NC State
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1295 (#44) | Preseason prior 1290 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1082, returning +44, transfers +153, freshmen +10 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1185 (#45) | HCA +224 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1098 (#44) | HCA +223 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +8.0 (#89) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +7.7 (#93) | HCA +1.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.858 (#54) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.727 (#59) | AdjNet +9.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.728 (#59) | AdjNet +9.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.689 (#58) | AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.638 (#61) | AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.722 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.713 (#61) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1216 (#42) | RD 200 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.813 (#48) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Campbell Fighting Camels | W | 83 - 64 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Presbyterian Blue Hose | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Troy Trojans | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Preston Edmead
|
G | 2 | 32.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 14.5 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 12.7 | 52.9 | 45.5 | 87.5 | 0.46 | 73.1 | 67.6 |
Christian Hammond
|
G | 2 | 28.0 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 37.5 | 0 | 0.92 | 67.5 | 67.5 |
Paul McNeil
|
G | 2 | 28.5 | 13.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.5 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 35.3 | 100.0 | - | 56.1 | 47.6 |
Ven-Allen Lubin
|
F | 2 | 26.0 | 12.5 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 80.0 | 50.0 | 0.33 | 97.0 | 100.0 |
Darius Adams
|
G | 2 | 21.5 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 7.0 | -4 | 1 | -4.0 | -44.2 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 71.4 | -0.89 | 55.6 | 50.0 |
Kyle Evans
|
F | 2 | 19.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 10.5 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.87 | 60.4 | 50.0 |
Eemeli Yalaho
|
F | 2 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 4.0 | 26.9 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.67 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Zymicah Wilkins
|
F | 2 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 51.5 | 66.7 |
RJ Keene
|
G | 2 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 11.5 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.49 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Robert Jurkovic
|
F | 2 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -0.5 | -4 | 1 | -4.0 | -64.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Kingston Whitty
|
G | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jacari Brim
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Comeh Emuobor
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Shah Hall
|
F | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former NC State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last NC State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Martin | 2014-16 | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | 6 | 18.3 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 11-08 2 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast | 6 GP, 4.2 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 0.7 APG |
| T.J. Warren | 2012-14 | EuroLeague | Paris Basketball | 6 | 19.7 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 11-05 13 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast | 2 GP, 16.0 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 2016-17 | G League | Sioux Falls Skyforce | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-08 0 pts, 0 reb, 5 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 1.0 PPG, 0.5 RPG, 4.5 APG |
| Jarkel Joiner | 2022-23 | G League | Greensboro Swarm | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-07 8 pts, 1 reb, 5 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 13.5 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 4.0 APG |
| Omer Yurtseven | 2016-18 | G League | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-06 12 pts, 8 reb, 0 ast Play-In | 1 GP, 12.0 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 0.0 APG |
| Lorenzo Brown | 2010-13 | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | 5 | 15.3 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 11-04 11 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast | 4 GP, 4.5 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 3.5 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Dennis Smith Jr. | G League Play-In | Sioux Falls Skyforce | @ Grand Rapids Gold | 15 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Caleb Martin | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | vs Brooklyn Nets | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Jarkel Joiner | G League Play-In | Greensboro Swarm | vs Long Island Nets | 26 | 8 | 1 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Dennis Smith Jr. | G League Play-In | Sioux Falls Skyforce | @ Grand Rapids Gold | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Omer Yurtseven | G League Play-In | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | vs Austin Spurs | 28 | 12 | 8 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Jarkel Joiner | G League Play-In | Greensboro Swarm | vs Long Island Nets | 29 | 19 | 4 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Caleb Martin | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | vs Utah Jazz | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | T.J. Warren | EuroLeague | Paris Basketball | @ Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 17 | 13 | 5 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Lorenzo Brown | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | vs Aris Thessaloniki | 19 | 11 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Caleb Martin | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | @ San Antonio Spurs | 20 | 0 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-28 | Lorenzo Brown | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | @ Le Mans Sarthe Basket | 19 | 7 | 0 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-10-21 | Lorenzo Brown | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | vs Riga Zelli | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-16 | Jarkel Joiner | NBA Preseason | Charlotte Hornets | @ Memphis Grizzlies | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-14 | T.J. Warren | EuroLeague | Paris Basketball | vs Virtus Bologna | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-07 | T.J. Warren | EuroLeague | Paris Basketball | vs LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 22 | 9 | 2 | 3 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
114 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Christian HammondVen-Allen LubinPreston EdmeadPaul McNeilDarius AdamsEemeli YalahoKyle EvansRobert Jurkovic
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 14-17 | 82.4 | 28 | Ven-Allen Lubin 29% (8 pts) | Christian Hammond 14% (4 pts) | Eemeli Yalaho 33% (1 misses) | Kyle Evans 33% (1 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 16-29 | 55.2 | 32 | Christian Hammond 31% (10 pts) | Preston Edmead 19% (6 pts) | Kyle Evans 31% (4 misses) | Darius Adams 23% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-2 | 50.0 | 2 | Christian Hammond 100% (2 pts) | - | Darius Adams 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range center | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Christian Hammond 100% (2 pts) | - | Robert Jurkovic 50% (1 misses) | Ven-Allen Lubin 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 0-5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Paul McNeil 40% (2 misses) | Christian Hammond 20% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-10 | 50.0 | 15 | Christian Hammond 20% (3 pts) | Paul McNeil 20% (3 pts) | Paul McNeil 40% (2 misses) | Christian Hammond 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-8 | 25.0 | 6 | Darius Adams 50% (3 pts) | Preston Edmead 50% (3 pts) | Paul McNeil 33% (2 misses) | Preston Edmead 33% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-18 | 44.4 | 24 | Paul McNeil 38% (9 pts) | Christian Hammond 25% (6 pts) | Paul McNeil 30% (3 misses) | Christian Hammond 20% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-8 | 50.0 | 12 | Eemeli Yalaho 25% (3 pts) | Kyle Evans 25% (3 pts) | Preston Edmead 50% (2 misses) | Kingston Whitty 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-14 | 35.7 | 15 | Preston Edmead 40% (6 pts) | Ven-Allen Lubin 40% (6 pts) | Paul McNeil 33% (3 misses) | Eemeli Yalaho 22% (2 misses) |