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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Also known as: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Program History

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 859 (#590) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 933 (#412) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +13.2 (#258) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.346 (#271) -

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-18 @ New Mexico State Aggies W 61 - 46
2005-11-20 @ UTEP Miners L 49 - 68
2005-11-25 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 66 - 61
2005-11-26 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 65 - 51
2005-12-01 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 88 - 69
2005-12-04 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 71 - 62
2005-12-08 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 41 - 57
2005-12-10 @ BYU Cougars L 48 - 82
2005-12-19 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 84 - 83
2005-12-20 vs South Florida Bulls L 55 - 60
2005-12-21 vs Puerto Rico-Mayaguez Bulldogs W 79 - 44
2005-12-28 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 66 - 58
2005-12-31 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 56 - 70
2006-01-06 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 55 - 52
2006-01-08 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 72 - 47
2006-01-12 vs Weber State Wildcats W 73 - 46
2006-01-14 vs Idaho State Bengals W 74 - 64
2006-01-19 @ Montana Lady Griz W 65 - 60
2006-01-21 @ Montana State Bobcats L 55 - 57
2006-01-28 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 68 - 54
2006-02-02 vs Portland State Vikings W 73 - 67
2006-02-04 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 74 - 61
2006-02-09 @ Idaho State Bengals L 71 - 84
2006-02-11 @ Weber State Wildcats W 65 - 53
2006-02-16 vs Montana State Bobcats W 84 - 56
2006-02-18 vs Montana Lady Griz L 55 - 57
2006-02-25 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 59 - 61
2006-03-02 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 57 - 67
2006-03-04 @ Portland State Vikings W 94 - 77
2006-03-09 vs Portland State Vikings W 80 - 68
2006-03-10 @ Montana Lady Griz W 73 - 66
2006-03-11 vs Weber State Wildcats W 74 - 59
2006-03-18 @ Baylor Bears L 56 - 74

2006 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Boykin Jr. R. Boykin Jr. - 2 34.0 18.0 8.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 5.5 10.0 13.5 - - - 60.0 0 85.7 - 68.8 60.0
T. Bazy T. Bazy - 2 23.5 16.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 6.5 13.5 - - - 53.8 50.0 85.0 - 73.4 57.7
R. McCurdy R. McCurdy - 2 24.0 13.0 7.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 4.5 16.0 - - - 77.8 0 75.0 - 81.0 77.8
K. Landry K. Landry - 2 14.5 12.5 5.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 4.0 13.5 - - - 62.5 0 88.2 - 80.7 62.5
K. Golob K. Golob - 2 34.0 12.0 6.0 3.5 1.0 0.5 2.0 10.0 11.0 - - - 50.0 37.5 50.0 - 57.5 57.5
S. Sir S. Sir - 2 22.5 10.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 5.5 5.5 - - - 63.6 60.0 0 - 90.9 90.9
J. Wilson J. Wilson - 2 32.0 7.5 2.0 7.5 0.0 0.5 4.5 4.0 9.0 - - - 37.5 25.0 80.0 - 60.5 43.8
W. Hensley W. Hensley - 2 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
M. Seckold M. Seckold - 2 8.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 33.3 - 21.6 0.0
R. Van Patten R. Van Patten - 2 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG