Nichols
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1063 (#102) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1077 (#131) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.3 (#242) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.591 (#407) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.513 (#281) | NetEff +0.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.319 (#441) | AdjNet -6.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.311 (#442) | AdjNet -6.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.396 (#437) | AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 80.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Emmanuel (MA) | W | 89 - 78 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Bridgewater St. | L | 81 - 98 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Southern Me. | L | 70 - 83 |
| 2024-11-18 | vs | Clark (MA) | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2024-11-25 | vs | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 62 - 85 |
| 2024-12-02 | @ | Western New Eng. | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Gordon | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Roger Williams | W | 97 - 77 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | St. Lawrence | L | 56 - 66 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Tufts | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Curry | W | 93 - 88 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Hartford | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Suffolk | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Wentworth | L | 71 - 72 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | U New England | W | 92 - 62 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Endicott | L | 85 - 90 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Roger Williams | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | Gordon | W | 94 - 77 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Curry | W | 104 - 75 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Hartford | W | 94 - 82 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Western New Eng. | L | 60 - 81 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Endicott | L | 77 - 93 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | U New England | W | 84 - 81 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Wentworth | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Suffolk | L | 65 - 105 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Roger Williams | L | 75 - 83 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javen Flowers-Smith | - | 24 | 31.5 | 20.9 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 17.3 | 10.7 | - | - | - | - | 43.4 | 33.1 | 70.2 | - | 52.6 | 48.6 |
| Simon Percy | - | 26 | 30.9 | 14.8 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 10.0 | 11.4 | - | - | - | - | 60.8 | 43.9 | 64.3 | - | 66.4 | 65.6 |
| Ryan Savoy | - | 26 | 29.0 | 11.1 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 8.4 | 12.0 | - | - | - | - | 52.3 | 20.0 | 76.8 | - | 58.0 | 53.9 |
| Olivier St. Louis | - | 26 | 22.4 | 8.3 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 11.1 | - | - | - | - | 47.8 | 38.2 | 79.2 | - | 61.6 | 52.6 |
| Jason Peters | - | 23 | 23.9 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 6.1 | - | - | - | - | 47.1 | 32.4 | 61.1 | - | 56.1 | 55.4 |
| Dominic Mello | - | 15 | 11.7 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 3.1 | - | - | - | - | 40.8 | 31.4 | 73.9 | - | 53.0 | 48.6 |
| Luke Chapman | - | 24 | 16.7 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.9 | 5.9 | - | - | - | - | 46.2 | 39.3 | 63.0 | - | 60.5 | 59.1 |
| Darrell Hardge | - | 14 | 17.2 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 5.3 | - | - | - | - | 38.0 | 30.0 | 55.6 | - | 46.6 | 44.0 |
| Ethan Minarik | - | 26 | 14.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 34.1 | 31.2 | 0 | - | 47.8 | 47.8 |
| Harrison Stanwood | - | 24 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 34.0 | 15.0 | 100.0 | - | 38.6 | 37.2 |
| Markly Jean-Baptiste | - | 24 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 71.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 82.5 | 78.6 |
| Logan Talbot | - | 18 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 20.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 47.5 | 30.0 |
| Tyson Wheeler | - | 24 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.1 | - | - | - | - | 14.3 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 31.7 | 21.4 |
| Shea Doherty | - | 25 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Talib Christian | - | 18 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 36.2 | 0.0 |
| Noah Rudman | - | 24 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Joey McGovern | - | 15 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Diego Mello | - | 12 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Zingarella | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jarnel Snow-Guzman | - | 14 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG