Nazareth
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1060 (#122) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1101 (#100) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.5 (#137) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.920 (#223) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.918 (#65) | NetEff +18.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.798 (#275) | AdjNet +11.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.794 (#275) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.638 (#280) | AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 62.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Hilbert | W | 83 - 32 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | RIT | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Rochester (NY) | W | 87 - 78 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Alfred | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Lycoming | W | 71 - 50 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Elms | W | 95 - 59 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Hartford | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | NYU | L | 40 - 109 |
| 2025-01-03 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2025-01-07 | @ | Houghton | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | Utica | W | 65 - 40 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | SUNY Poly | W | 90 - 38 |
| 2025-01-17 | @ | Hartwick | W | 75 - 42 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Russell Sage | W | 62 - 52 |
| 2025-01-24 | vs | Elmira | W | 68 - 46 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Keuka | W | 84 - 55 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | St. John Fisher | L | 72 - 83 |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | SUNY Poly | W | 58 - 33 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Utica | W | 73 - 51 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | SUNY Brockport | L | 72 - 85 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | L | 59 - 75 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | Russell Sage | W | 75 - 56 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Hartwick | W | 81 - 36 |
| 2025-02-18 | vs | St. John Fisher | W | 74 - 53 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Russell Sage | W | 71 - 48 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | SUNY Brockport | L | 86 - 93 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Gress | - | 1 | 34.0 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 22 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 47.1 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 0.3 | 63.4 | 52.9 |
| Sarina Mcdowell | - | 4 | 30.8 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 13.8 | 13.2 | -44 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 56.4 | 80.0 | 70.6 | 0.14 | 62.4 | 60.0 |
| Tia Poulakidas | - | 1 | 28.0 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | -14 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 53.8 | 0.0 | 80.0 | -0.12 | 59.2 | 53.8 |
| Molly Benetti | - | 27 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 11.5 | 9.7 | -32 | -1.0 | -1.3 | 43.5 | 29.8 | 61.9 | 0.5 | 47.8 | 45.8 |
| Madalyn Kelly | - | 27 | 23.7 | 11.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 8.9 | 6.1 | -31 | -1.0 | -1.4 | 47.3 | 43.1 | 57.7 | 0.03 | 60.4 | 60.2 |
| Erin Lillis | - | 1 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 27 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 30.8 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.46 | 39.6 | 34.6 |
| Katie Maclachlan | - | 4 | 31.8 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 11.5 | 10.8 | 19 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 41.3 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 1.01 | 44.2 | 45.7 |
| Kiara Anglin | - | 26 | 26.2 | 7.9 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 12.0 | -73 | -2.4 | -2.8 | 40.8 | 22.2 | 63.2 | 0.12 | 50.3 | 43.9 |
| Claire Groenewoud | - | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 46 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.73 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Rylee Drahos | - | 1 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 16 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.03 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Payton Littlefield | - | 27 | 11.7 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 41 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 37.1 | 35.2 | 70.0 | 0.45 | 52.9 | 52.1 |
| Leah Fusilli | - | 24 | 17.6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 6.9 | -28 | -1.1 | -1.8 | 51.2 | 16.7 | 55.3 | -0.0 | 54.0 | 51.8 |
| Annelise Dexter | - | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 23 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Deniz Alparslan | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 30 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.23 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Madilann Johnson | - | 27 | 15.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 2.0 | -22 | -0.8 | -1.6 | 26.1 | 21.7 | 75.0 | -0.02 | 35.1 | 33.2 |
| Brayden Schultz | - | 24 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2.9 | -12 | -0.5 | -2.2 | 51.2 | 100.0 | 54.5 | -0.28 | 54.3 | 53.5 |
| Tessa Schuey | - | 26 | 9.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 | -20 | -0.7 | -1.7 | 28.1 | 18.2 | 70.0 | -0.11 | 37.3 | 34.4 |
| Morgan Caraballo | - | 24 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -7 | -0.3 | -0.8 | 47.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 51.5 |
| Chianna Williams | - | 26 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | -7 | -0.3 | -1.0 | 25.4 | 22.9 | 40.0 | 0.03 | 33.1 | 32.2 |
| Grace Corelli | - | 1 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 35 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.26 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Melis Alparslan | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -14 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Franki Gomez | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 25 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.15 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Macy Bacon | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -0.8 | -7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Sullivan | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -67 | -2.8 | -2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0 | 0 |
| Jazzy Perez | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Bridget Miller | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 44 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Allison Dauer | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Raquel Williams | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
| Peyton Jones | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -4.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG