Neb. Wesleyan
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 814 (#467) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 831 (#431) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.1 (#319) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.013 (#706) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.013 (#411) | NetEff -33.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.027 (#632) | AdjNet -30.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.025 (#632) | AdjNet -30.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.157 (#623) | AdjO 51.6 | AdjD 70.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Mt. Marty | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | North Central (IL) | L | 58 - 86 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Pacific (OR) | L | 67 - 94 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Grinnell | L | 49 - 73 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 33 - 90 |
| 2024-11-29 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | L | 58 - 64 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | L | 43 - 76 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Bellevue | L | 55 - 77 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Luther | L | 47 - 63 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Dubuque | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | L | 37 - 93 |
| 2024-12-31 | @ | Crown (MN) | W | 83 - 52 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Loras | L | 26 - 64 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Simpson | L | 54 - 105 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Wartburg | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 59 - 76 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Coe | L | 43 - 97 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Buena Vista | L | 63 - 80 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Luther | L | 57 - 86 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Dubuque | L | 46 - 74 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Loras | L | 48 - 65 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Wartburg | L | 38 - 81 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Simpson | L | 65 - 100 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Coe | L | 46 - 66 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Central (IA) | L | 40 - 79 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 86 - 78 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carney Black | - | 26 | 26.0 | 8.4 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 8.5 | -85 | -2.6 | -2.8 | 44.2 | 38.1 | 65.0 | 0.02 | 50.3 | 48.2 |
| Brynn Sebek | - | 25 | 28.6 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 4.1 | -117 | -3.7 | -3.8 | 34.3 | 34.8 | 75.0 | -0.32 | 51.5 | 47.5 |
| Maddie Demke | - | 26 | 30.1 | 8.1 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 7.5 | 6.3 | -127 | -3.8 | -4.1 | 34.2 | 27.1 | 78.2 | -0.68 | 45.8 | 38.3 |
| Jada Smith | - | 13 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 1.5 | -15 | -2.1 | -2.9 | 42.3 | 28.0 | 50.0 | -0.11 | 48.3 | 47.2 |
| Tessa Skelton | - | 26 | 19.2 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.8 | 1.1 | -45 | -1.9 | -2.5 | 36.8 | 22.0 | 61.0 | 0.06 | 43.5 | 40.5 |
| Mackenzie Griffin | - | 23 | 13.6 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 7.0 | 0.2 | -27 | -1.3 | -2.8 | 30.2 | 16.3 | 67.7 | -0.13 | 35.9 | 32.4 |
| Alison Davis | - | 25 | 10.9 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | -90 | -3.2 | -6.4 | 45.5 | 0 | 73.3 | -0.45 | 51.8 | 45.5 |
| Rhyanne Mackling | - | 25 | 10.0 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 0.6 | -54 | -1.7 | -4.7 | 21.6 | 23.8 | 53.8 | -0.09 | 35.1 | 25.0 |
| Mya Sohl | - | 9 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 39.1 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 38.4 | 39.1 |
| Rhya Cano | - | 25 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 | -9 | -0.5 | -1.7 | 35.1 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.02 | 39.3 | 35.1 |
| Miranda Oesterreich | - | 26 | 15.9 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.9 | -44 | -1.8 | -3.4 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.09 | 29.1 | 26.7 |
| Kiara Burnell | - | 18 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | -0.8 | 14 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 25.0 | 42.9 | 66.7 | 0.15 | 36.0 | 30.4 |
| Alexus Fillmore | - | 25 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | -0.6 | -4 | -0.3 | -1.2 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 60.0 | -0.16 | 33.1 | 30.4 |
| Alexa Back | - | 23 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 4 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 28.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.06 | 35.5 | 32.0 |
| Anisten Barnett | - | 25 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | -7 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 26.7 | 22.2 | 75.0 | 0.09 | 33.1 | 30.0 |
| Genesis Watson | - | 14 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | -33 | -4.7 | -20.8 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 0.12 | 46.0 | 45.0 |
| Anecia Toussaint | - | 24 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 21.4 | 0.0 | 62.5 | - | 31.4 | 21.4 |
| Mackenzie Watenpaugh | - | 23 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -13 | -1.1 | -9.3 | 44.4 | 0 | 30.0 | -0.1 | 41.0 | 44.4 |
| Jaedyn Ratzlaff | - | 25 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | -6 | -0.3 | -3.1 | 18.2 | 11.8 | 0 | -0.08 | 22.7 | 22.7 |
| Peyton Pack | - | 24 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | -0.0 | -5 | -0.3 | -3.2 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.02 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Tessa Hurlburt | - | 20 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -15 | -1.7 | -7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.17 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG