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Neb.-Kearney

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 987 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +137 elo More โ†’ 1018 (#100) HCA +137 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +138 elo More โ†’ 997 (#104) HCA +138 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +3.8 (#88) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +2.7 (#92) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.494 (#99) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 61.0 More โ†’ 0.539 (#108) AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 61.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 61.0 More โ†’ 0.489 (#114) AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 61.0
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 219 | GP 1 More โ†’ 1000 (#98) RD 219 | GP 1

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-09 vs Sioux Falls L 60 - 63
2026-11-13 vs Minn.-Crookston W 67 - 59

2026-2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.