Neb. Wesleyan
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 814 (#467) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 839 (#513) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 805 (#684) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.8 (#295) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -18.5 (#590) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.013 (#706) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.938 (#135) | NetEff +18.9 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.153 (#466) | NetEff -12.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.027 (#632) | AdjNet -30.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.025 (#632) | AdjNet -30.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.157 (#623) | AdjO 51.6 | AdjD 70.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.220 (#653) | AdjO 52.6 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.159 (#627) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.154 (#637) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 738 (#517) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | McPherson | L | 62 - 77 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | St. Mary (NE) | W | 66 - 52 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Cornell College | L | 48 - 62 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Saint Benedict | L | 57 - 86 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | South Dakota Mines | L | 45 - 57 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Graceland (IA) | W | 86 - 76 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Bellevue | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Coe | L | 53 - 64 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Kansas Christian | W | 117 - 54 |
| 2025-12-22 | @ | Hastings | L | 34 - 63 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Grinnell | L | 40 - 58 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Dubuque | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Loras | L | 46 - 86 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Buena Vista | L | 48 - 64 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Luther | L | 50 - 86 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Central (IA) | L | 43 - 72 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Coe | L | 60 - 81 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Simpson | L | 51 - 87 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Wartburg | L | 36 - 62 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anastyn Pettlon | - | 20 | 31.4 | 13.4 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 13.4 | 3.4 | -61 | -3.2 | -22.5 | 37.5 | 33.6 | 58.6 | 0.51 | 47.6 | 46.7 |
| Brynn Sebek | - | 18 | 28.0 | 9.7 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 8.2 | 5.4 | -63 | -3.5 | -58.3 | 36.1 | 33.3 | 84.6 | 0.29 | 53.3 | 48.3 |
| Peyton Tritz | - | 20 | 31.9 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 9.3 | 4.2 | -147 | -7.7 | -46.6 | 29.4 | 28.1 | 66.2 | -3.56 | 42.2 | 36.6 |
| Carney Black | - | 20 | 30.9 | 9.0 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 8.0 | 10.1 | -95 | -5.0 | -30.6 | 44.4 | 17.2 | 76.7 | -1.77 | 50.3 | 45.9 |
| Maddie Demke | - | 20 | 28.7 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 6.0 | -118 | -6.2 | -39.0 | 38.3 | 25.0 | 71.8 | -2.23 | 49.5 | 43.6 |
| Alison Davis | - | 20 | 18.0 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 3.6 | -90 | -4.7 | -52.7 | 36.6 | 0 | 62.5 | -4.4 | 38.9 | 36.6 |
| Rhyanne Mackling | - | 20 | 11.6 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 0.6 | -80 | -4.2 | -54.3 | 31.2 | 0.0 | 57.7 | 0.28 | 35.6 | 31.2 |
| Breeley King | - | 8 | 11.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 47.1 | 0 | 40.0 | - | 46.7 | 47.1 |
| Mackenzie Griffin | - | 1 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mary Webber | - | 13 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | -23 | -1.6 | -26.0 | 34.8 | 31.2 | 50.0 | 0.39 | 46.1 | 45.7 |
| Anisten Barnett | - | 12 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -15 | -1.2 | -19.1 | 36.8 | 50.0 | 33.3 | -0.91 | 39.1 | 39.5 |
| Kiara Burnell | - | 5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -14 | -2.8 | -137.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.91 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Tessa Hurlburt | - | 10 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | -0.7 | -39 | -3.9 | -89.7 | 10.0 | 12.5 | 100.0 | -2.22 | 23.0 | 15.0 |
| Caroline Eastman | - | 17 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | -33 | -1.9 | -29.9 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 0 | -1.67 | 45.0 | 45.0 |
| Jaedyn Ratzlaff | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG