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North Carolina

Season: 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History
Coach: Roy Williams

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1659 (#44) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1667 (#5) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +41.3 (#10) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.653 (#34) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.3 More → 0.891 (#12) AdjNet +18.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.4 More → 0.893 (#12) AdjNet +18.4

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-11-22 vs Old Dominion L 64 - 90
2003-11-24 @ - L 68 - 91
2003-11-29 @ - L 76 - 82
2003-12-02 @ - W 88 - 81
2003-12-07 vs George Mason W 115 - 81
2003-12-14 vs North Carolina W 64 - 53
2003-12-20 vs Wake Forest W 119 - 114
2003-12-28 vs UNC Wilmington W 71 - 54
2003-12-30 vs North Carolina W 105 - 72
2004-01-03 @ - W 61 - 56
2004-01-07 vs North Carolina W 89 - 64
2004-01-11 vs North Carolina W 103 - 88
2004-01-14 @ - W 90 - 84
2004-01-17 vs Connecticut W 86 - 83
2004-01-22 @ - W 90 - 81
2004-01-24 vs Virginia L 77 - 96
2004-01-28 vs North Carolina W 68 - 66
2004-01-31 @ - W 81 - 72
2004-02-05 vs North Carolina L 81 - 83
2004-02-10 @ - W 88 - 77
2004-02-15 vs North Carolina W 97 - 86
2004-02-21 vs North Carolina W 78 - 71
2004-02-29 @ - L 64 - 71
2004-03-02 vs North Carolina W 69 - 53
2004-03-06 @ - W 70 - 65
2004-03-12 vs North Carolina L 82 - 83
2004-03-18 @ - W 63 - 52
2004-03-20 @ - L 75 - 78

2004 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rashad McCants G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Sean May C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jawad Williams F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Raymond Felton G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Melvin Scott G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jackie Manuel G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
David Noel G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Reyshawn Terry F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Justin Bohlander F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Byron Sanders F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jesse Holley G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jonathan Miller G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
C.J. Hooker F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Damien Price G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Phillip McLamb F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Damion Grant C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG