North Alabama
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 946 (#201) | Preseason prior 912 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1003, returning -105, transfers +14, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 958 (#202) | HCA +179 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 986 (#178) | HCA +178 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +3.7 (#132) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +3.9 (#129) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.104 (#288) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.360 (#224) | AdjNet -6.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.288 (#267) | AdjNet -11.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.476 (#169) | AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 54.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.492 (#165) | AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 54.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.432 (#187) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.435 (#186) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 933 (#214) | RD 185 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.352 (#213) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Mississippi State Bulldogs | L | 27 - 68 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Ole Miss Rebels | L | 51 - 72 |
| 2026-11-09 | @ | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Fisk Bulldogs | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Vanderbilt Commodores | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Amy Kurkowski
|
G | 3 | 32.3 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 12.0 | 2.0 | -34 | 3 | -11.3 | -17.7 | 27.8 | 24.0 | 57.1 | -0.19 | 38.4 | 36.1 |
Brynn Lusby
|
G | 3 | 16.0 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 7.3 | 6.0 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -14.1 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.56 | 40.8 | 36.4 |
Venla Ulander
|
F | 3 | 27.3 | 6.7 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 7.0 | 4.7 | -31 | 3 | -10.3 | -16.8 | 38.1 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.65 | 47.6 | 47.6 |
Greta Ramon
|
G | 3 | 26.0 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 6.7 | 1.7 | -16 | 3 | -5.3 | -8.6 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.34 | 38.3 | 35.0 |
Emma D'este
|
C | 3 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 10.3 | -21 | 3 | -7.0 | -14.5 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.94 | 63.1 | 63.6 |
Mria tefancova
|
G | 3 | 18.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 5.3 | -1.3 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -7.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 2.15 | 31.0 | 25.0 |
Joceline Geara
|
G | 2 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | -2.0 | -22 | 2 | -11.0 | -45.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -5.11 | 44.4 | 40.0 |
Olivia Tredrea
|
G | 3 | 12.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | -0.3 | -20 | 3 | -6.7 | -28.4 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 0 | -1.71 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
Ella Macleod
|
G | 3 | 10.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | -17 | 3 | -5.7 | -30.1 | 28.6 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -0.95 | 44.4 | 35.7 |
Marckalia Celestine
|
G | 3 | 12.7 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4.0 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -42.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.96 | 52.1 | 25.0 |
Phoebe Holmes
|
G | 3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | -2.0 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -45.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.99 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Vera Gunaydin
|
G | 3 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | -22 | 3 | -7.3 | -50.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Kyah Smith
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Zamyra Wallace
|
G | 3 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Brooke Hallman
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
158 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Amy KurkowskiBrynn LusbyEmma D'esteGreta RamonMria tefancovaJoceline Geara
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 15-22 | 68.2 | 30 | Emma D'este 33% (10 pts) | Greta Ramon 20% (6 pts) | Mria tefancova 29% (2 misses) | Venla Ulander 29% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 17-48 | 35.4 | 34 | Brynn Lusby 29% (10 pts) | Mria tefancova 18% (6 pts) | Brynn Lusby 26% (8 misses) | Greta Ramon 19% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-13 | 30.8 | 8 | Amy Kurkowski 25% (2 pts) | Greta Ramon 25% (2 pts) | Amy Kurkowski 22% (2 misses) | Greta Ramon 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-6 | 16.7 | 2 | Joceline Geara 100% (2 pts) | - | Brynn Lusby 40% (2 misses) | Amy Kurkowski 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-5 | 60.0 | 6 | Amy Kurkowski 33% (2 pts) | Brynn Lusby 33% (2 pts) | Greta Ramon 50% (1 misses) | Joceline Geara 50% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-9 | 22.2 | 6 | Amy Kurkowski 50% (3 pts) | Olivia Tredrea 50% (3 pts) | Amy Kurkowski 57% (4 misses) | Vera Gunaydin 29% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Mria tefancova 60% (3 misses) | Ella Macleod 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-25 | 28.0 | 21 | Amy Kurkowski 43% (9 pts) | Venla Ulander 29% (6 pts) | Amy Kurkowski 50% (9 misses) | Ella Macleod 11% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-11 | 18.2 | 6 | Amy Kurkowski 50% (3 pts) | Venla Ulander 50% (3 pts) | Amy Kurkowski 33% (3 misses) | Venla Ulander 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 2-14 | 14.3 | 6 | Amy Kurkowski 50% (3 pts) | Venla Ulander 50% (3 pts) | Amy Kurkowski 25% (3 misses) | Ella Macleod 17% (2 misses) |