Muskingum
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1013 (#224) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1023 (#294) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 971 (#538) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.2 (#216) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.1 (#411) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.189 (#590) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.233 (#437) | NetEff -9.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.412 (#406) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.401 (#406) | AdjNet -3.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.436 (#413) | AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.458 (#454) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.418 (#443) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.425 (#438) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 979 (#343) | RD 102 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Denison | L | 48 - 104 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Asbury | W | 89 - 81 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Maryville (TN) | W | 58 - 51 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Capital | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Mount Union | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Waynesburg | W | 75 - 74 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Heidelberg | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 80 - 60 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 54 - 59 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | L | 76 - 86 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Otterbein | L | 54 - 85 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Marietta | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | L | 39 - 63 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Heidelberg | W | 88 - 65 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Capital | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Mount Union | L | 73 - 79 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mya Jones | - | 1 | 19.2 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | -87 | -4.6 | -34.5 | 83.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.5 | 81.5 | 83.3 |
| Brenna Williams | - | 1 | 13.2 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -66 | -3.5 | -53.6 | 57.1 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.66 | 66.5 | 57.1 |
| Tori See | - | 1 | 31.8 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | -177 | -9.3 | -36.4 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -4.79 | 34.0 | 26.7 |
| Tori Jones | - | 16 | 29.8 | 11.4 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 10.2 | 5.2 | -40 | -1.9 | -9.5 | 39.3 | 31.8 | 65.6 | 1.41 | 51.7 | 49.7 |
| Claudia Harrington | - | 16 | 28.7 | 11.1 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 9.9 | 8.8 | -20 | -1.0 | -4.6 | 41.1 | 37.3 | 66.7 | -2.57 | 51.3 | 49.1 |
| Mckinzi Linscott | - | 16 | 29.1 | 9.9 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 7.8 | 11.2 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 44.4 | 40.0 | 85.7 | 1.14 | 58.0 | 54.0 |
| Malia Mizeres | - | 1 | 31.1 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | -151 | -7.9 | -34.3 | 27.3 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 0.54 | 37.9 | 36.4 |
| McKenna Baney | - | 16 | 23.0 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 5.4 | -19 | -0.9 | -6.4 | 43.0 | 22.5 | 62.3 | 1.12 | 51.4 | 47.2 |
| Julia Jaenke | - | 16 | 19.0 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 6.8 | 2.6 | -85 | -4.0 | -31.8 | 34.9 | 19.5 | 56.8 | -3.72 | 41.9 | 38.5 |
| Courtney Hivick | - | 16 | 24.1 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 5.8 | 3.3 | -3 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 35.5 | 23.1 | 58.7 | 1.47 | 42.4 | 37.1 |
| Emma Crow | - | 1 | 18.6 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | -18 | -3.0 | -10.4 | 18.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -2.02 | 25.3 | 27.3 |
| Evie Burke | - | 1 | 16.7 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -152 | -11.7 | -67.2 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.95 | 43.4 | 37.5 |
| Shelby Lott | - | 7 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 34.6 | 36.0 | 100.0 | -1.22 | 53.9 | 51.9 |
| Lizzy Allen | - | 16 | 18.0 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 0.8 | -81 | -3.9 | -35.0 | 22.7 | 22.8 | 66.7 | -2.49 | 32.8 | 31.3 |
| Abby Tier | - | 1 | 18.8 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -89 | -7.4 | -33.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.21 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Makiya Edwards | - | 16 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2.2 | -91 | -4.3 | -77.8 | 41.2 | 31.6 | 29.4 | -5.3 | 47.0 | 50.0 |
| Olivia Dement | - | 7 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -8 | -0.8 | -18.1 | 38.5 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.95 | 54.0 | 53.8 |
| Priya Mericle | - | 1 | 9.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -54 | -3.6 | -37.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -4.63 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Sydney Reynolds | - | 16 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | -28 | -1.3 | -21.8 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.86 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Laurell Brown | - | 10 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | -20 | -1.5 | -26.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.75 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Kendall Dye | - | 7 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | -7 | -0.7 | -15.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.72 | 68.7 | 100.0 |
| Bailey Dement | - | 10 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | -11 | -0.8 | -16.1 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.24 | 30.1 | 22.2 |
| Abby Boeing | - | 9 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | -35 | -2.7 | -63.8 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -1.61 | 21.0 | 16.7 |
| Karlee Rose | - | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.8 | -46.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Sasha Nichols | - | 4 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 5 | 0.7 | 21.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.34 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hannah Hunt | - | 1 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | -158 | -9.3 | -37.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -5.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Olivia Nolting | - | 1 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | -85 | -5.0 | -22.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG