🐻⬇️🏀

New Haven

Season: 2026
Also known as: New Haven
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1071 (#199) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1019 (#299) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +26.8 (#86) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#63) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +64.0 More → 1.000 (#42) NetEff +64.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.9 More → 0.934 (#183) AdjNet +22.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.8 More → 0.953 (#168) AdjNet +23.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 61.4 More → 0.808 (#172) AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 61.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 57.8 More → 0.790 (#67) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 57.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.926 (#50) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.904 (#53) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1088 (#189) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 vs Purchase W 99 - 53
2025-11-17 vs Bard W 87 - 28

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lindsay Hogan - 2 26.9 21.5 12.5 6.5 3.0 1.0 1.5 19.0 24.0 7 0.3 2.3 44.7 25.0 75.0 -0.1 51.8 48.7
Teaira Kelley - 2 16.2 12.0 2.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 8.5 8.0 - - - 70.6 0.0 0.0 - 67.1 70.6
Addisen Sulikowski - 2 23.7 11.5 6.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.5 10.5 - - - 36.8 44.4 62.5 - 51.1 47.4
Aniya McDonald-Perry - 2 25.1 11.5 6.5 3.5 5.5 1.5 1.5 8.0 19.0 - - - 50.0 0 77.8 - 57.6 50.0
Schuyler Coles - 2 22.6 11.0 4.0 2.0 2.5 0.0 2.0 7.0 10.5 - - - 57.1 50.0 83.3 - 66.1 60.7
Eveani Okwuosa - 1 11.7 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Katie Drozd - 2 8.4 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 5.0 4.0 - - - 40.0 37.5 50.0 - 55.1 55.0
Kelis Simpson - 2 5.9 3.5 4.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.5 - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Mikayla Taylor - 2 4.8 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.5 - - - 50.0 0 75.0 - 60.8 50.0
Merit Innocent - 2 6.8 3.0 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 43.6 50.0
Shannon McCarthy - 2 9.2 2.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 5.0 - - - 40.0 0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Katelyn Simpson - 2 12.3 1.5 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 61.5 50.0
Samantha Battle - 2 4.2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.5 - - - 16.7 16.7 0 - 25.0 25.0
Jasmine Mckay - 2 11.4 1.0 0.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Jeeanna Pierantoni - 2 4.5 0.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Renelle Grannum - 2 8.4 0.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Mallory Farr - 2 3.8 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG