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NIU

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2020 2019 2018 2016 2015
Also known as: NIU
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1020 (#307) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1034 (#309) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1004 (#422) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +28.0 (#68) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#130) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.7 More → 0.961 (#129) AdjNet +27.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.5 More → 0.964 (#130) AdjNet +27.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 94.9 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.903 (#95) AdjO 94.9 | AdjD 70.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 85.1 | AdjD 74.2 More → 0.730 (#81) AdjO 85.1 | AdjD 74.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.857 (#51) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.818 (#67) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1080 (#231) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-13 vs Benedictine (IL) W 117 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daemar Kelly - 1 22.0 18.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 16.0 - - - 75.0 50.0 80.0 - 88.2 87.5
Makhai Valentine - 1 22.6 17.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 17.0 - - - 45.5 20.0 85.7 - 60.4 50.0
Taj Walters - 1 17.7 13.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 14.0 - - - 60.0 60.0 100.0 - 96.2 90.0
Hassan Washington - 1 16.7 13.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 10.0 - - - 62.5 66.7 50.0 - 73.2 75.0
Jao Ituka - 1 14.5 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 50.0 - 72.7 75.0
Gianni Cobb - 1 25.1 9.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 12.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Ladji Kante - 1 17.7 9.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 10.0 - - - 40.0 50.0 66.7 - 58.9 50.0
Isaiah Washington - 1 13.0 9.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 - - - 75.0 100.0 100.0 - 92.2 87.5
Carlos Coronado Jr. - 1 15.6 6.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 11.0 57 4.4 17.9 100.0 0 57.1 2.97 73.5 100.0
Jaylen Wharton - 1 14.2 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 73 5.6 2217.7 33.3 0 100.0 0.78 43.6 33.3
Gustav Winther - 1 12.7 5.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 86.8 100.0
Isaiah Stewart - 1 5.3 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Max Laskey - 1 2.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG