New Mexico Lobos
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1441 (#86) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +31.7 (#86) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.392 (#74) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.399 (#75) | AdjNet -3.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.396 (#75) | AdjNet -3.6 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-22 | vs | San Francisco State | W | 95 - 42 |
| 2003-11-24 | vs | New Mexico Highlands | W | 86 - 59 |
| 2003-12-01 | vs | Portland | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2003-12-06 | vs | Texas Tech | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2003-12-08 | vs | Sacramento State | L | 63 - 77 |
| 2003-12-21 | vs | New Mexico | W | 74 - 56 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | New Mexico State | L | 49 - 65 |
| 2003-12-28 | vs | Northwestern State | W | 87 - 51 |
| 2003-12-29 | vs | Penn State | L | 63 - 82 |
| 2004-01-06 | vs | San Diego | L | 75 - 88 |
| 2004-01-09 | vs | New Mexico | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2004-01-17 | vs | New Mexico | L | 42 - 68 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Utah | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2004-01-26 | vs | Brigham Young | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | New Mexico | W | 63 - 51 |
| 2004-02-09 | vs | Wyoming | L | 75 - 87 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | - | W | 51 - 50 |
| 2004-02-28 | vs | San Diego State | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2004-03-01 | vs | Nevada-Las Vegas | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2004-03-06 | @ | - | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2004-03-11 | vs | Nevada-Las Vegas | L | 53 - 55 |
2004 Roster
No roster data available for this season.