Newberry
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 917 (#439) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 999 (#287) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 900 (#614) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.9 (#223) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.5 (#529) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.105 (#533) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#39) | NetEff +48.3 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.320 (#328) | NetEff -5.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.178 (#535) | AdjNet -13.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.174 (#538) | AdjNet -13.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.319 (#534) | AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.271 (#627) | AdjO 53.4 | AdjD 64.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.255 (#558) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.255 (#565) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 925 (#332) | RD 94 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Winthrop | L | 37 - 74 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Barton | W | 59 - 51 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | North Greenville | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Lander | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Toccoa Falls | W | 85 - 43 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Erskine | W | 68 - 57 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Livingstone | W | 65 - 61 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Mars Hill | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | UVA Wise | L | 32 - 45 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Emory & Henry | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Anderson (SC) | W | 62 - 49 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | N.C. A&T | L | 49 - 99 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Tusculum | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | L | 50 - 65 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Wingate | L | 57 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Carson-Newman | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Catawba | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 73 - 47 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Coker | L | 51 - 65 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | UVA Wise | L | 43 - 74 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 52 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 69 - 64 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickell Brown | - | 22 | 30.0 | 14.6 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 14.5 | 5.4 | 47 | 2.0 | 7.3 | 35.0 | 25.4 | 78.1 | 1.94 | 44.0 | 37.5 |
| Marykate Kent | - | 22 | 31.9 | 10.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 9.0 | 3.8 | 38 | 1.6 | 6.7 | 34.0 | 36.2 | 79.1 | -0.21 | 52.6 | 49.0 |
| Leigha Harris | - | 18 | 23.7 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 9.8 | 48 | 2.5 | 14.4 | 53.6 | 40.9 | 67.5 | 1.42 | 59.0 | 56.8 |
| Jada Brown | - | 22 | 26.6 | 8.8 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 7.6 | 8.8 | 61 | 2.9 | 12.3 | 41.3 | 11.1 | 70.1 | -0.48 | 48.0 | 41.6 |
| Hannah Nimmo | - | 21 | 23.6 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 38 | 1.6 | 9.1 | 30.2 | 33.8 | 56.5 | 2.39 | 43.6 | 41.8 |
| Reghan Williams | - | 21 | 21.3 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 2.4 | -55 | -2.6 | -11.1 | 28.0 | 17.6 | 51.9 | -1.71 | 33.8 | 29.2 |
| Ryann Hernandez | - | 20 | 13.6 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 | -8 | -0.4 | -3.3 | 44.4 | 25.0 | 72.7 | -1.59 | 49.3 | 46.3 |
| Daria Clet | - | 21 | 13.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 19 | 0.8 | 8.2 | 38.8 | 0 | 37.0 | -3.07 | 39.4 | 38.8 |
| Nyah Vermeulen | - | 11 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 3.3 | -10 | -0.9 | -7.6 | 34.8 | 0 | 87.5 | -0.94 | 43.4 | 34.8 |
| Destiny Mattison | - | 19 | 13.9 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 5 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 30.0 | 0 | 64.3 | 0.6 | 34.7 | 30.0 |
| Shemaiyah Earle | - | 9 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | -4 | -0.4 | -32.0 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -1.71 | 45.1 | 35.7 |
| Ayonna Lewis | - | 8 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | -14 | -3.5 | -23.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 40.0 | -0.97 | 49.2 | 50.0 |
| Audrey Gorman | - | 5 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | -4 | -1.3 | -20.2 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.51 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| LeNaja Davis | - | 3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | -1.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.03 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| Riley Martin | - | 10 | 4.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | -0.9 | -17 | -2.1 | -72.7 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.73 | 9.1 | 9.1 |
| Shiya Clayton | - | 6 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -0.5 | -15 | -3.0 | -115.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.8 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Antoinet Cheeseboro | - | 8 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -19 | -2.7 | -63.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.32 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jasmyne Lloyd | - | 1 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG