North Central (IL)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 922 (#401) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 996 (#270) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.1 (#84) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.376 (#545) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.451 (#313) | NetEff -1.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.483 (#355) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.475 (#359) | AdjNet -0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.485 (#360) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 72.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Moncrief | - | 28 | 31.0 | 14.4 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 10.9 | -90 | -5.0 | -7.6 | 55.0 | 43.1 | 68.0 | 1.16 | 60.5 | 58.7 |
| Carrington McNeal | - | 32 | 26.1 | 14.2 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 10.0 | 12.4 | 32 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 53.3 | 41.2 | 81.8 | 1.07 | 63.4 | 59.8 |
| Carmello McNeal | - | 31 | 23.5 | 12.2 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 19 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 50.0 | 34.5 | 78.9 | 0.71 | 58.3 | 54.9 |
| Tyler Swierczek | - | 28 | 27.9 | 11.9 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 8.9 | 7.0 | -53 | -2.1 | -4.5 | 46.8 | 43.6 | 84.6 | 1.66 | 62.8 | 60.5 |
| Tanner Holtman | - | 32 | 29.6 | 11.4 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 9.1 | 8.6 | 19 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 43.2 | 40.8 | 85.7 | 1.73 | 59.5 | 57.5 |
| Malik Siggers | - | 32 | 20.2 | 11.3 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 9.2 | 6.8 | 28 | 2.2 | 6.6 | 48.0 | 21.9 | 77.0 | 1.0 | 54.6 | 50.3 |
| Ethan Helwig | - | 27 | 30.6 | 11.3 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.4 | 9.9 | -89 | -5.6 | -8.1 | 43.6 | 34.2 | 82.5 | -0.37 | 59.7 | 55.5 |
| Drew Gaston | - | 28 | 19.4 | 11.2 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 7.9 | 7.0 | -19 | -2.1 | -4.3 | 45.7 | 27.4 | 87.0 | 0.34 | 58.3 | 49.5 |
| Remy Wedgeworth-Brown | - | 32 | 24.0 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 7.0 | 6.2 | 21 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 45.5 | 39.1 | 75.0 | 1.09 | 54.9 | 51.1 |
| Alejandro Diaz | - | 26 | 24.5 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 5.4 | -75 | -3.1 | -8.0 | 42.7 | 27.7 | 79.6 | -0.3 | 54.9 | 50.0 |
| Nik Feller | - | 30 | 17.4 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 4.6 | 15 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 42.0 | 43.8 | 76.5 | 0.7 | 59.4 | 58.2 |
| Cameron Thomas | - | 30 | 19.2 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 8.7 | 17 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 50.6 | 29.8 | 50.0 | 0.77 | 55.8 | 55.7 |
| Tyler DiSilvio | - | 27 | 16.6 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 4.3 | -17 | -1.3 | -7.2 | 43.8 | 27.3 | 70.6 | 0.24 | 52.8 | 49.1 |
| James Bullock | - | 27 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 3.3 | -30 | -4.3 | -11.1 | 34.6 | 15.8 | 83.8 | 0.12 | 43.4 | 36.9 |
| Blue Smaller | - | 23 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 43 | 3.3 | 40.4 | 70.3 | 0.0 | 48.0 | -0.02 | 68.0 | 70.3 |
| Sean Molloy | - | 27 | 17.2 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 4.0 | -47 | -1.9 | -5.9 | 36.5 | 28.0 | 65.4 | 1.3 | 46.1 | 39.9 |
| Justin Sveiteris | - | 28 | 9.9 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 21 | 1.5 | 7.9 | 59.4 | 0 | 64.7 | 0.74 | 60.8 | 59.4 |
| Josh Hoffman | - | 32 | 10.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 2.5 | -24 | -1.5 | -8.5 | 32.9 | 24.4 | 65.0 | 0.05 | 43.6 | 40.1 |
| Elijah Smith | - | 31 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 1.5 | -5 | -0.5 | -3.4 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 44.4 | -0.16 | 42.2 | 41.7 |
| Tre Davis | - | 28 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | -3 | -0.8 | -5.8 | 31.0 | 36.8 | 64.3 | -0.3 | 43.6 | 39.3 |
| Sevag Aroyan | - | 27 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 2.0 | 5.9 | 46.4 | 20.0 | 68.8 | -0.0 | 54.2 | 48.2 |
| Jayden Livingston | - | 30 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 20 | 1.3 | 29.1 | 46.4 | 30.8 | 50.0 | -0.21 | 53.9 | 53.6 |
| Jaquan Adams | - | 27 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 0.8 | 26.5 | 36.0 | 30.0 | 62.5 | -0.47 | 45.6 | 42.0 |
| Steven Colon | - | 31 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2 | 0.4 | 13.4 | 40.0 | 35.0 | 0.0 | -0.78 | 50.9 | 51.7 |
| Connor Yslas | - | 30 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 4 | 1.3 | 41.4 | 63.2 | 100.0 | 75.0 | -0.95 | 67.4 | 65.8 |
| Jaydon James | - | 27 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 10 | 1.0 | 8.6 | 41.2 | 66.7 | 71.4 | 0.08 | 52.3 | 47.1 |
| Leyton Barr | - | 31 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 6 | 1.2 | 261.8 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.47 | 55.0 | 55.0 |
| Martin Askenazi | - | 31 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.5 | 43.6 | 28.6 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -1.47 | 44.4 | 35.7 |
| Jacob Becher | - | 30 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 11 | 1.4 | 977.8 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.47 | 39.4 | 37.5 |
| Isaiah Ronning | - | 29 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 27.8 | 27.8 |
| Bryce Smith | - | 26 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -8 | -0.6 | -98.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.99 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Kam McIntyre | - | 25 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 2 | 2.0 | 58.5 | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0 | -1.34 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Tyler Surin | - | 26 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 45 | 4.5 | 864.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.17 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Corey Brown Jr. | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Bennett Nicholson | - | 13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Keagan Faulkner | - | 24 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Bryce Woods | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Conner Wright | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Simon Krugliakovas | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Oliver Ledger | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Lewis | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Neish | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler VanEtten | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Reggie Ray | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG