 7-25 28.0 21 Mya Nicholson 43% (9 pts) Kaylynn Janes 29% (6 pts) Jenna Twedt 39% (7 misses) Kaylynn Janes 22% (4 misses)