๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Neb.-Kearney

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 938 (#101) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 975 (#94) HCA +102 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 972 (#96) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +1.6 (#98) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +0.4 (#98) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.340 (#105) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 72.1 More โ†’ 0.526 (#99) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 72.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 72.1 More โ†’ 0.473 (#99) AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 72.1
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More โ†’ 959 (#98) RD 218 | GP 1

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-09 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 62 - 75
2026-11-13 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 77 - 90

2026-2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.