North Park
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 927 (#371) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 892 (#383) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.3 (#264) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.088 (#638) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.048 (#381) | NetEff -21.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.171 (#504) | AdjNet -13.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.163 (#503) | AdjNet -13.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.292 (#511) | AdjO 58.1 | AdjD 67.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Lawrence | L | 42 - 58 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | UChicago | L | 53 - 73 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Whitworth | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 76 - 77 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Dominican (IL) | W | 70 - 49 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Beloit | W | 63 - 55 |
| 2024-11-27 | vs | Olivet | W | 92 - 53 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 57 - 88 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Millikin | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | L | 35 - 68 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Grove City | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Berry | L | 46 - 52 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Carthage | L | 42 - 82 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Carroll (WI) | L | 63 - 89 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Augustana (IL) | L | 41 - 66 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | North Central (IL) | L | 45 - 71 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Millikin | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | L | 50 - 56 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Carthage | L | 40 - 56 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Augustana (IL) | L | 49 - 72 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | North Central (IL) | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 42 - 99 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Elmhurst | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Carroll (WI) | L | 51 - 97 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Davis | - | 1 | 33.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | -34 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.05 | 54.6 | 50.0 |
| Makynlee Taylor | - | 1 | 32.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 42.9 | 37.5 | 0.0 | -0.21 | 50.4 | 53.6 |
| Victoria Detraz | - | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 56 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 45.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.08 | 47.7 | 45.5 |
| Caroline Long | - | 24 | 24.7 | 12.9 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 10.5 | 8.3 | -59 | -1.7 | -2.1 | 47.0 | 16.7 | 69.6 | -0.28 | 52.0 | 47.2 |
| Bella Larrison | - | 1 | 31.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | -18 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 36.4 | 60.0 | 50.0 | -0.28 | 50.5 | 50.0 |
| Aliyah Hershberger | - | 25 | 32.6 | 10.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 61 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 35.6 | 26.9 | 86.7 | 0.6 | 49.2 | 41.9 |
| Sarah Sewak | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.05 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Evelyn Abundes | - | 25 | 23.1 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 8.8 | 5.6 | -36 | -1.4 | -1.7 | 36.2 | 22.8 | 72.5 | -0.1 | 46.7 | 40.3 |
| Paige Williamson | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -10 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.01 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Kathryn Keehn | - | 25 | 24.0 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 6.2 | 4.2 | -15 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 29.2 | 29.5 | 86.7 | -0.38 | 42.3 | 35.1 |
| Naomi Kaskavitch | - | 23 | 21.9 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 3.6 | -4 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 36.7 | 32.1 | 54.2 | 0.35 | 48.2 | 46.7 |
| Aliesha Peterson | - | 25 | 27.6 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 2.4 | -101 | -3.2 | -3.4 | 34.7 | 16.7 | 75.0 | -0.7 | 41.5 | 36.7 |
| Brynn Beard | - | 1 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -23 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.41 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Brooke Panush | - | 25 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 26 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 36.4 | 14.3 | 46.4 | 0.42 | 39.7 | 37.7 |
| Teresa Morrissey | - | 25 | 9.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 1.3 | -33 | -1.0 | -2.0 | 28.8 | 26.3 | 70.0 | -0.8 | 38.1 | 35.6 |
| Jocelyn Chammas | - | 25 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 44 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 40.4 | 27.6 | 70.0 | 0.62 | 51.6 | 48.9 |
| Emily Reed | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.17 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kaylee Bures | - | 8 | 12.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 53.5 | 20.0 |
| Olivia Reed | - | 20 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | -9 | -0.9 | -2.4 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.17 | 48.3 | 45.0 |
| Ashanti Bradley | - | 25 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | -1.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 10.3 | 10.5 | 100.0 | -0.7 | 17.2 | 12.8 |
| Bella Cabrales | - | 25 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 0.5 | 3.9 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.11 | 39.8 | 40.0 |
| Shay Bowen | - | 25 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 39 | 1.6 | 4.8 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 14.3 | 0.43 | 20.7 | 22.2 |
| Arianna Gutierrez | - | 25 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 29 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.06 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Blanche Mampuya | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ava Foote | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lauren McKnight | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Ball | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kylie Hendrickson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -38 | -1.6 | -9.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Miranda Wozniak | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -26 | -2.0 | -15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Neva Sheets | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Allista Taulman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mackinzie Toliver | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
| Lauren Smith | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -50 | -1.8 | -2.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Ella Turner | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -1.0 | -3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG