🐻⬇️🏀

Nazareth

Also known as: Nazareth
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1060 (#122) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1101 (#100) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +4.5 (#137) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.920 (#223) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.5 More → 0.918 (#65) NetEff +18.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.9 More → 0.798 (#275) AdjNet +11.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.4 More → 0.794 (#275) AdjNet +11.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.638 (#280) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 62.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-13 vs Hilbert W 83 - 32
2024-11-16 vs Ohio Wesleyan L 67 - 80
2024-11-21 @ RIT L 65 - 71
2024-11-23 vs Rochester (NY) W 87 - 78
2024-12-07 vs Alfred W 70 - 62
2024-12-14 vs Lycoming W 71 - 50
2024-12-29 vs Elms W 95 - 59
2024-12-30 vs Hartford W 69 - 67
2025-01-02 @ NYU L 40 - 109
2025-01-03 @ Gwynedd Mercy W 78 - 62
2025-01-07 @ Houghton W 61 - 55
2025-01-10 vs Utica W 65 - 40
2025-01-11 vs SUNY Poly W 90 - 38
2025-01-17 @ Hartwick W 75 - 42
2025-01-18 @ Russell Sage W 62 - 52
2025-01-24 vs Elmira W 68 - 46
2025-01-25 vs Keuka W 84 - 55
2025-01-28 @ St. John Fisher L 72 - 83
2025-01-31 @ SUNY Poly W 58 - 33
2025-02-01 @ Utica W 73 - 51
2025-02-07 @ SUNY Brockport L 72 - 85
2025-02-08 @ SUNY Geneseo L 59 - 75
2025-02-14 vs Russell Sage W 75 - 56
2025-02-15 vs Hartwick W 81 - 36
2025-02-18 vs St. John Fisher W 74 - 53
2025-02-22 vs Russell Sage W 71 - 48
2025-02-26 @ SUNY Brockport L 86 - 93

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Abby Gress - 1 34.0 26.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 17.0 21.0 22 0.9 0.9 47.1 28.6 100.0 0.3 63.4 52.9
Sarina Mcdowell - 4 30.8 19.5 8.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 2.8 13.8 13.2 -44 -1.3 -1.7 56.4 80.0 70.6 0.14 62.4 60.0
Tia Poulakidas - 1 28.0 18.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 13.0 -14 -0.5 -0.7 53.8 0.0 80.0 -0.12 59.2 53.8
Molly Benetti - 27 25.0 12.0 6.5 1.9 0.9 2.1 2.2 11.5 9.7 -32 -1.0 -1.3 43.5 29.8 61.9 0.5 47.8 45.8
Madalyn Kelly - 27 23.7 11.3 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.6 1.5 8.9 6.1 -31 -1.0 -1.4 47.3 43.1 57.7 0.03 60.4 60.2
Erin Lillis - 1 28.0 11.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 6.0 27 1.1 1.3 30.8 25.0 100.0 0.46 39.6 34.6
Katie Maclachlan - 4 31.8 10.8 5.0 5.2 1.8 0.2 0.8 11.5 10.8 19 0.6 0.7 41.3 25.0 16.7 1.01 44.2 45.7
Kiara Anglin - 26 26.2 7.9 6.4 2.0 2.3 1.0 1.5 6.0 12.0 -73 -2.4 -2.8 40.8 22.2 63.2 0.12 50.3 43.9
Claire Groenewoud - 1 20.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 46 1.6 3.0 50.0 0.0 50.0 0.73 50.9 50.0
Rylee Drahos - 1 24.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 4.0 16 0.9 1.4 42.9 50.0 0 0.03 50.0 50.0
Payton Littlefield - 27 11.7 5.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 5.3 1.5 41 1.3 3.1 37.1 35.2 70.0 0.45 52.9 52.1
Leah Fusilli - 24 17.6 4.7 4.7 1.6 0.5 0.4 1.5 3.5 6.9 -28 -1.1 -1.8 51.2 16.7 55.3 -0.0 54.0 51.8
Annelise Dexter - 1 11.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 23 0.7 1.7 66.7 0.0 0 0.24 66.7 66.7
Deniz Alparslan - 1 12.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 30 1.0 2.3 50.0 0.0 0 0.23 50.0 50.0
Madilann Johnson - 27 15.9 2.5 1.7 1.9 0.7 0.0 1.4 3.4 2.0 -22 -0.8 -1.6 26.1 21.7 75.0 -0.02 35.1 33.2
Brayden Schultz - 24 6.0 2.2 2.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.8 2.9 -12 -0.5 -2.2 51.2 100.0 54.5 -0.28 54.3 53.5
Tessa Schuey - 26 9.9 2.0 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.7 -20 -0.7 -1.7 28.1 18.2 70.0 -0.11 37.3 34.4
Morgan Caraballo - 24 8.0 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.8 -7 -0.3 -0.8 47.1 33.3 50.0 0.0 52.0 51.5
Chianna Williams - 26 7.7 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.7 2.3 1.2 -7 -0.3 -1.0 25.4 22.9 40.0 0.03 33.1 32.2
Grace Corelli - 1 6.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 35 1.1 2.2 0 0 50.0 0.26 56.8 0
Melis Alparslan - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -14 -0.6 -2.2 0.0 0 0 0.02 0.0 0.0
Franki Gomez - 1 16.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 25 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.15 0.0 0.0
Macy Bacon - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -0.8 -7.0 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
Alex Sullivan - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -67 -2.8 -2.7 0 0 0 -0.59 0 0
Jazzy Perez - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7 0.6 2.1 0 0 0 -0.13 0 0
Bridget Miller - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 44 1.6 3.3 0.0 0 0 0.25 0.0 0.0
Allison Dauer - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Raquel Williams - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11 0.4 1.4 0 0 0 0.16 0 0
Peyton Jones - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -0.5 -4.9 0 0 0 -0.32 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG