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Norfolk State

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

50.8
PPG
67.8
Opp
-17.0
Margin
30.0%
FG%
15.5%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
34.0
RPG
8.3
APG
16.3
TO
67.5
Est. poss./game
45.7
Adj PPG
68.3
Adj Opp PPG
#303
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1019 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1034, returning -50, transfers +36, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 994 (#164) Preseason prior 1019 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1034, returning -50, transfers +36, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +179 elo More โ†’ 980 (#177) HCA +179 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +178 elo More โ†’ 974 (#199) HCA +178 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -14.6 (#312) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -14.7 (#314) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.067 (#308) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -28.5 More โ†’ 0.239 (#294) AdjNet -28.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -31.8 More โ†’ 0.200 (#312) AdjNet -31.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 45.7 | AdjD 68.3 More โ†’ 0.272 (#303) AdjO 45.7 | AdjD 68.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 45.6 | AdjD 68.4 More โ†’ 0.268 (#323) AdjO 45.6 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.267 (#289) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.266 (#291) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 197 | GP 2 More โ†’ 974 (#177) RD 197 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.330 (#224) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Virginia State Trojans L 62 - 63
2026-11-04 vs District of Columbia DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA W 62 - 51
2026-11-08 vs Pennsylvania Quakers L 56 - 72
2026-11-12 vs Duke Blue Devils L 23 - 85
2026-11-14 @ Hampton Lady Pirates - Preview
2026-11-17 vs Bluefield State Big Blue - Preview
2026-11-20 vs Campbell Fighting Camels - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jizelle James Jizelle James G 1 36.0 19.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 15.0 3 1 3.0 3.4 27.3 42.9 71.4 -1.23 55.4 40.9
Clemisha Prackett Clemisha Prackett F 4 14.8 9.5 4.2 0.0 1.2 0.8 1.5 6.5 7.8 -14 3 -4.7 -11.9 53.8 0 71.4 -2.35 59.1 53.8
Sana'a Garrett Sana'a Garrett PG 4 34.0 9.2 4.5 3.2 1.0 0.5 1.8 9.2 7.5 -12 3 -4.0 -4.9 35.1 0.0 61.1 -2.22 41.2 35.1
Alexis Davis Alexis Davis F 4 20.8 7.5 6.8 0.8 0.0 0.5 1.5 3.8 10.2 11 3 3.7 7.3 46.7 0.0 84.2 -1.36 64.2 46.7
Cire Worley Cire Worley G 4 32.5 7.0 5.0 2.0 1.2 0.5 2.5 8.2 5.0 10 3 3.3 4.0 21.2 18.8 78.6 1.02 35.8 25.8
LeAire Nicks LeAire Nicks C 4 23.2 5.5 4.0 0.5 1.0 0.8 2.2 5.5 4.0 0 3 0.0 0.0 31.8 0.0 66.7 -2.1 40.3 31.8
Asia Keels Asia Keels G 4 29.5 3.0 2.5 1.0 3.2 0.0 1.8 6.2 1.8 -10 3 -3.3 -4.8 20.0 20.0 0 -2.71 24.0 24.0
Niylia Wilkins Niylia Wilkins G 1 17.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 -5.0 - - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0
Niyah Gaston Niyah Gaston G 1 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -2.0 - - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Elise McClain Elise McClain G 4 11.8 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 3.8 -1.8 -13 3 -4.3 -13.1 13.3 10.0 100.0 -0.79 19.4 16.7
Dahni Suggs Dahni Suggs F 4 4.8 1.5 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 2.2 1.2 3 3 1.0 10.4 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.38 27.9 33.3
LaChelle Moreland-Jones LaChelle Moreland-Jones G 4 6.2 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -0.5 -15 3 -5.0 -23.6 0.0 0.0 50.0 -3.82 10.2 0.0
Ja'Cia Cunningham Ja'Cia Cunningham G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Brooklyn Taylor Brooklyn Taylor F 4 7.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.8 -8 3 -2.7 -24.6 0.0 0.0 0 -2.12 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

207 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Davis25% Garrett32% Prackett100% Prackett75% Nicks100% Keels50% Keels33% James50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Garrett33% Garrett25% Keels23% Davis14% Keels23% Moreland-Jones100% Garrett67% McClain30% Keels43% Worley40%
Misses: who misses most here

Clemisha PrackettSana'a GarrettCire WorleyAlexis DavisLeAire NicksAsia KeelsJizelle JamesElise McClainLaChelle Moreland-Jones

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 24-39 61.5 48 Alexis Davis 25% (12 pts) Clemisha Prackett 25% (12 pts) Sana'a Garrett 33% (5 misses) Cire Worley 20% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 22-70 31.4 44 Sana'a Garrett 32% (14 pts) Clemisha Prackett 18% (8 pts) Sana'a Garrett 25% (12 misses) Clemisha Prackett 19% (9 misses)
Mid-range left 1-14 7.1 2 Clemisha Prackett 100% (2 pts) - Asia Keels 23% (3 misses) Cire Worley 23% (3 misses)
Mid-range center 4-11 36.4 8 Clemisha Prackett 75% (6 pts) Cire Worley 25% (2 pts) Alexis Davis 14% (1 misses) Asia Keels 14% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 2-15 13.3 4 LeAire Nicks 100% (4 pts) - Asia Keels 23% (3 misses) LeAire Nicks 23% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 0-1 0.0 0 - - LaChelle Moreland-Jones 100% (1 misses) -
Right corner 3 0-3 0.0 0 - - Sana'a Garrett 67% (2 misses) Cire Worley 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 2-25 8.0 6 Asia Keels 50% (3 pts) Cire Worley 50% (3 pts) Elise McClain 30% (7 misses) Cire Worley 22% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-10 30.0 9 Asia Keels 33% (3 pts) Cire Worley 33% (3 pts) Asia Keels 43% (3 misses) Cire Worley 14% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 4-19 21.1 12 Jizelle James 50% (6 pts) Cire Worley 25% (3 pts) Cire Worley 40% (6 misses) Alexis Davis 13% (2 misses)