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North Central (IL)

Also known as: North Central (IL)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 922 (#401) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 996 (#270) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +3.1 (#84) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.376 (#545) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.8 More → 0.451 (#313) NetEff -1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.6 More → 0.483 (#355) AdjNet -0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.8 More → 0.475 (#359) AdjNet -0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.485 (#360) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 72.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 @ St. Thomas (MN) L 71 - 96
2024-11-09 @ Bethel (MN) W 87 - 83
2024-11-12 vs Carleton L 77 - 81
2024-11-12 @ Aurora W 78 - 71
2024-11-15 @ Whitman W 73 - 72
2024-11-16 @ Luther W 68 - 58
2024-11-17 @ Willamette W 69 - 50
2024-11-20 vs Augsburg W 87 - 85
2024-11-22 vs Wis.-Stevens Point L 62 - 65
2024-11-23 @ Wis.-Platteville L 69 - 76
2024-11-26 vs Benedictine (IL) W 86 - 78
2024-11-26 @ Hamline W 94 - 87
2024-11-30 @ Illinois Tech W 74 - 60
2024-12-04 vs Millikin L 67 - 73
2024-12-04 vs Wis.-Stout L 65 - 69
2024-12-07 vs Augustana (IL) W 76 - 69
2024-12-11 vs UW-River Falls L 61 - 72
2024-12-12 @ Loras W 82 - 78
2024-12-14 vs Carroll (WI) W 68 - 66
2024-12-16 vs Coe L 69 - 80
2024-12-20 vs Concordia Chicago W 86 - 78
2024-12-22 @ Milwaukee L 57 - 92
2024-12-28 @ Central (IA) W 90 - 81
2024-12-29 @ Loras W 87 - 84
2024-12-30 @ Anderson (IN) L 75 - 89
2025-01-04 @ Elmhurst L 66 - 80
2025-01-08 @ Wis.-Superior L 87 - 89
2025-01-08 vs Wheaton (IL) W 86 - 48
2025-01-11 @ Northwestern-St. Paul L 82 - 87
2025-01-11 @ Ill. Wesleyan L 91 - 99
2025-01-15 @ Carthage L 78 - 93
2025-01-15 vs Minn.-Morris W 78 - 56
2025-01-18 @ North Park L 84 - 96
2025-01-18 vs Crown (MN) W 99 - 75
2025-01-22 @ Northland W 101 - 69
2025-01-25 vs Bethany Lutheran L 92 - 104
2025-01-25 vs Elmhurst L 73 - 77
2025-01-29 @ Millikin W 65 - 56
2025-01-29 @ Martin Luther W 80 - 57
2025-02-01 vs Wis.-Superior W 79 - 76
2025-02-01 @ Augustana (IL) L 76 - 80
2025-02-05 vs Northland W 82 - 62
2025-02-05 vs Ill. Wesleyan W 72 - 64
2025-02-08 @ Crown (MN) W 85 - 79
2025-02-08 vs North Park W 86 - 81
2025-02-12 @ Minn.-Morris W 79 - 66
2025-02-12 vs Carthage L 71 - 73
2025-02-15 vs Northwestern-St. Paul L 87 - 92
2025-02-19 @ Carroll (WI) W 80 - 76
2025-02-19 vs Martin Luther W 92 - 71
2025-02-22 @ Bethany Lutheran W 86 - 72
2025-02-22 @ Wheaton (IL) L 68 - 73
2025-02-25 @ North Park W 94 - 92
2025-02-26 vs Bethany Lutheran L 64 - 68
2025-02-28 @ Carthage L 83 - 84
2025-03-04 vs Providence-Manitoba W 101 - 49
2025-03-05 vs Trinity Bible (ND) W 104 - 95
2025-03-13 vs Champion Chris. W 105 - 68
2025-03-14 @ Crown (MN) W 83 - 76
2025-03-15 vs Spurgeon W 101 - 92

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Terrance Moncrief - 28 31.0 14.4 4.0 3.6 1.4 0.1 2.0 10.7 10.9 -90 -5.0 -7.6 55.0 43.1 68.0 1.16 60.5 58.7
Carrington McNeal - 32 26.1 14.2 5.5 2.2 1.9 0.9 2.3 10.0 12.4 32 2.5 4.7 53.3 41.2 81.8 1.07 63.4 59.8
Carmello McNeal - 31 23.5 12.2 4.3 2.1 1.6 0.3 1.4 9.5 9.6 19 1.3 3.0 50.0 34.5 78.9 0.71 58.3 54.9
Tyler Swierczek - 28 27.9 11.9 3.4 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.8 8.9 7.0 -53 -2.1 -4.5 46.8 43.6 84.6 1.66 62.8 60.5
Tanner Holtman - 32 29.6 11.4 4.2 1.3 1.4 0.2 0.9 9.1 8.6 19 1.1 2.1 43.2 40.8 85.7 1.73 59.5 57.5
Malik Siggers - 32 20.2 11.3 2.1 3.1 1.8 0.0 2.5 9.2 6.8 28 2.2 6.6 48.0 21.9 77.0 1.0 54.6 50.3
Ethan Helwig - 27 30.6 11.3 6.1 1.8 0.6 0.0 1.5 8.4 9.9 -89 -5.6 -8.1 43.6 34.2 82.5 -0.37 59.7 55.5
Drew Gaston - 28 19.4 11.2 3.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.0 7.9 7.0 -19 -2.1 -4.3 45.7 27.4 87.0 0.34 58.3 49.5
