🐻⬇️🏀

Nichols

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Nichols
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1028 (#267) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1048 (#264) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1032 (#235) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -7.4 (#222) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -6.9 (#478) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.591 (#407) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.6 More → 0.319 (#441) AdjNet -6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.8 More → 0.311 (#442) AdjNet -6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 80.5 More → 0.396 (#437) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 80.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 81.6 More → 0.483 (#449) AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 81.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.407 (#477) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.424 (#469) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 1058 (#272) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Rhode Island Col. L 81 - 91
2025-11-12 vs Rivier L 68 - 82
2025-11-15 vs Bridgewater St. W 102 - 99
2025-11-19 @ Endicott L 73 - 84
2025-11-21 @ Keene St. L 72 - 87
2025-11-22 vs St. Joseph's (ME) W 81 - 79
2025-11-30 @ Clark (MA) W 75 - 64
2025-12-02 @ Curry W 85 - 77
2025-12-06 vs JWU (Providence) W 84 - 74
2025-12-13 @ Haverford W 80 - 77
2025-12-29 @ Wesleyan (CT) W 86 - 83
2025-12-30 @ Eastern Conn. St. L 68 - 77
2026-01-03 @ U New England L 88 - 93
2026-01-06 vs Wentworth W 79 - 71
2026-01-10 @ Roger Williams W 80 - 75
2026-01-14 vs Western New Eng. L 65 - 79
2026-01-17 vs Hartford W 101 - 97
2026-01-20 @ Suffolk L 65 - 73
2026-01-24 vs U New England W 112 - 83
2026-01-31 vs Endicott L 78 - 90
2026-02-03 @ Wentworth W 108 - 83
2026-02-07 vs Suffolk L 70 - 87

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Caden Sullivan - 1 34.7 28.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 25.0 77 4.3 20.3 57.1 44.4 100.0 -0.49 79.9 71.4
Elijah Kinney - 1 34.6 25.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 18.0 25.0 126 7.9 35.1 55.6 50.0 66.7 2.2 60.6 58.3
Colin Mannke - 1 36.1 24.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 21.0 14.0 -69 -5.3 -32.0 52.4 25.0 0.0 -0.79 56.0 57.1
Javen Flowers-Smith - 18 32.7 21.3 3.3 4.8 1.9 0.4 3.4 16.8 11.7 4 0.2 2.5 45.0 27.8 69.2 0.6 53.5 48.7
Dominic Mello - 19 36.1 17.1 4.3 2.9 0.9 0.3 2.5 12.9 10.1 -22 -1.0 -11.0 44.9 33.0 85.5 -1.39 57.5 51.6
Cam Keliher - 1 29.8 14.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 12.0 89 4.7 26.9 57.1 66.7 100.0 2.71 88.8 85.7
Russell Dolabany - 1 29.8 13.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 8.0 -65 -4.6 -29.0 36.4 16.7 100.0 1.02 50.9 40.9
Olivier St. Louis - 20 26.5 12.5 8.3 1.7 1.4 0.7 1.4 8.4 14.8 - - - 51.2 25.5 80.5 - 61.3 54.8
Marcus Montagnino - 1 37.2 12.0 7.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 19.0 154 8.1 31.4 50.0 0.0 80.0 4.07 58.8 50.0
Ethan Minarik - 20 24.4 9.2 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.9 7.0 5.2 -19 -0.9 -20.5 49.6 47.5 87.5 -0.1 64.2 63.3
Mike Yentin - 1 15.8 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 -12 -1.1 -13.4 60.0 50.0 100.0 -1.48 73.5 70.0
Jayden Williams - 1 15.4 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 -100 -7.1 -75.4 50.0 66.7 50.0 -2.75 71.7 75.0
Luke Chapman - 19 24.8 6.8 4.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 1.4 5.5 6.2 1 0.0 0.6 42.3 35.5 83.3 0.2 56.7 52.9
Kauny Teng - 19 19.8 6.4 3.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.0 6.1 4.6 -39 -4.9 -36.7 37.9 33.9 60.9 -1.68 48.4 46.6
Chase Mello - 1 27.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 -2.0 -42 -3.2 -30.7 20.0 0.0 100.0 -1.55 27.6 20.0
Dylan Olson - 1 21.3 6.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 7.0 -45 -3.2 -19.6 33.3 33.3 0 1.17 50.0 50.0
Noah Rudman - 8 12.4 5.8 2.8 0.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 3.4 6.0 -29 -3.2 -47.0 70.4 50.0 55.6 -0.34 74.3 75.9
Matt Boen - 1 22.4 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 2.0 79 4.2 21.7 16.7 25.0 25.0 -0.94 25.8 25.0
Jeff Hill - 1 26.2 4.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 3.0 35 1.9 11.6 25.0 0.0 0 0.34 25.0 25.0
Dylan Swift - 3 4.8 3.3 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.3 1.7 -4 -1.0 -10.5 23.1 25.0 100.0 -0.37 36.0 30.8
Aiden Flaherty - 1 16.1 3.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 6.0 -18 -1.5 -29.9 50.0 0 50.0 -0.42 52.1 50.0
Joey DaSilva - 1 5.7 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 48 3.7 79.9 33.3 50.0 0 0.55 50.0 50.0
Cassidy Bonsu - 14 9.7 2.6 3.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 2.2 4.2 25 1.6 21.4 38.7 0.0 63.2 0.52 45.7 38.7
Edrick Quezada - 9 13.5 2.4 2.8 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.9 2.8 2.7 16 1.8 40.2 24.0 0.0 71.4 0.18 35.3 24.0
Harrison Stanwood - 15 8.7 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.8 2.1 1.0 -9 -0.6 -9.1 40.6 30.0 100.0 -0.81 47.1 45.3
Hunter Larson - 1 10.7 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Davis Lunn - 1 11.7 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -35 -2.5 -17.5 33.3 0.0 0 1.34 33.3 33.3
Joey McGovern - 5 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.2 -1 -0.2 -4.0 33.3 40.0 0 -0.1 50.0 50.0
Anthony Zingarella - 16 8.7 1.0 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.5 -14 -0.8 -16.2 43.8 50.0 50.0 0.5 47.4 46.9
Tyler Broady - 3 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 1.3 -3 -1.5 -16.3 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.47 38.7 33.3
Shea Doherty - 2 4.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 -1 -0.5 -5.0 100.0 0 0 -0.15 100.0 100.0
DeShawn Faulk Jr. - 6 3.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 7 1.4 31.5 50.0 0 100.0 0.24 69.4 50.0
Sean Racette - 1 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -42 -4.2 -127.9 0 0 0 -0.51 0 0
Andy Weeman - 1 13.3 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -46 -3.5 -36.2 0.0 0 0 1.2 0.0 0.0
Liam Dunfee - 1 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0.1 1.3 0 0 0 0.26 0 0
Max Grenert - 1 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6 0.4 9.3 0 0 0 -2.44 0 0
Andrew Mitchell - 1 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 13 1.2 11.2 0.0 0.0 0 -2.47 0.0 0.0
Colmn Gilroy - 1 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.09 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG