Northeastern St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 961 (#302) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1074 (#137) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 899 (#531) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.7 (#68) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.3 (#203) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.470 (#356) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.716 (#286) | AdjNet +8.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.770 (#257) | AdjNet +10.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.670 (#261) | AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.539 (#230) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.591 (#242) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.574 (#251) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 915 (#327) | RD 137 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Emporia St. | L | 71 - 84 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Newman | W | 104 - 62 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Pittsburg St. | L | 77 - 93 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Fort Hays St. | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | L | 82 - 89 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Glenn | - | 6 | 32.0 | 16.8 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 13.0 | 9.7 | 39 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 53.8 | 33.3 | 63.2 | 0.4 | 58.5 | 57.1 |
| Ethan Blackmon | - | 6 | 21.9 | 14.0 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.8 | 11.3 | -24 | -1.3 | -7.6 | 62.3 | 20.0 | 60.7 | -2.57 | 64.3 | 63.2 |
| Nehemiah Weber | - | 6 | 30.9 | 13.3 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 24 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 55.6 | 31.2 | 65.2 | -1.67 | 62.4 | 60.2 |
| AJ Reed Jr | - | 6 | 29.4 | 10.2 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.2 | 5.7 | - | - | - | 39.3 | 25.0 | 58.3 | - | 46.0 | 44.3 |
| Harry Neilson | - | 5 | 13.2 | 6.4 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 42 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 58.3 | 0 | 57.1 | 0.36 | 59.1 | 58.3 |
| Taven Washington | - | 6 | 28.9 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 23 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 87.5 | 2.05 | 42.4 | 36.4 |
| Parker Hardage | - | 1 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10 | 2.5 | 82.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.59 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Koen Derry | - | 5 | 11.2 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 43 | 3.3 | 22.5 | 80.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.55 | 74.0 | 80.0 |
| Pierce Ross | - | 6 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 32 | 2.0 | 32.4 | 31.6 | 12.5 | 62.5 | 0.07 | 40.0 | 34.2 |
| Dylan Tea | - | 6 | 16.0 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 4.2 | -8 | -0.4 | -2.6 | 28.6 | 10.0 | 80.0 | -1.87 | 36.6 | 31.0 |
| Jaxson Vandegarde | - | 6 | 10.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 39 | 1.9 | 18.9 | 55.6 | 60.0 | 0 | -1.43 | 72.2 | 72.2 |
| Dalen Fuller | - | 1 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 17 | 1.2 | 29.1 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.8 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Ben Hagebusch | - | 1 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 2.5 | 82.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG