Niagara
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2004 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 833 (#309) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 763 (#339) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.4 (#340) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.192 (#334) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.453 (#187) | NetEff -1.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.089 (#342) | AdjNet -20.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.085 (#342) | AdjNet -20.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.216 (#339) | AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 75.7 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-22 | vs | Youngstown State | L | 80 - 89 |
| 2003-11-29 | @ | - | W | 90 - 71 |
| 2003-12-03 | @ | - | L | 106 - 109 |
| 2003-12-13 | vs | Niagara | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2003-12-17 | vs | St. Bonaventure | L | 98 - 107 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | UCF | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2004-01-09 | vs | Niagara | L | 81 - 90 |
| 2004-01-11 | vs | Niagara | W | 105 - 87 |
| 2004-01-23 | vs | Siena | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2004-01-25 | vs | Rider | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2004-01-30 | @ | - | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2004-02-01 | @ | - | L | 91 - 97 |
| 2004-02-05 | vs | Marist | W | 87 - 51 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Fairfield | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2004-02-19 | vs | Loyola (MD) | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2004-02-21 | vs | Saint Peter's | L | 82 - 91 |
| 2004-02-29 | vs | Niagara | W | 83 - 77 |
| 2004-03-06 | @ | - | W | 106 - 92 |
| 2004-03-08 | @ | - | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2004-03-17 | vs | Troy | L | 83 - 87 |
| 2004-03-19 | @ | - | W | 78 - 70 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Mendez | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Tremmell Darden | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| David Brooks | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| James Reaves | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Alvin Cruz | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Lorenzo Miles | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| J.R. Duffey | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| James Mathis | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Luis Villafane | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Paul De Wet | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Barry Durosier | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Greg Noel | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jerome Williams | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG