🐻⬇️🏀

Navy

Also known as: Navy
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1052 (#175) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1082 (#182) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 998 (#474) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +11.7 (#210) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#40) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +38.7 More → 0.989 (#50) AdjNet +38.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +39.1 More → 0.992 (#43) AdjNet +39.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.0 | AdjD 63.7 More → 0.893 (#104) AdjO 87.0 | AdjD 63.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 68.9 More → 0.664 (#130) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 68.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.824 (#76) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.804 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 302 | GP 2 More → 1084 (#223) RD 302 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Washington Col. W 97 - 64
2025-12-21 vs Rosemont W 70 - 23

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Aidan Kehoe - 2 21.4 14.5 9.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 8.5 16.5 - - - 76.5 0 42.9 - 72.2 76.5
Donovan Draper - 2 25.1 14.0 7.5 3.5 2.5 0.0 1.5 9.0 17.0 - - - 50.0 16.7 90.0 - 62.5 52.8
Austin Benigni - 2 20.1 9.5 3.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 1.5 4.0 10.5 - - - 62.5 75.0 85.7 - 85.7 81.2
Cam Cole - 2 21.2 8.5 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 8.0 - - - 54.5 55.6 0 - 77.3 77.3
Mike Woods - 2 21.8 8.0 7.0 5.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 4.5 14.0 - - - 55.6 0.0 100.0 - 68.7 55.6
Jinwoo Kim - 2 21.4 7.0 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.5 3.5 36 1.9 11.8 33.3 33.3 50.0 0.16 44.1 43.3
Jerry Ashley Jr. - 2 8.2 4.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 5.0 6 1.2 67.9 100.0 0 0.0 0.13 82.0 100.0
David Burnett - 2 7.7 4.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 4.5 - - - 80.0 0 0.0 - 68.0 80.0
Jordan Pennick - 2 16.5 3.5 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 16.7 25.0 66.7 - 40.5 25.0
Cam Cormany - 2 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Julian Gabbidon - 2 2.2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Cooper Jackson - 2 6.6 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.5 58 2.5 16.3 0.0 0 75.0 1.67 54.3 0.0
Matt Gaffney - 2 2.9 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Owen Gray - 2 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Nyles Howard - 2 6.3 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.0 -7 -0.3 -7.8 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.05 21.0 0.0
Sam Krist - 2 9.3 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 -0.5 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Tobi Raji - 1 1.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG