Norfolk State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 994 (#164) | Preseason prior 1019 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1034, returning -50, transfers +36, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 980 (#177) | HCA +179 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 974 (#199) | HCA +178 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -14.6 (#312) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -14.7 (#314) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.067 (#308) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.239 (#294) | AdjNet -28.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.200 (#312) | AdjNet -31.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.272 (#303) | AdjO 45.7 | AdjD 68.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.268 (#323) | AdjO 45.6 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.267 (#289) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.266 (#291) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 974 (#177) | RD 197 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.330 (#224) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Virginia State Trojans | L | 62 - 63 |
| 2026-11-04 | vs | District of Columbia DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA | W | 62 - 51 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Pennsylvania Quakers | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Duke Blue Devils | L | 23 - 85 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Hampton Lady Pirates | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Bluefield State Big Blue | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Campbell Fighting Camels | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jizelle James
|
G | 1 | 36.0 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 27.3 | 42.9 | 71.4 | -1.23 | 55.4 | 40.9 |
Clemisha Prackett
|
F | 4 | 14.8 | 9.5 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 7.8 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -11.9 | 53.8 | 0 | 71.4 | -2.35 | 59.1 | 53.8 |
Sana'a Garrett
|
PG | 4 | 34.0 | 9.2 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 9.2 | 7.5 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -4.9 | 35.1 | 0.0 | 61.1 | -2.22 | 41.2 | 35.1 |
Alexis Davis
|
F | 4 | 20.8 | 7.5 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 10.2 | 11 | 3 | 3.7 | 7.3 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 84.2 | -1.36 | 64.2 | 46.7 |
Cire Worley
|
G | 4 | 32.5 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 10 | 3 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 21.2 | 18.8 | 78.6 | 1.02 | 35.8 | 25.8 |
LeAire Nicks
|
C | 4 | 23.2 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -2.1 | 40.3 | 31.8 |
Asia Keels
|
G | 4 | 29.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 1.8 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -4.8 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -2.71 | 24.0 | 24.0 |
Niylia Wilkins
|
G | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -5.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
Niyah Gaston
|
G | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Elise McClain
|
G | 4 | 11.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.8 | -1.8 | -13 | 3 | -4.3 | -13.1 | 13.3 | 10.0 | 100.0 | -0.79 | 19.4 | 16.7 |
Dahni Suggs
|
F | 4 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 10.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.38 | 27.9 | 33.3 |
LaChelle Moreland-Jones
|
G | 4 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -15 | 3 | -5.0 | -23.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.82 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
Ja'Cia Cunningham
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Brooklyn Taylor
|
F | 4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -0.8 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -24.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
207 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Clemisha PrackettSana'a GarrettCire WorleyAlexis DavisLeAire NicksAsia KeelsJizelle JamesElise McClainLaChelle Moreland-Jones
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 24-39 | 61.5 | 48 | Alexis Davis 25% (12 pts) | Clemisha Prackett 25% (12 pts) | Sana'a Garrett 33% (5 misses) | Cire Worley 20% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 22-70 | 31.4 | 44 | Sana'a Garrett 32% (14 pts) | Clemisha Prackett 18% (8 pts) | Sana'a Garrett 25% (12 misses) | Clemisha Prackett 19% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-14 | 7.1 | 2 | Clemisha Prackett 100% (2 pts) | - | Asia Keels 23% (3 misses) | Cire Worley 23% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 4-11 | 36.4 | 8 | Clemisha Prackett 75% (6 pts) | Cire Worley 25% (2 pts) | Alexis Davis 14% (1 misses) | Asia Keels 14% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-15 | 13.3 | 4 | LeAire Nicks 100% (4 pts) | - | Asia Keels 23% (3 misses) | LeAire Nicks 23% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | LaChelle Moreland-Jones 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Sana'a Garrett 67% (2 misses) | Cire Worley 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 2-25 | 8.0 | 6 | Asia Keels 50% (3 pts) | Cire Worley 50% (3 pts) | Elise McClain 30% (7 misses) | Cire Worley 22% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Asia Keels 33% (3 pts) | Cire Worley 33% (3 pts) | Asia Keels 43% (3 misses) | Cire Worley 14% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-19 | 21.1 | 12 | Jizelle James 50% (6 pts) | Cire Worley 25% (3 pts) | Cire Worley 40% (6 misses) | Alexis Davis 13% (2 misses) |