Remy Wedgeworth-Brown - 32 24.0 8.7 2.5 3.6 0.8 0.2 2.4 7.0 6.2 21 1.4 2.7 45.5 39.1 75.0 1.09 54.9 51.1
Alejandro Diaz - 26 24.5 7.5 2.6 1.6 1.1 0.2 1.5 6.0 5.4 -75 -3.1 -8.0 42.7 27.7 79.6 -0.3 54.9 50.0
Nik Feller - 30 17.4 7.3 3.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.9 5.9 4.6 15 1.1 3.3 42.0 43.8 76.5 0.7 59.4 58.2
Cameron Thomas - 30 19.2 6.9 5.5 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.9 5.6 8.7 17 1.2 2.6 50.6 29.8 50.0 0.77 55.8 55.7
Tyler DiSilvio - 27 16.6 5.0 2.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.6 4.1 4.3 -17 -1.3 -7.2 43.8 27.3 70.6 0.24 52.8 49.1
James Bullock - 27 12.9 4.7 2.8 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 4.8 3.3 -30 -4.3 -11.1 34.6 15.8 83.8 0.12 43.4 36.9
Blue Smaller - 23 9.0 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 2.8 3.8 43 3.3 40.4 70.3 0.0 48.0 -0.02 68.0 70.3
Sean Molloy - 27 17.2 4.3 2.3 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.7 3.9 4.0 -47 -1.9 -5.9 36.5 28.0 65.4 1.3 46.1 39.9
Justin Sveiteris - 28 9.9 3.3 2.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.5 4.1 21 1.5 7.9 59.4 0 64.7 0.74 60.8 59.4
Josh Hoffman - 32 10.7 2.3 2.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.7 2.4 2.5 -24 -1.5 -8.5 32.9 24.4 65.0 0.05 43.6 40.1
Elijah Smith - 31 7.8 1.9 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 2.1 1.5 -5 -0.5 -3.4 36.4 33.3 44.4 -0.16 42.2 41.7
Tre Davis - 28 5.8 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.7 -3 -0.8 -5.8 31.0 36.8 64.3 -0.3 43.6 39.3
Sevag Aroyan - 27 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.0 6 2.0 5.9 46.4 20.0 68.8 -0.0 54.2 48.2
Jayden Livingston - 30 4.0 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.9 1.0 20 1.3 29.1 46.4 30.8 50.0 -0.21 53.9 53.6
Jaquan Adams - 27 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 9 0.8 26.5 36.0 30.0 62.5 -0.47 45.6 42.0
Steven Colon - 31 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 2 0.4 13.4 40.0 35.0 0.0 -0.78 50.9 51.7
Connor Yslas - 30 2.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 4 1.3 41.4 63.2 100.0 75.0 -0.95 67.4 65.8
Jaydon James - 27 3.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 10 1.0 8.6 41.2 66.7 71.4 0.08 52.3 47.1
Leyton Barr - 31 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 6 1.2 261.8 40.0 33.3 0 -1.47 55.0 55.0
Martin Askenazi - 31 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1 0.5 43.6 28.6 20.0 100.0 -1.47 44.4 35.7
Jacob Becher - 30 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 11 1.4 977.8 37.5 0.0 50.0 -1.47 39.4 37.5
Isaiah Ronning - 29 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - 22.2 16.7 0 - 27.8 27.8
Bryce Smith - 26 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 -8 -0.6 -98.0 40.0 0 0 -0.99 40.0 40.0
Kam McIntyre - 25 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.2 2 2.0 58.5 16.7 20.0 0 -1.34 25.0 25.0
Tyler Surin - 26 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 45 4.5 864.0 25.0 0.0 50.0 -1.17 30.7 25.0
Corey Brown Jr. - 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bennett Nicholson - 13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Keagan Faulkner - 24 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bryce Woods - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Conner Wright - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Simon Krugliakovas - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Oliver Ledger - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ethan Lewis - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaden Neish - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tyler VanEtten - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Reggie Ray - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG