Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2004 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1168 (#59) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1053 (#126) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.3 (#156) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.801 (#27) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.929 (#34) | NetEff +26.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.549 (#144) | AdjNet +1.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.547 (#145) | AdjNet +1.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.508 (#155) | AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 70.5 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-24 | vs | Navy | L | 71 - 88 |
| 2003-11-28 | vs | Navy | L | 46 - 86 |
| 2003-11-30 | @ | - | W | 65 - 60 |
| 2003-12-13 | vs | Gettysburg | W | 61 - 60 |
| 2003-12-18 | vs | Washington College | W | 95 - 66 |
| 2003-12-20 | vs | Ohio | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2003-12-27 | vs | Navy | L | 53 - 54 |
| 2003-12-31 | vs | Southern Methodist | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2004-01-03 | vs | Loyola (MD) | W | 58 - 54 |
| 2004-01-07 | @ | - | W | 99 - 52 |
| 2004-01-14 | vs | American | L | 58 - 80 |
| 2004-01-17 | @ | - | W | 87 - 46 |
| 2004-01-23 | @ | - | W | 88 - 54 |
| 2004-01-25 | @ | - | W | 91 - 84 |
| 2004-01-30 | vs | Navy | L | 50 - 52 |
| 2004-02-01 | vs | Lafayette | L | 50 - 65 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Lehigh | L | 38 - 66 |
| 2004-02-14 | vs | Navy | L | 52 - 54 |
| 2004-02-20 | vs | Navy | L | 59 - 60 |
| 2004-02-22 | vs | Navy | L | 47 - 76 |
| 2004-02-28 | @ | - | L | 37 - 43 |
| 2004-03-06 | vs | Lehigh | L | 60 - 62 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hooper | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Carlton Baldwin | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jeff Charles | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Matt Fannin | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Laramie Mergerson | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Kwame Ofori | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Mike Higgins | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Taj Mathews | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| George O'Garro | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leonard Green | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Chika Onyekanne | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jason Fernandez | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Kelvin Boatner | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Calvin White | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Thom Knapp | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| David Rhoiney | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Adam Allegro | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jason Deane | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Adam Hudson | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Rob Paul | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Adam Lane | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG