NJIT
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 812 (#271) | Preseason prior 822 (returning production + recruiting): last season 884, returning +12, transfers -62, freshmen -13 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 908 (#263) | HCA +229 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 947 (#271) | HCA +229 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -17.6 (#350) | HCA +0.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -17.5 (#351) | HCA +0.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.139 (#317) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.194 (#356) | AdjNet -23.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.191 (#356) | AdjNet -23.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.259 (#349) | AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.277 (#360) | AdjO 57.5 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.236 (#342) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.239 (#343) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 892 (#265) | RD 181 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.225 (#304) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Dayton Flyers | L | 58 - 89 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Iona Gaels | L | 49 - 72 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Saint Peter's Peacocks | W | 54 - 52 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | VCU Rams | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Fairfield Stags | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victor Vanderstraeten
|
F | 3 | 27.7 | 9.3 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 5.0 | -36 | 2 | -18.0 | -29.3 | 52.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.27 | 52.8 | 52.2 |
Matheo Coffi
|
F | 3 | 29.7 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 10.0 | -31 | 2 | -15.5 | -22.0 | 52.9 | 42.9 | 62.5 | -0.73 | 63.4 | 61.8 |
Brandon Stores Jr.
|
G | 3 | 22.7 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 8.7 | 2.0 | -16 | 2 | -8.0 | -17.4 | 26.9 | 25.0 | 60.0 | -0.53 | 37.8 | 32.7 |
David Bolden
|
G | 3 | 29.3 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -18 | 2 | -9.0 | -13.0 | 19.0 | 28.6 | 88.9 | -1.19 | 40.1 | 28.6 |
Mario Tatum Jr.
|
G | 3 | 23.7 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 6.7 | 1.3 | -41 | 2 | -20.5 | -34.5 | 25.0 | 14.3 | 70.0 | -1.62 | 36.9 | 27.5 |
Quentin Duncan
|
G | 2 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -5.3 | 30.0 | 22.2 | 50.0 | -1.16 | 41.4 | 40.0 |
John Kelly
|
F | 3 | 20.7 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 2.3 | -38 | 2 | -19.0 | -31.1 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 54.5 | -2.73 | 40.4 | 30.0 |
Brendan Oliver
|
F | 2 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -29 | 2 | -14.5 | -53.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -2.07 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
Rocco Awad
|
G | 3 | 16.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 | -27 | 2 | -13.5 | -34.5 | 30.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.58 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
Jayonni Durrough
|
G | 2 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | -7 | 2 | -3.5 | -23.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.23 | 38.8 | 33.3 |
AJ Altobelli
|
G | 3 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -21 | 2 | -10.5 | -41.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.89 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic
|
C | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4 | 2 | -2.0 | -28.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Zack Scherler
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
156 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Victor VanderstraetenMatheo CoffiBrandon Stores Jr.David BoldenMario Tatum Jr.AJ AltobelliJohn Kelly
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 20-36 | 55.6 | 40 | Victor Vanderstraeten 35% (14 pts) | Matheo Coffi 20% (8 pts) | David Bolden 25% (4 misses) | Mario Tatum Jr. 19% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 13-33 | 39.4 | 26 | Victor Vanderstraeten 38% (10 pts) | Brandon Stores Jr. 23% (6 pts) | Brandon Stores Jr. 25% (5 misses) | Victor Vanderstraeten 20% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-9 | 44.4 | 8 | AJ Altobelli 25% (2 pts) | Brendan Oliver 25% (2 pts) | David Bolden 40% (2 misses) | Mario Tatum Jr. 40% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Brandon Stores Jr. 67% (2 misses) | Mario Tatum Jr. 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 1-7 | 14.3 | 2 | John Kelly 100% (2 pts) | - | Brandon Stores Jr. 17% (1 misses) | Brendan Oliver 17% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Brandon Stores Jr. 100% (3 pts) | - | John Kelly 67% (2 misses) | David Bolden 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-8 | 12.5 | 3 | Matheo Coffi 100% (3 pts) | - | John Kelly 43% (3 misses) | Brandon Stores Jr. 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-23 | 26.1 | 18 | David Bolden 50% (9 pts) | Brandon Stores Jr. 17% (3 pts) | David Bolden 24% (4 misses) | Quentin Duncan 18% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-10 | 10.0 | 3 | Matheo Coffi 100% (3 pts) | - | Mario Tatum Jr. 33% (3 misses) | Brandon Stores Jr. 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-23 | 26.1 | 18 | Brandon Stores Jr. 17% (3 pts) | David Bolden 17% (3 pts) | Brandon Stores Jr. 24% (4 misses) | David Bolden 24% (4 misses) |