Neb.-Kearney
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1004 (#261) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1043 (#206) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 966 (#527) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.9 (#77) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.9 (#214) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.855 (#209) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.932 (#122) | NetEff +20.3 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#523) | NetEff -86.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.950 (#152) | AdjNet +25.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.959 (#149) | AdjNet +26.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.823 (#149) | AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 58.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.605 (#163) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 64.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.672 (#211) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.658 (#223) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1006 (#247) | RD 92 | GP 26 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | CSU Pueblo | L | 80 - 84 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | UT Tyler | W | 56 - 46 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Northern St. | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 51 - 62 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | South Dakota Mines | L | 45 - 57 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Augustana (SD) | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Washburn | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Central Mo. | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Southwestern (KS) | W | 111 - 43 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 90 - 46 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | South Dakota Mines | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Missouri Western | W | 84 - 76 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 71 - 49 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Emporia St. | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 69 - 86 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Central Okla. | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Rogers St. | L | 75 - 83 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 68 - 78 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Washburn | L | 65 - 76 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | L | 49 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Northeastern St. | W | 58 - 57 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anastyn Pettlon | - | 1 | 39.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 53.8 | 53.6 |
| Myleigh Weers | - | 23 | 30.3 | 14.9 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 13.4 | 6.1 | 106 | 5.3 | 15.0 | 38.2 | 31.0 | 77.3 | 0.34 | 49.3 | 44.5 |
| Jillian Aschoff | - | 23 | 33.2 | 12.9 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 3.7 | 11.0 | 13.2 | 52 | 2.7 | 7.5 | 40.3 | 16.7 | 79.6 | -3.27 | 49.4 | 41.7 |
| Jordan Sears | - | 24 | 28.4 | 11.9 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 9.2 | 8.4 | 57 | 2.6 | 9.3 | 46.6 | 37.7 | 67.1 | -0.24 | 56.2 | 53.2 |
| Brynn Sebek | - | 1 | 35.5 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 25.0 | 80.0 | - | 59.8 | 50.0 |
| Carney Black | - | 1 | 36.4 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 63.3 | 50.0 |
| Malgorzata Byczkowska | - | 17 | 26.5 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 24 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 39.0 | 37.6 | 50.0 | -2.97 | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Tara Biocanin | - | 24 | 19.2 | 7.9 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 5.9 | 6.6 | 107 | 5.1 | 19.2 | 57.4 | 0.0 | 58.7 | 4.28 | 58.6 | 57.4 |
| Gosia Byczkowska | - | 7 | 27.7 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 6.6 | 6.1 | - | - | - | 39.1 | 36.4 | 0 | - | 52.2 | 52.2 |
| Peyton Tritz | - | 1 | 39.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 31.1 | 28.6 |
| Saniya Simmons | - | 21 | 22.7 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 82 | 4.6 | 22.1 | 39.5 | 33.3 | 64.3 | -1.39 | 46.5 | 43.7 |
| Brinly Christensen | - | 13 | 21.9 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 6.8 | -0.1 | -3 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 24.7 | 23.8 | 33.3 | 0.72 | 36.0 | 36.0 |
| Lynnae Green | - | 13 | 16.5 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 3.5 | -15 | -1.4 | -10.0 | 45.3 | 0 | 83.3 | -1.69 | 49.8 | 45.3 |
| Maddie Demke | - | 1 | 29.1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Bailee Sobczak | - | 1 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 8 | 8.0 | 77.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.83 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Addie Sullivan | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 23 | 5.8 | 175.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.89 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Emma Rowan | - | 23 | 10.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 62 | 3.3 | 26.5 | 31.2 | 31.6 | 100.0 | 1.24 | 38.1 | 35.1 |
| Paige Horne | - | 22 | 9.2 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3.5 | 32 | 1.8 | 16.0 | 51.4 | 33.3 | 55.6 | 0.44 | 54.8 | 52.9 |
| Abigail Richter | - | 17 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 32 | 2.9 | 138.6 | 44.4 | 45.5 | 100.0 | -1.4 | 59.7 | 58.3 |
| Addison Sullivan | - | 4 | 7.9 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 23 | 5.8 | 175.8 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.89 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Breeley King | - | 1 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Rhyanne Mackling | - | 1 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alison Davis | - | 1 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 65 | 3.1 | 26.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.52 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG