Neb.-Kearney
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 955 (#309) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1023 (#227) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 995 (#314) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.6 (#179) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.3 (#241) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.291 (#443) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.985 (#106) | NetEff +38.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.619 (#350) | AdjNet +4.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.663 (#327) | AdjNet +5.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.586 (#342) | AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 78.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.515 (#270) | AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 78.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.577 (#257) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.570 (#255) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1014 (#214) | RD 93 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Angelo St. | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 80 - 100 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 92 - 98 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Hastings | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Washburn | L | 64 - 92 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Central Mo. | L | 69 - 99 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Hesston | W | 102 - 62 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Regis (CO) | W | 87 - 73 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | MSU Denver | L | 74 - 88 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Missouri Western | L | 80 - 104 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 94 - 100 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Fort Hays St. | W | 68 - 67 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Emporia St. | L | 79 - 82 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 96 - 89 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 80 - 89 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Central Okla. | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Rogers St. | L | 77 - 86 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 53 - 92 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Washburn | L | 67 - 89 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | L | 70 - 83 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Northeastern St. | W | 89 - 82 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marko Pavlovic | - | 1 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 119 | 5.0 | 31.4 | 55.6 | 0 | 80.0 | 1.18 | 67.2 | 55.6 |
| Ja'Bryant Hill | - | 17 | 33.4 | 17.8 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 15.4 | 9.1 | -134 | -6.7 | -20.0 | 38.5 | 25.6 | 85.7 | 0.18 | 50.2 | 42.9 |
| Caden Fry | - | 1 | 35.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 28.6 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.42 | 51.5 | 28.6 |
| Kai Smith | - | 1 | 33.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | -75 | -3.3 | -17.3 | 44.4 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 0.13 | 58.0 | 50.0 |
| Andrew Stokes | - | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -34 | -1.5 | -7.5 | 85.7 | 0 | 50.0 | 4.69 | 82.5 | 85.7 |
| Anthony Swift | - | 16 | 22.9 | 12.6 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 10.4 | 8.8 | -76 | -4.0 | -21.9 | 43.1 | 40.6 | 75.6 | 1.47 | 54.3 | 50.9 |
| Kendrick Gilbert | - | 18 | 31.4 | 12.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 7.9 | 8.4 | -129 | -6.1 | -20.1 | 46.9 | 45.5 | 75.3 | -0.6 | 60.4 | 53.8 |
| Bode Goodman | - | 1 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | -60 | -2.5 | -35.1 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -2.05 | 59.0 | 56.2 |
| Wade Williams | - | 21 | 26.0 | 9.8 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 8.4 | -103 | -4.9 | -19.9 | 51.3 | 35.5 | 72.4 | 1.4 | 60.0 | 58.2 |
| Tom Connelly | - | 22 | 21.9 | 8.9 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 6.1 | 7.2 | -112 | -5.3 | -24.8 | 48.9 | 42.5 | 80.0 | -1.97 | 68.2 | 66.7 |
| Angus Ole | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | -27 | -1.2 | -12.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.1 | 75.2 | 62.5 |
| Matt Noll | - | 1 | 35.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | -3.0 | -48 | -2.2 | -8.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.31 | 25.2 | 20.0 |
| Benjamin Kerkhoff | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -81 | -3.5 | -32.3 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.61 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Clayton Moore | - | 22 | 23.2 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 8.8 | -113 | -5.4 | -23.4 | 50.9 | 29.0 | 83.6 | 0.51 | 62.0 | 54.9 |
| William Kiburis | - | 1 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 120 | 5.5 | 27.1 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 80.0 | 2.99 | 67.3 | 50.0 |
| Taylor Harrell | - | 15 | 15.9 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 6.1 | -93 | -5.2 | -28.9 | 47.1 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.48 | 49.9 | 47.1 |
| Stephon Thomas | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 68 | 3.1 | 20.4 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 2.02 | 64.4 | 50.0 |
| Parker Ablott | - | 2 | 17.1 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 45.5 | 44.4 |
| DJ Jamerson | - | 4 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.03 | 60.1 | 54.2 |
| Wade Voss | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -65 | -3.6 | -59.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Zeek Brown | - | 21 | 14.3 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3.7 | -81 | -4.5 | -27.3 | 37.7 | 12.5 | 90.5 | -1.72 | 49.8 | 40.6 |
| Traeger Rader | - | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 20 | 2.5 | 28.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.34 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| River Johnston | - | 17 | 12.8 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 1.8 | -101 | -6.3 | -70.1 | 29.2 | 22.9 | 100.0 | -0.64 | 36.4 | 35.4 |
| Phillip March | - | 12 | 8.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0.2 | -45 | -3.5 | -35.8 | 17.2 | 14.3 | 75.0 | -2.29 | 27.7 | 20.7 |
| Chiaki Momma | - | 5 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | -0.6 | 2 | 0.5 | 15.0 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.58 | 25.3 | 22.2 |
| Aydan Perdue | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -6 | -0.5 | -8.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.44 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Payton Jones | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Eldon Turner | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -24 | -1.0 | -9.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG