Nicholls
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 865 (#247) | Preseason prior 872 (returning production + recruiting): last season 953, returning -23, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 900 (#250) | HCA +188 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 945 (#251) | HCA +188 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -16.0 (#312) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -15.8 (#313) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.083 (#304) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.268 (#285) | AdjNet -16.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.264 (#286) | AdjNet -16.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.354 (#251) | AdjO 53.4 | AdjD 58.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.380 (#255) | AdjO 53.4 | AdjD 58.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.275 (#277) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.279 (#283) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 882 (#252) | RD 201 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.238 (#253) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Dillard Blue Devils | W | 83 - 54 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Iowa State Cyclones | L | 44 - 68 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Georgia Lady Bulldogs | L | 48 - 74 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | LSU Alexandria Generals | W | 83 - 40 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | SMU Mustangs | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Britiya Curtis
|
G | 3 | 40.0 | 21.7 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 16.7 | 13.0 | -21 | 3 | -7.0 | -7.0 | 42.0 | 35.7 | 61.9 | -0.6 | 54.9 | 52.0 |
Jasmine Matthews
|
F | 4 | 23.0 | 10.8 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.2 | 5.2 | -22 | 3 | -7.3 | -11.1 | 36.7 | 0.0 | 77.8 | -3.42 | 40.6 | 36.7 |
Charnelle Hoof
|
F | 3 | 31.7 | 9.0 | 7.7 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 | -30 | 2 | -15.0 | -18.3 | 34.5 | 0 | 63.6 | -1.26 | 39.9 | 34.5 |
Makayla Charles
|
G | 3 | 15.3 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 6.7 | 11 | 3 | 3.7 | 9.8 | 38.5 | 0 | 92.3 | -1.56 | 58.8 | 38.5 |
Danielle Bennett
|
G | 4 | 19.8 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 4.0 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -2.3 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.43 | 49.3 | 38.0 |
Shelcie LeBlanc
|
G | 4 | 22.8 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.8 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 25.0 | 7.1 | 66.7 | 0.39 | 31.3 | 26.4 |
Tyanna Stewart
|
G | 2 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -8.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.85 | 61.5 | 66.7 |
Anyra Wilson
|
G | 4 | 30.0 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 5.8 | -31 | 3 | -10.3 | -12.6 | 31.6 | 40.0 | 57.1 | 1.08 | 40.8 | 36.8 |
Laryn Scott
|
F | 4 | 26.0 | 3.5 | 6.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 8.8 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -5.3 | 18.8 | 0.0 | 72.7 | -1.13 | 33.6 | 18.8 |
Kaliyah Samuels
|
F | 2 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -17.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.07 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
Mattea Henry
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kira Johnson
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
247 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Britiya CurtisJasmine MatthewsCharnelle HoofDanielle BennettShelcie LeBlanc
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 35-72 | 48.6 | 70 | Jasmine Matthews 23% (16 pts) | Charnelle Hoof 17% (12 pts) | Jasmine Matthews 24% (9 misses) | Charnelle Hoof 14% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 14-47 | 29.8 | 28 | Britiya Curtis 43% (12 pts) | Jasmine Matthews 29% (8 pts) | Jasmine Matthews 21% (7 misses) | Charnelle Hoof 18% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 9-24 | 37.5 | 18 | Jasmine Matthews 44% (8 pts) | Charnelle Hoof 22% (4 pts) | Britiya Curtis 27% (4 misses) | Charnelle Hoof 20% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 6-19 | 31.6 | 12 | Jasmine Matthews 33% (4 pts) | Britiya Curtis 17% (2 pts) | Jasmine Matthews 31% (4 misses) | Charnelle Hoof 23% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-27 | 22.2 | 12 | Charnelle Hoof 33% (4 pts) | Danielle Bennett 17% (2 pts) | Jasmine Matthews 29% (6 misses) | Danielle Bennett 24% (5 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-7 | 57.1 | 12 | Britiya Curtis 100% (12 pts) | - | Britiya Curtis 33% (1 misses) | Laryn Scott 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-9 | 44.4 | 12 | Britiya Curtis 75% (9 pts) | Anyra Wilson 25% (3 pts) | Britiya Curtis 60% (3 misses) | Danielle Bennett 40% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 4-20 | 20.0 | 12 | Danielle Bennett 50% (6 pts) | Britiya Curtis 25% (3 pts) | Britiya Curtis 50% (8 misses) | Shelcie LeBlanc 31% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 0-8 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Shelcie LeBlanc 50% (4 misses) | Britiya Curtis 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-14 | 28.6 | 12 | Britiya Curtis 50% (6 pts) | Anyra Wilson 25% (3 pts) | Britiya Curtis 40% (4 misses) | Shelcie LeBlanc 30% (3 misses) |