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North Alabama

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

48.0
PPG
67.7
Opp
-19.7
Margin
33.5%
FG%
20.3%
3P%
61.0%
FT%
41.3
RPG
12.3
APG
27.7
TO
70.3
Est. poss./game
56.8
Adj PPG
54.9
Adj Opp PPG
#169
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 912 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1003, returning -105, transfers +14, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 946 (#201) Preseason prior 912 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1003, returning -105, transfers +14, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +179 elo More โ†’ 958 (#202) HCA +179 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +178 elo More โ†’ 986 (#178) HCA +178 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +3.7 (#132) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +3.9 (#129) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.104 (#288) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.1 More โ†’ 0.360 (#224) AdjNet -6.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.3 More โ†’ 0.288 (#267) AdjNet -11.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 54.9 More โ†’ 0.476 (#169) AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 54.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 54.9 More โ†’ 0.492 (#165) AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 54.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.432 (#187) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.435 (#186) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 185 | GP 3 More โ†’ 933 (#214) RD 185 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.352 (#213) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 27 - 68
2026-11-05 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 51 - 72
2026-11-09 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 66 - 63
2026-11-13 vs Fisk Bulldogs - Preview
2026-11-18 @ Vanderbilt Commodores - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Amy Kurkowski Amy Kurkowski G 3 32.3 10.0 4.0 1.7 1.0 0.7 3.3 12.0 2.0 -34 3 -11.3 -17.7 27.8 24.0 57.1 -0.19 38.4 36.1
Brynn Lusby Brynn Lusby G 3 16.0 7.7 3.3 1.0 1.7 0.3 0.7 7.3 6.0 -11 3 -3.7 -14.1 36.4 0.0 50.0 -1.56 40.8 36.4
Venla Ulander Venla Ulander F 3 27.3 6.7 5.0 0.3 1.0 0.0 1.3 7.0 4.7 -31 3 -10.3 -16.8 38.1 50.0 0 -1.65 47.6 47.6
Greta Ramon Greta Ramon G 3 26.0 5.3 2.3 4.7 0.7 0.3 5.0 6.7 1.7 -16 3 -5.3 -8.6 35.0 0.0 100.0 0.34 38.3 35.0
Emma D'este Emma D'este C 3 22.0 5.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.3 3.7 10.3 -21 3 -7.0 -14.5 63.6 0.0 50.0 0.94 63.1 63.6
Mria tefancova Mria tefancova G 3 18.7 3.7 2.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 3.7 5.3 -1.3 -9 3 -3.0 -7.0 25.0 0.0 75.0 2.15 31.0 25.0
Joceline Geara Joceline Geara G 2 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 2.5 -2.0 -22 2 -11.0 -45.0 40.0 0.0 50.0 -5.11 44.4 40.0
Olivia Tredrea Olivia Tredrea G 3 12.0 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.7 2.3 -0.3 -20 3 -6.7 -28.4 42.9 40.0 0 -1.71 57.1 57.1
Ella Macleod Ella Macleod G 3 10.0 2.3 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 2.3 0.0 -17 3 -5.7 -30.1 28.6 16.7 100.0 -0.95 44.4 35.7
Marckalia Celestine Marckalia Celestine G 3 12.7 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 1.3 4.0 -28 3 -9.3 -42.2 25.0 0 100.0 -2.96 52.1 25.0
Phoebe Holmes Phoebe Holmes G 3 4.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 1.7 -2.0 -14 3 -4.7 -45.0 20.0 0.0 0 -3.99 20.0 20.0
Vera Gunaydin Vera Gunaydin G 3 5.7 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 -22 3 -7.3 -50.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3.37 0.0 0.0
Kyah Smith Kyah Smith G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Zamyra Wallace Zamyra Wallace G 3 6.7 0.0 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Brooke Hallman Brooke Hallman G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

158 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

D'este33% Lusby29% Kurkowski25% Geara100% Kurkowski33% Kurkowski50% Kurkowski43% Kurkowski50% Kurkowski50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
tefancova29% Lusby26% Kurkowski22% Lusby40% Ramon50% Kurkowski57% tefancova60% Kurkowski50% Kurkowski33% Kurkowski25%
Misses: who misses most here

Amy KurkowskiBrynn LusbyEmma D'esteGreta RamonMria tefancovaJoceline Geara

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 15-22 68.2 30 Emma D'este 33% (10 pts) Greta Ramon 20% (6 pts) Mria tefancova 29% (2 misses) Venla Ulander 29% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 17-48 35.4 34 Brynn Lusby 29% (10 pts) Mria tefancova 18% (6 pts) Brynn Lusby 26% (8 misses) Greta Ramon 19% (6 misses)
Mid-range left 4-13 30.8 8 Amy Kurkowski 25% (2 pts) Greta Ramon 25% (2 pts) Amy Kurkowski 22% (2 misses) Greta Ramon 22% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 1-6 16.7 2 Joceline Geara 100% (2 pts) - Brynn Lusby 40% (2 misses) Amy Kurkowski 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 3-5 60.0 6 Amy Kurkowski 33% (2 pts) Brynn Lusby 33% (2 pts) Greta Ramon 50% (1 misses) Joceline Geara 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 2-9 22.2 6 Amy Kurkowski 50% (3 pts) Olivia Tredrea 50% (3 pts) Amy Kurkowski 57% (4 misses) Vera Gunaydin 29% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 0-5 0.0 0 - - Mria tefancova 60% (3 misses) Ella Macleod 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 7-25 28.0 21 Amy Kurkowski 43% (9 pts) Venla Ulander 29% (6 pts) Amy Kurkowski 50% (9 misses) Ella Macleod 11% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-11 18.2 6 Amy Kurkowski 50% (3 pts) Venla Ulander 50% (3 pts) Amy Kurkowski 33% (3 misses) Venla Ulander 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 2-14 14.3 6 Amy Kurkowski 50% (3 pts) Venla Ulander 50% (3 pts) Amy Kurkowski 25% (3 misses) Ella Macleod 17% (2 misses)