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Neb. Wesleyan

Also known as: Neb. Wesleyan
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 814 (#467) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 839 (#513) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 805 (#684) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -10.8 (#295) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -18.5 (#590) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.013 (#706) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.9 More → 0.938 (#135) NetEff +18.9
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -12.7 More → 0.153 (#466) NetEff -12.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -30.8 More → 0.027 (#632) AdjNet -30.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -30.7 More → 0.025 (#632) AdjNet -30.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 51.6 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.157 (#623) AdjO 51.6 | AdjD 70.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 52.6 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.220 (#653) AdjO 52.6 | AdjD 66.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.159 (#627) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.154 (#637) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 23 More → 738 (#517) RD 100 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs McPherson L 62 - 77
2025-11-12 @ St. Mary (NE) W 66 - 52
2025-11-15 @ Cornell College L 48 - 62
2025-11-16 @ Saint Benedict L 57 - 86
2025-11-19 @ South Dakota Mines L 45 - 57
2025-11-22 @ Graceland (IA) W 86 - 76
2025-11-24 vs Bellevue L 69 - 76
2025-12-03 vs Central (IA) L 70 - 73
2025-12-13 vs Coe L 53 - 64
2025-12-20 vs Kansas Christian W 117 - 54
2025-12-22 @ Hastings L 34 - 63
2025-12-31 vs Grinnell L 40 - 58
2026-01-10 vs Dubuque W 64 - 59
2026-01-17 vs Loras L 46 - 86
2026-01-21 @ Buena Vista L 48 - 64
2026-01-24 vs Luther L 50 - 86
2026-01-28 @ Central (IA) L 43 - 72
2026-01-31 @ Coe L 60 - 81
2026-02-04 @ Simpson L 51 - 87
2026-02-07 vs Wartburg L 36 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anastyn Pettlon - 20 31.4 13.4 2.7 2.4 1.7 0.1 3.5 13.4 3.4 -61 -3.2 -22.5 37.5 33.6 58.6 0.51 47.6 46.7
Brynn Sebek - 18 28.0 9.7 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.2 1.3 8.2 5.4 -63 -3.5 -58.3 36.1 33.3 84.6 0.29 53.3 48.3
Peyton Tritz - 20 31.9 9.2 3.0 3.0 1.3 0.1 3.0 9.3 4.2 -147 -7.7 -46.6 29.4 28.1 66.2 -3.56 42.2 36.6
Carney Black - 20 30.9 9.0 8.4 1.2 0.9 0.6 2.1 8.0 10.1 -95 -5.0 -30.6 44.4 17.2 76.7 -1.77 50.3 45.9
Maddie Demke - 20 28.7 5.5 2.4 2.5 1.9 0.0 1.6 4.7 6.0 -118 -6.2 -39.0 38.3 25.0 71.8 -2.23 49.5 43.6
Alison Davis - 20 18.0 4.2 4.8 0.7 0.2 0.3 1.5 5.0 3.6 -90 -4.7 -52.7 36.6 0 62.5 -4.4 38.9 36.6
Rhyanne Mackling - 20 11.6 3.1 1.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.1 3.9 0.6 -80 -4.2 -54.3 31.2 0.0 57.7 0.28 35.6 31.2
Breeley King - 8 11.9 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.0 2.1 3.0 - - - 47.1 0 40.0 - 46.7 47.1
Mackenzie Griffin - 1 5.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Mary Webber - 13 6.5 1.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.8 0.6 -23 -1.6 -26.0 34.8 31.2 50.0 0.39 46.1 45.7
Anisten Barnett - 12 7.4 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.6 1.2 -15 -1.2 -19.1 36.8 50.0 33.3 -0.91 39.1 39.5
Kiara Burnell - 5 2.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 -14 -2.8 -137.1 66.7 0 0 -0.91 66.7 66.7
Tessa Hurlburt - 10 4.3 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 -0.7 -39 -3.9 -89.7 10.0 12.5 100.0 -2.22 23.0 15.0
Caroline Eastman - 17 7.3 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.6 -33 -1.9 -29.9 30.0 30.0 0 -1.67 45.0 45.0
Jaedyn Ratzlaff - 1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG