Nichols
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 987 (#404) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1058 (#239) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1032 (#235) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.9 (#286) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.9 (#478) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.591 (#407) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.319 (#441) | AdjNet -6.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.311 (#442) | AdjNet -6.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.396 (#437) | AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 80.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.483 (#449) | AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 81.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.407 (#477) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.424 (#469) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1061 (#267) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Rivier | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Bridgewater St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Endicott | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Keene St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Clark (MA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Curry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | JWU (Providence) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Haverford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | U New England | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Wentworth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Roger Williams | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Western New Eng. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Hartford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Suffolk | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | U New England | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Endicott | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Wentworth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Suffolk | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Sullivan | - | 1 | 34.7 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 77 | 4.3 | 20.3 | 57.1 | 44.4 | 100.0 | -1.51 | 79.9 | 71.4 |
| Elijah Kinney | - | 1 | 34.6 | 25.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 126 | 7.9 | 35.1 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 3.24 | 60.6 | 58.3 |
| Colin Mannke | - | 1 | 36.1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 | -69 | -5.3 | -32.0 | 52.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.53 | 56.0 | 57.1 |
| Javen Flowers-Smith | - | 18 | 32.7 | 21.3 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 16.8 | 11.7 | 4 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 45.0 | 27.8 | 69.2 | 1.81 | 53.5 | 48.7 |
| Dominic Mello | - | 19 | 36.1 | 17.1 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 12.9 | 10.1 | -22 | -1.0 | -11.0 | 44.9 | 33.0 | 85.5 | -2.28 | 57.5 | 51.6 |
| Cam Keliher | - | 1 | 29.8 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 89 | 4.7 | 26.9 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 1.29 | 88.8 | 85.7 |
| Russell Dolabany | - | 1 | 29.8 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | -65 | -4.6 | -29.0 | 36.4 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -0.8 | 50.9 | 40.9 |
| Olivier St. Louis | - | 20 | 26.5 | 12.5 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 8.4 | 14.8 | - | - | - | 51.2 | 25.5 | 80.5 | - | 61.3 | 54.8 |
| Marcus Montagnino | - | 1 | 37.2 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 154 | 8.1 | 31.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 4.09 | 58.8 | 50.0 |
| Ethan Minarik | - | 20 | 24.4 | 9.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 7.0 | 5.2 | -19 | -0.9 | -20.5 | 49.6 | 47.5 | 87.5 | -0.85 | 64.2 | 63.3 |
| Mike Yentin | - | 1 | 15.8 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | -12 | -1.1 | -13.4 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.86 | 73.5 | 70.0 |
| Jayden Williams | - | 1 | 15.4 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -100 | -7.1 | -75.4 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -1.84 | 71.7 | 75.0 |
| Luke Chapman | - | 19 | 24.8 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 42.3 | 35.5 | 83.3 | -0.35 | 56.7 | 52.9 |
| Kauny Teng | - | 19 | 19.8 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 6.1 | 4.6 | -39 | -4.9 | -36.7 | 37.9 | 33.9 | 60.9 | -2.08 | 48.4 | 46.6 |
| Chase Mello | - | 1 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | -2.0 | -42 | -3.2 | -30.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.68 | 27.6 | 20.0 |
| Dylan Olson | - | 1 | 21.3 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -45 | -3.2 | -19.6 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.41 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Noah Rudman | - | 8 | 12.4 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 6.0 | -29 | -3.2 | -47.0 | 70.4 | 50.0 | 55.6 | -1.55 | 74.3 | 75.9 |
| Matt Boen | - | 1 | 22.4 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 79 | 4.2 | 21.7 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 | -0.16 | 25.8 | 25.0 |
| Jeff Hill | - | 1 | 26.2 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 35 | 1.9 | 11.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.78 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Dylan Swift | - | 3 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 1.7 | -4 | -1.0 | -10.5 | 23.1 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 36.0 | 30.8 |
| Joey DaSilva | - | 1 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 48 | 3.7 | 79.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 3.86 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Aiden Flaherty | - | 1 | 16.1 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -18 | -1.5 | -29.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.47 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Cassidy Bonsu | - | 14 | 9.7 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 25 | 1.6 | 21.4 | 38.7 | 0.0 | 63.2 | 2.2 | 45.7 | 38.7 |
| Edrick Quezada | - | 9 | 13.5 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 16 | 1.8 | 40.2 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 1.96 | 35.3 | 24.0 |
| Harrison Stanwood | - | 15 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | -9 | -0.6 | -9.1 | 40.6 | 30.0 | 100.0 | -0.51 | 47.1 | 45.3 |
| Hunter Larson | - | 1 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.05 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Davis Lunn | - | 1 | 11.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -35 | -2.5 | -17.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.77 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Joey McGovern | - | 5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | -1 | -0.2 | -4.0 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Tyler Broady | - | 3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | -3 | -1.5 | -16.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Shea Doherty | - | 2 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | -1 | -0.5 | -5.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Anthony Zingarella | - | 16 | 8.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -14 | -0.8 | -16.2 | 43.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.92 | 47.4 | 46.9 |
| DeShawn Faulk Jr. | - | 6 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 7 | 1.4 | 31.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.38 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Liam Dunfee | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Max Grenert | - | 1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.4 | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Mitchell | - | 1 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | 13 | 1.2 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.98 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Colmn Gilroy | - | 1 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Racette | - | 1 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -42 | -4.2 | -127.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.37 | 0 | 0 |
| Andy Weeman | - | 1 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -46 | -3.5 | -36.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.67 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG