🐻⬇️🏀

Nichols

Also known as: Nichols
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1063 (#102) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1077 (#131) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -8.3 (#242) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.591 (#407) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.5 More → 0.513 (#281) NetEff +0.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.6 More → 0.319 (#441) AdjNet -6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.8 More → 0.311 (#442) AdjNet -6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 80.5 More → 0.396 (#437) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 80.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Emmanuel (MA) W 89 - 78
2024-11-13 @ Bridgewater St. L 81 - 98
2024-11-16 vs Southern Me. L 70 - 83
2024-11-18 vs Clark (MA) W 81 - 74
2024-11-25 vs Saint Joseph (CT) L 62 - 85
2024-12-02 @ Western New Eng. L 64 - 77
2024-12-04 @ Gordon L 81 - 85
2024-12-07 vs Roger Williams W 97 - 77
2024-12-29 vs St. Lawrence L 56 - 66
2024-12-30 vs Tufts W 72 - 71
2025-01-04 @ Curry W 93 - 88
2025-01-07 vs Hartford W 80 - 72
2025-01-11 vs Suffolk W 68 - 66
2025-01-15 @ Wentworth L 71 - 72
2025-01-18 vs U New England W 92 - 62
2025-01-22 vs Endicott L 85 - 90
2025-01-25 @ Roger Williams L 68 - 70
2025-01-28 vs Gordon W 94 - 77
2025-02-01 vs Curry W 104 - 75
2025-02-05 @ Hartford W 94 - 82
2025-02-08 vs Western New Eng. L 60 - 81
2025-02-11 @ Endicott L 77 - 93
2025-02-15 @ U New England W 84 - 81
2025-02-19 vs Wentworth W 81 - 69
2025-02-22 @ Suffolk L 65 - 105
2025-02-25 @ Roger Williams L 75 - 83

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Javen Flowers-Smith - 24 31.5 20.9 4.0 4.4 1.5 0.3 3.1 17.3 10.7 -47 -2.0 -5.7 43.4 33.1 70.2 0.68 52.6 48.6
Keenan Robertson - 1 29.0 20.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 18.0 -85 -4.7 -10.1 61.5 50.0 75.0 0.61 67.8 65.4
Simon Percy - 25 31.2 14.8 6.8 2.1 0.6 0.2 2.9 9.9 11.7 -83 -5.5 -9.4 60.9 43.6 64.3 -0.09 66.5 65.7
Ryan Savoy - 25 28.9 11.1 5.7 2.4 1.2 2.2 1.8 8.4 12.3 -57 -4.1 -6.9 52.4 18.8 78.8 0.83 58.1 53.8
Jake Gomez - 1 19.0 9.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 -54 -3.2 -6.4 75.0 50.0 100.0 0.21 92.2 87.5
Danny Yardemian - 1 27.0 9.0 5.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 10.0 -75 -4.4 -8.9 50.0 50.0 0.0 0.57 53.3 56.2
Olivier St. Louis - 25 22.3 8.3 5.8 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.8 5.1 11.0 - - - 48.0 35.5 78.7 - 61.5 52.4
Greg Keane - 1 19.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 4 0.7 18.0 50.0 0 80.0 -0.62 64.5 50.0
Jason Peters - 23 23.9 7.2 3.7 1.6 1.1 0.3 1.7 6.1 6.1 -68 -6.8 -13.5 47.1 32.4 61.1 0.03 56.1 55.4
Devin Dzikas - 1 17.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 -49 -4.1 -19.5 40.0 25.0 100.0 0.2 59.5 50.0
Dominic Mello - 15 11.7 5.7 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.1 4.7 3.1 -25 -2.1 -11.8 40.8 31.4 73.9 -0.03 53.0 48.6
Luke Chapman - 24 16.7 5.3 4.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.0 3.9 5.9 11 0.6 2.8 46.2 39.3 63.0 -0.22 60.5 59.1
Kyle Phillips - 1 12.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 -9 -1.8 -20.0 66.7 50.0 0 -0.38 83.3 83.3
Darrell Hardge - 14 17.2 3.9 2.9 1.3 1.2 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.3 -15 -1.9 -3.8 38.0 30.0 55.6 0.35 46.6 44.0
Ethan Minarik - 25 14.1 3.5 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.7 3.6 1.4 -5 -0.2 -0.8 34.8 32.1 0 1.16 48.9 48.9
Connor Strickland - 1 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -71 -7.9 -294.8 100.0 100.0 0 -0.64 150.0 150.0
Declan Davis - 1 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -23 -2.6 -43.8 100.0 0 0 -0.34 100.0 100.0
Harrison Stanwood - 24 8.0 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.0 0.1 -19 -2.4 -11.4 34.0 15.0 100.0 -0.22 38.6 37.2
Markly Jean-Baptiste - 23 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -2 -2.0 -28.9 50.0 50.0 100.0 -1.09 71.7 62.5
Logan Talbot - 18 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 -21 -3.5 -39.4 20.0 33.3 100.0 -0.28 47.5 30.0
Tyson Wheeler - 23 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -0.1 -1 -0.2 -2.8 16.7 25.0 100.0 -0.44 36.3 25.0
Talib Christian - 17 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Noah Rudman - 23 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 -6 -1.2 -53.5 20.0 0.0 0 -0.89 20.0 20.0
Shea Doherty - 24 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 -5 -2.5 -10.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.36 0.0 0.0
Joey McGovern - 15 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Diego Mello - 12 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -25 -2.1 -11.8 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0
Jarnel Snow-Guzman - 14 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 -0.2 2 0.7 2.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.16 0.0 0.0
Anthony Zingarella - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Owen Walters - 1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG