Neb.-Kearney
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1021 (#141) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1096 (#84) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.6 (#34) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.855 (#209) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.869 (#79) | NetEff +14.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.950 (#152) | AdjNet +25.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.959 (#149) | AdjNet +26.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.823 (#149) | AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 58.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jillian Aschoff | - | 29 | 30.3 | 12.0 | 6.9 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 9.2 | 13.5 | 21 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 44.2 | 28.8 | 77.8 | -0.72 | 54.1 | 47.0 |
| Kia Wilson | - | 29 | 21.8 | 9.4 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 7.1 | 8.1 | 28 | 3.5 | 12.2 | 57.6 | 0.0 | 58.1 | 1.19 | 58.6 | 57.6 |
| Bailee Sobczak | - | 29 | 14.9 | 9.3 | 5.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 8.8 | - | - | - | 55.0 | 0.0 | 61.4 | -0.1 | 57.8 | 55.0 |
| Samantha Moore | - | 28 | 27.0 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 32 | 3.2 | 44.5 | 38.4 | 31.9 | 62.2 | 0.67 | 48.1 | 46.2 |
| Meg Burns | - | 29 | 27.5 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 8.5 | 3.0 | -27 | -1.8 | -5.1 | 35.0 | 31.9 | 50.0 | 0.77 | 47.5 | 47.0 |
| Jordan Sears | - | 29 | 16.3 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 87 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 38.3 | 31.5 | 65.5 | 0.14 | 49.2 | 45.9 |
| Brinly Christensen | - | 29 | 25.2 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.6 | 3.4 | - | - | - | 35.4 | 29.7 | 58.8 | -0.35 | 47.6 | 46.9 |
| Saniya Simmons | - | 29 | 16.5 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 36 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 33.6 | 15.6 | 89.2 | 0.35 | 42.1 | 35.3 |
| Alex Flattery | - | 28 | 17.8 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 39 | 2.3 | 4.1 | 48.1 | 37.5 | 64.3 | 0.55 | 54.6 | 52.4 |
| Tara Biocanin | - | 21 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 33 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 37.5 | 0.12 | 44.2 | 44.4 |
| Alma Rashelbach | - | 11 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Bree Horyna | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG