Niagara Purple
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
63.0
PPG
84.0
Opp
-21.0
Margin
39.8%
FG%
37.2%
3P%
68.1%
FT%
27.3
RPG
12.3
APG
17.0
TO
72.2
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
76.7
Adj Opp PPG
#349
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 670 (#350) | Preseason prior 701 (returning production + recruiting): last season 808, returning -10, transfers -66, freshmen -30 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 822 (#356) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 825 (#355) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -20.9 (#364) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.9 (#364) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.102 (#335) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.197 (#350) | AdjNet -19.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.184 (#353) | AdjNet -20.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.257 (#349) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 76.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.260 (#349) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 76.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.183 (#360) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.183 (#360) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 793 (#349) | RD 188 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.211 (#355) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | West Virginia Mountaineers | L | 46 - 91 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Morgan State Bears | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | Bowling Green Falcons | L | 76 - 88 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Iowa State Cyclones | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Delaware State Hornets | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Logan Woods
|
G | 3 | 30.3 | 13.7 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 11.0 | 9.0 | -26 | 3 | -8.7 | -11.5 | 42.4 | 45.5 | 100.0 | -0.59 | 59.7 | 57.6 |
Samuele Miccoli
|
G | 3 | 27.0 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 8.7 | 0.7 | -43 | 3 | -14.3 | -21.3 | 42.3 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -1.56 | 46.5 | 46.2 |
Fidel Rotta
|
F | 3 | 21.3 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -17.6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.97 | 52.4 | 40.0 |
Bastien Rieber
|
G | 3 | 31.3 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 4.7 | -34 | 3 | -11.3 | -14.5 | 41.2 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -1.28 | 62.8 | 61.8 |
Tae Blackshear
|
G | 3 | 15.7 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -34 | 3 | -11.3 | -29.1 | 40.0 | 36.4 | 80.0 | -1.31 | 58.1 | 53.3 |
Ruey Ruey
|
G | 3 | 22.0 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 7.3 | -16 | 3 | -5.3 | -9.7 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 88.9 | -0.15 | 52.7 | 40.0 |
Cole Farrell
|
G | 3 | 14.3 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 0.7 | -39 | 3 | -13.0 | -36.0 | 42.1 | 40.0 | 25.0 | -2.41 | 45.8 | 47.4 |
Brian Angeletti
|
F | 3 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | -25 | 3 | -8.3 | -46.5 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.04 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
Daniel Emokhare
|
F | 3 | 10.7 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 3.7 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -3.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.28 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
Trenton Walters
|
G | 3 | 13.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | -37 | 3 | -12.3 | -35.3 | 22.2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | -2.19 | 26.5 | 27.8 |
Gael Dalmau
|
G | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | -5 | 2 | -2.5 | -38.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jackson Redmond
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Noah Slingerland
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Vukasin Todorovic
|
F | 2 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -1.0 | -25 | 2 | -12.5 | -70.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
161 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Logan WoodsSamuele MiccoliBastien RieberCole FarrellTae BlackshearFidel RottaRuey Ruey
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 24-41 | 58.5 | 48 | Samuele Miccoli 29% (14 pts) | Cole Farrell 17% (8 pts) | Samuele Miccoli 29% (5 misses) | Daniel Emokhare 18% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 10-30 | 33.3 | 20 | Fidel Rotta 30% (6 pts) | Brian Angeletti 20% (4 pts) | Cole Farrell 25% (5 misses) | Fidel Rotta 20% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-10 | 10.0 | 2 | Samuele Miccoli 100% (2 pts) | - | Logan Woods 33% (3 misses) | Ruey Ruey 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Tae Blackshear 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Cole Farrell 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Tae Blackshear 67% (6 pts) | Logan Woods 33% (3 pts) | Bastien Rieber 20% (1 misses) | Brian Angeletti 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 7-15 | 46.7 | 21 | Bastien Rieber 29% (6 pts) | Samuele Miccoli 29% (6 pts) | Ruey Ruey 38% (3 misses) | Logan Woods 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-25 | 28.0 | 21 | Logan Woods 57% (12 pts) | Tae Blackshear 29% (6 pts) | Logan Woods 22% (4 misses) | Samuele Miccoli 22% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Bastien Rieber 67% (6 pts) | Brian Angeletti 33% (3 pts) | Samuele Miccoli 43% (3 misses) | Cole Farrell 14% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-20 | 45.0 | 27 | Logan Woods 44% (12 pts) | Bastien Rieber 22% (6 pts) | Logan Woods 45% (5 misses) | Bastien Rieber 36% (4 misses) |