Noblesville Boom
Model Outputs
2015-2016
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 886 (#16) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 953 (#13) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.0 (#15) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.386 (#16) | - |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-14 | vs | RAP | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2015-11-15 | vs | RAP | W | 112 - 92 |
| 2015-11-21 | vs | DEL | W | 127 - 102 |
| 2015-11-22 | @ | IWA | L | 77 - 88 |
| 2015-11-25 | @ | CTN | L | 87 - 107 |
| 2015-11-27 | vs | BAK | W | 113 - 108 |
| 2015-11-29 | vs | ERI | L | 85 - 90 |
| 2015-12-02 | @ | WES | W | 98 - 97 |
| 2015-12-04 | vs | CTN | W | 98 - 94 |
| 2015-12-06 | @ | GRD | W | 105 - 92 |
| 2015-12-09 | @ | DEL | L | 124 - 128 |
| 2015-12-12 | vs | IWA | L | 103 - 110 |
| 2015-12-13 | @ | GRD | W | 99 - 96 |
| 2015-12-18 | @ | SXF | L | 91 - 102 |
| 2015-12-22 | vs | RNO | W | 129 - 114 |
| 2015-12-27 | vs | SXF | L | 101 - 106 |
| 2015-12-30 | @ | ERI | W | 106 - 80 |
| 2016-01-02 | vs | IWA | W | 107 - 105 |
| 2016-01-07 | vs | RGV | L | 99 - 111 |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | IDA | L | 92 - 98 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ | ERI | L | 82 - 104 |
| 2016-01-15 | @ | SXF | L | 104 - 109 |
| 2016-01-22 | @ | MNE | L | 101 - 113 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ | MNE | W | 103 - 94 |
| 2016-01-28 | vs | CTN | L | 101 - 106 |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | MNE | W | 116 - 111 |
| 2016-02-02 | vs | MNE | L | 97 - 108 |
| 2016-02-05 | vs | CTN | L | 100 - 111 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | GRD | L | 105 - 111 |
| 2016-02-09 | vs | DEL | W | 111 - 102 |
| 2016-02-16 | vs | GRD | W | 105 - 97 |
| 2016-02-19 | @ | RNO | L | 117 - 135 |
| 2016-02-21 | @ | LAD | L | 106 - 121 |
| 2016-02-23 | @ | SXF | L | 74 - 123 |
| 2016-02-25 | vs | WES | L | 86 - 98 |
| 2016-02-26 | @ | CTN | L | 96 - 107 |
| 2016-02-28 | vs | IWA | W | 110 - 85 |
| 2016-03-03 | @ | RAP | W | 127 - 125 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ | CTN | L | 102 - 114 |
| 2016-03-09 | vs | GRD | W | 110 - 104 |
| 2016-03-11 | vs | WES | L | 99 - 106 |
| 2016-03-12 | vs | SXF | L | 111 - 128 |
| 2016-03-14 | @ | RAP | L | 84 - 101 |
| 2016-03-18 | @ | DEL | L | 98 - 116 |
| 2016-03-20 | vs | GRD | L | 97 - 102 |
| 2016-03-22 | vs | SXF | L | 88 - 109 |
| 2016-03-24 | @ | IWA | L | 105 - 108 |
| 2016-03-26 | @ | IWA | L | 104 - 122 |
| 2016-03-30 | @ | WES | W | 98 - 91 |
| 2016-04-01 | vs | ERI | W | 117 - 101 |
2016 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Young | G | 3 | 0.0 | 24.3 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 20.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 43.3 | 63.6 | 93.3 | - | 54.8 | 49.2 |
| John Lucas III | G | 18 | 0.0 | 17.7 | 3.1 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 14.7 | 10.2 | - | - | - | 46.4 | 35.7 | 86.5 | - | 56.7 | 54.2 |
| CJ Fair | G | 50 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 6.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 12.4 | 11.9 | - | - | - | 48.5 | 35.5 | 80.1 | - | 57.2 | 52.8 |
| Rakeem Christmas | F | 48 | 0.0 | 13.9 | 7.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 10.8 | 11.1 | - | - | - | 47.3 | 25.0 | 73.2 | - | 53.4 | 47.4 |
| Walt Lemon Jr. | G | 47 | 0.0 | 13.5 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 11.5 | 7.1 | - | - | - | 46.3 | 35.2 | 74.4 | - | 53.4 | 50.4 |
| Shayne Whittington | F | 40 | 0.0 | 12.1 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 10.2 | 11.2 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 31.0 | 81.6 | - | 53.6 | 49.3 |
| Terran Petteway | G | 49 | 0.0 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 10.3 | 6.6 | - | - | - | 41.1 | 36.3 | 74.5 | - | 51.6 | 48.4 |
| Glenn Robinson III | F | 1 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 37.3 | 30.8 |
| Michael Frazier II | G | 10 | 0.0 | 10.9 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 7.6 | 7.7 | - | - | - | 57.9 | 55.6 | 50.0 | - | 63.6 | 64.5 |
| Xavier Thames | G | 48 | 0.0 | 8.6 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.8 | 73.9 | - | 50.9 | 47.3 |
| Stephan Hicks | G | 32 | 0.0 | 7.6 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 5.3 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 43.5 | 34.0 | 80.4 | - | 57.1 | 48.5 |
| Marcus Simmons | G | 49 | 0.0 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 44.6 | 32.8 | 56.6 | - | 50.2 | 48.4 |
| Anthony Harris | G | 29 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.4 | 3.4 | - | - | - | 45.2 | 42.3 | 69.2 | - | 50.8 | 48.7 |
| Kadeem Jack | - | 15 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 5.1 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 44.2 | 40.0 | 66.7 | - | 48.3 | 45.5 |
| Ramon Harris | - | 22 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 38.6 | 40.3 | 50.0 | - | 55.3 | 55.1 |
| Travis Hyman | C | 8 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 6.1 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 47.6 | 44.4 |
| Anthony Walker | F | 13 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 64.0 | 0 | 55.6 | - | 63.9 | 64.0 |
| Gideon Gamble | - | 5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 23.5 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 29.4 | 29.4 |
| L.D. Williams | - | 8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 42.9 | 31.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG