Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 972 (#563) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1162 (#277) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.9 (#304) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.413 (#69) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.275 (#91) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.275 (#91) | AdjNet -8.4 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-21 | vs | Northern Arizona | L | 60 - 77 |
| 2003-11-24 | @ | - | L | 73 - 107 |
| 2003-11-29 | @ | - | L | 51 - 68 |
| 2003-12-01 | @ | - | L | 70 - 83 |
| 2003-12-06 | @ | - | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2003-12-15 | @ | - | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2003-12-20 | vs | Northern Arizona | L | 81 - 91 |
| 2003-12-30 | @ | - | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2004-01-03 | vs | Northern Arizona | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2004-01-10 | @ | - | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2004-01-15 | vs | Northern Arizona | W | 63 - 57 |
| 2004-01-17 | vs | Northern Arizona | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2004-01-22 | @ | - | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2004-01-24 | @ | - | W | 92 - 86 |
| 2004-01-29 | vs | Northern Arizona | L | 67 - 83 |
| 2004-01-31 | vs | Northern Arizona | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Northern Arizona | W | 110 - 97 |
| 2004-02-12 | @ | - | L | 78 - 85 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | - | L | 81 - 91 |
| 2004-02-19 | vs | Northern Arizona | L | 72 - 85 |
| 2004-02-21 | vs | Northern Arizona | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2004-02-25 | @ | - | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2004-02-28 | @ | - | W | 80 - 78 |
| 2004-03-09 | @ | - | W | 91 - 72 |
| 2004-03-10 | @ | - | L | 59 - 71 |
2004 Roster
No roster data available for this season.