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N.C. Wesleyan

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: N.C. Wesleyan
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1057 (#167) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1101 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1082 (#114) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -1.9 (#219) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -5.5 (#448) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.541 (#438) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.0 More → 0.285 (#462) AdjNet -8.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.1 More → 0.279 (#465) AdjNet -8.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 79.3 More → 0.371 (#462) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 79.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 77.5 More → 0.497 (#417) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 77.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.467 (#431) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.479 (#425) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 21 More → 1095 (#184) RD 107 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs JWU Charlotte - Incomplete score
2025-11-09 @ Bridgewater (VA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 vs Guilford - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Randolph - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Chris. Newport - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Regent - Incomplete score
2025-12-05 vs Mid-Atlantic Christ. - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Apprentice - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 @ Regent - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 @ Mary Washington - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Piedmont - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Pfeiffer - Incomplete score
2026-01-06 @ Mary Baldwin - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Greensboro - Incomplete score
2026-01-11 vs Brevard - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Southern Va. - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ William Peace - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Mary Baldwin - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 @ Pfeiffer - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Methodist - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Greensboro - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nasir Johnson - 21 33.6 18.1 3.5 2.2 1.8 0.1 1.0 13.0 11.7 -63 -3.0 -12.2 56.4 45.2 68.8 -0.54 63.1 61.5
Rashod Smith - 20 31.4 15.4 3.5 5.3 2.0 0.0 1.9 9.4 14.8 -57 -2.7 -12.8 51.1 31.0 77.8 0.76 63.3 55.9
Markquan Gilbert - 21 18.6 11.5 3.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.3 8.0 7.1 -61 -2.8 -20.9 58.7 0.0 63.9 -1.71 60.9 58.7
James Jones - 21 29.1 10.1 3.7 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.8 8.8 6.5 -45 -1.3 -11.6 39.7 35.9 64.5 0.4 53.6 52.2
Justin Burden - 21 22.7 9.3 6.4 1.0 0.7 0.2 1.4 7.8 8.5 -49 -2.1 -16.0 46.6 28.6 76.6 -0.71 53.4 49.1
Ro'Mello Pegues - 18 14.3 6.4 1.7 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.9 4.3 4.2 -70 -3.7 -48.5 48.1 28.6 80.4 -1.16 59.1 50.6
Deejayy Cox - 20 27.3 6.0 6.3 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.6 4.3 9.9 -34 -1.5 -9.9 49.4 44.4 70.7 0.38 56.6 51.7
Omari Bolden - 9 13.7 3.3 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.6 -26 -2.6 -11.8 40.9 16.7 84.6 -1.89 54.1 43.2
DJ Benbow - 10 6.0 3.2 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 2.1 1.8 -47 -3.9 -103.8 57.1 50.0 60.0 -2.74 63.0 61.9
Marcus Portis - 9 4.3 2.4 1.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.7 -17 -1.7 -194.3 64.3 0 57.1 -0.78 64.4 64.3
Josh Laney - 17 8.0 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.7 0.8 -100 -5.9 -120.8 24.1 25.0 100.0 -6.1 37.4 32.8
Adefisayo Adebimpe - 19 5.6 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.6 1.2 -51 -2.5 -172.4 33.3 16.7 81.2 -2.09 57.8 37.5
Brayden Blue - 9 2.7 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 -10 -1.2 -125.7 42.9 50.0 50.0 -0.12 50.8 50.0
Jordan Dancy - 9 2.7 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 -14 -2.0 -74.7 50.0 0 75.0 -0.97 60.8 50.0
Zarion Williams - 5 2.3 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 -5 -1.7 -130.4 0.0 0 0 0.38 0.0 0.0
Dahir Hagi - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG