Norfolk State
2026 Team Stats (29 games)
76.6
PPG
72.9
Opp
+3.7
Margin
46.2%
FG%
33.7%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
35.0
RPG
12.4
APG
12.1
TO
81.0
Pace
68.6
AdjO
80.5
AdjD
#318
Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 909 (#247) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 806 (#317) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1000 (#190) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.7 (#316) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.6 (#333) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.383 (#241) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.199 (#279) | NetEff -11.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.129 (#325) | AdjNet -16.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.125 (#326) | AdjNet -16.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.253 (#318) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 80.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.481 (#330) | AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.543 (#315) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.519 (#313) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 922 (#400) | RD 137 | GP 29 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. McComb III
|
- | 29 | 34.0 | 17.3 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 12.5 | 10.0 | 63 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 42.7 | 38.8 | 76.3 | 0.34 | 57.3 | 51.2 |
E. Jamison
|
- | 29 | 26.8 | 14.4 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 11.2 | 8.1 | -50 | -2.2 | -4.0 | 43.3 | 27.5 | 80.9 | -0.89 | 54.0 | 47.1 |
D. Ellis
|
F | 29 | 27.1 | 10.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 9.2 | -31 | -1.3 | -2.7 | 53.0 | 38.5 | 69.6 | -0.75 | 60.9 | 57.5 |
M. Jenkins
|
- | 25 | 18.8 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 17 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 35.6 | 31.0 | 69.7 | 0.05 | 45.8 | 42.2 |
D. Wright-Forde
|
G | 28 | 13.6 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 9 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 45.7 | 35.7 | 60.3 | -0.08 | 53.3 | 50.0 |
J. Leaks
|
G | 29 | 23.4 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.6 | 4.7 | 20 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 34.2 | 29.4 | 45.7 | -0.7 | 44.2 | 43.5 |
K. Lewis
|
- | 28 | 16.9 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 6 | 1.0 | 10.8 | 56.3 | 0 | 58.2 | -0.03 | 58.2 | 56.3 |
J. Morris
|
F | 29 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 36 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 69.2 | 0 | 58.6 | -0.13 | 68.6 | 69.2 |
M. Baines
|
F | 27 | 11.0 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 3.6 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.3 | 68.4 | 100.0 | 75.0 | -0.31 | 71.0 | 69.1 |
Adrean Newton
|
- | 24 | 15.5 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 44 | 2.4 | 7.8 | 45.6 | 45.0 | 54.2 | -0.1 | 52.5 | 51.3 |
M. Reid
|
- | 10 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 29 | 3.6 | 46.0 | 57.1 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.05 | 63.5 | 60.7 |
Ahmad Torrence
|
- | 3 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 37.0 | 20.0 |
Yel Deeng
|
- | 12 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | -10 | -0.8 | -5.3 | 29.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | -0.12 | 33.6 | 35.3 |
D. Camara
|
G | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Ryan Williams
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | -60 | -3.0 | -11.7 | - | - | - | -0.74 | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG