🐻⬇️🏀

Nazareth

Also known as: Nazareth
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1079 (#79) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1093 (#106) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -4.2 (#184) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.726 (#332) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.4 More → 0.591 (#242) NetEff +3.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.5 More → 0.428 (#386) AdjNet -2.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.8 More → 0.420 (#386) AdjNet -2.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 77.2 More → 0.450 (#391) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 77.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs SUNY Potsdam W 82 - 73
2024-11-09 vs Rensselaer L 54 - 60
2024-11-21 vs RIT W 83 - 76
2024-11-23 @ Rochester (NY) L 61 - 79
2024-11-26 vs Oswego St. L 68 - 86
2024-11-27 @ Princeton L 63 - 99
2024-12-07 vs Alfred W 83 - 78
2024-12-17 vs Randolph W 96 - 90
2024-12-18 @ Lynchburg L 87 - 88
2024-12-30 @ Hartford W 74 - 65
2025-01-04 vs Saint Joseph (CT) W 78 - 75
2025-01-07 @ Houghton W 76 - 70
2025-01-10 vs Utica W 83 - 60
2025-01-11 vs SUNY Poly W 85 - 68
2025-01-17 @ Hartwick W 72 - 66
2025-01-18 @ Russell Sage L 69 - 71
2025-01-24 vs Elmira W 80 - 62
2025-01-25 vs Keuka W 87 - 58
2025-01-28 @ St. John Fisher W 82 - 80
2025-01-31 @ SUNY Poly W 74 - 56
2025-02-01 @ Utica L 77 - 87
2025-02-07 @ SUNY Brockport L 85 - 86
2025-02-08 @ SUNY Geneseo L 70 - 81
2025-02-14 vs Russell Sage L 58 - 76
2025-02-15 vs Hartwick W 88 - 75
2025-02-18 vs St. John Fisher W 77 - 64
2025-02-22 vs Russell Sage W 73 - 65
2025-02-26 @ Utica L 79 - 85

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaylen Savage - 28 34.6 20.6 6.0 1.9 1.6 0.4 1.9 18.0 10.5 1 0.1 0.1 44.1 39.6 87.9 0.49 52.4 47.9
Tyler Putney - 28 28.4 11.9 4.5 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.6 10.3 6.5 -12 -0.8 -1.3 38.1 37.0 84.2 -0.07 54.3 51.9
Merritt Holly - 28 20.9 10.8 7.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.4 11.3 60 3.0 8.3 63.5 0 70.1 0.28 66.9 63.5
Luke Insley - 28 33.1 10.6 2.5 6.6 0.4 0.1 1.5 8.8 9.9 53 2.3 5.4 47.4 0.0 72.1 0.96 52.0 47.4
Solomon McFarlane - 27 23.4 8.1 2.9 1.0 1.8 0.0 0.7 7.3 5.9 57 3.0 8.3 36.7 36.4 77.8 0.75 50.7 46.9
Jack Broderick - 24 13.8 6.3 3.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 5.7 3.5 15 1.9 9.0 46.0 29.6 81.8 0.08 51.8 48.9
Liam Hopwood - 28 12.6 2.2 4.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.8 5.7 -8 -0.8 -3.0 49.0 0 48.1 0.41 50.1 49.0
Zachary McFarland - 28 6.7 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.0 0.9 12 0.8 4.9 39.3 36.4 100.0 0.38 51.5 50.0
Ryan Broderick - 28 10.1 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.0 0.7 13 1.6 18.7 32.1 30.4 25.0 -0.18 44.1 44.6
Will Burnett - 27 5.8 1.8 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.6 1.3 9 1.8 39.1 47.7 22.2 66.7 -0.57 51.5 50.0
Gabe Lucarelli - 27 6.2 0.9 2.2 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.7 2.9 8 1.3 17.0 47.4 0 55.6 -0.35 50.1 47.4
Cameron Orr - 27 3.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 -0.2 4 0.8 14.9 17.9 13.6 0 -0.58 23.2 23.2
Marcus Shepard - 24 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 50.0 -1.45 23.0 20.0
Aiden Hathorn - 24 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 35 3.5 518.5 33.3 100.0 0 -1.07 50.0 50.0
Logan Shiland - 24 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3 0.5 54.1 33.3 33.3 0 -1.16 50.0 50.0
Abram Wasileski - 24 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 18 3.0 1963.6 0 0 0 -1.47 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG