🐻⬇️🏀

Northeastern St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Northeastern St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 950 (#187) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1003 (#172) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 899 (#531) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +10.5 (#90) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +7.3 (#203) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.470 (#186) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.0 More → 0.716 (#139) AdjNet +8.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.5 More → 0.770 (#118) AdjNet +10.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 75.6 More → 0.670 (#121) AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 75.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.539 (#230) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 74.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.591 (#242) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.574 (#251) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 6 More → 919 (#336) RD 138 | GP 6

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Ark.-Monticello W 79 - 74
2025-11-15 vs Minn.-Crookston W 80 - 73
2025-11-18 vs Ozark Christian W 113 - 52
2025-11-21 vs Southern Nazarene L 71 - 91
2025-11-24 vs Ecclesia W 102 - 59
2025-11-26 @ Arkansas Tech L 60 - 65
2025-11-29 vs Mississippi Col. W 86 - 68
2025-11-30 @ Missouri St. L 71 - 92
2025-12-02 vs Ark.-Fort Smith L 75 - 86
2025-12-04 @ Newman L 71 - 81
2025-12-14 vs Truman St. W 90 - 81
2025-12-17 vs Missouri Valley W 105 - 73
2025-12-21 vs Mo. Southern St. W 119 - 117
2026-01-03 vs Pittsburg St. L 95 - 98
2026-01-07 @ Central Okla. L 93 - 97
2026-01-10 @ Rogers St. W 96 - 87
2026-01-16 @ Ark.-Fort Smith W 71 - 63
2026-01-22 vs Emporia St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 vs Newman W 104 - 62
2026-01-28 @ Pittsburg St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Mo. Southern St. L 64 - 77
2026-02-05 vs Fort Hays St. W 66 - 64
2026-02-07 vs Neb.-Kearney L 82 - 89
2026-02-12 @ Central Mo. L 65 - 92
2026-02-14 @ Washburn L 54 - 78
2026-02-19 @ Northwest Mo. St. L 80 - 87
2026-02-21 @ Missouri Western L 83 - 97
2026-02-25 vs Rogers St. L 80 - 84
2026-02-28 vs Central Okla. W 82 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Xavier Glenn - 25 31.5 18.4 4.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 1.9 14.1 10.0 - - - - 52.1 41.1 66.7 - 58.4 56.4
Ethan Blackmon - 19 25.6 13.6 8.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 2.6 9.3 12.7 - - - - 54.8 10.0 70.0 - 59.6 55.1
Nehemiah Weber - 26 31.8 11.8 2.8 2.3 1.2 0.1 2.1 8.3 7.8 - - - - 50.0 32.4 66.7 - 58.6 55.1
AJ Reed Jr - 26 27.7 11.0 3.7 3.7 1.3 0.1 2.5 9.5 7.8 - - - - 38.6 30.2 73.6 - 50.3 45.1
Taven Washington - 25 29.0 9.6 3.4 2.5 1.0 0.2 1.6 6.9 8.2 - - - - 47.4 44.8 86.0 - 60.3 54.9
Harry Neilson - 25 15.9 7.8 5.7 0.8 0.4 0.6 1.1 5.3 9.0 - - - - 63.6 0.0 47.4 - 62.1 63.6
Dylan Tea - 26 18.0 6.0 2.9 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.5 4.0 6.2 - - - - 53.4 43.8 83.3 - 67.1 63.6
Jaxson Vandegarde - 25 13.5 4.1 1.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 1.0 2.5 4.4 - - - - 55.6 39.4 70.4 - 68.1 65.9
Sage Wayans - 4 7.0 3.8 3.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.5 - - - - 37.5 25.0 28.6 - 39.3 40.6
Ben Hagebusch - 4 5.7 2.8 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.2 3.5 - - - - 80.0 75.0 0 - 110.0 110.0
Dalen Fuller - 16 8.3 2.8 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.9 2.3 - - - - 34.0 20.0 77.8 - 44.2 40.4
Koen Derry - 17 10.3 2.6 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.5 3.7 -53 14 -3.8 -14.9 72.0 0 44.4 -3.69 66.8 72.0
Pierce Ross - 20 7.1 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.3 - - - - 32.7 17.9 46.7 - 39.2 37.5
Parker Hardage - 5 4.7 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 - - - - 50.0 50.0 50.0 - 61.5 62.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG