Muskingum
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1057 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1104 (#94) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.3 (#94) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.416 (#516) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.550 (#261) | NetEff +1.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.469 (#366) | AdjNet -1.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.463 (#368) | AdjNet -1.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.484 (#361) | AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 76.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Rochester (NY) | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Oswego St. | L | 67 - 79 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Wittenberg | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Earlham | W | 86 - 67 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | La Roche | L | 83 - 91 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Kenyon | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | W | 93 - 76 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Heidelberg | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | W | 77 - 46 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Allegheny | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Ohio | L | 52 - 103 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Capital | W | 90 - 79 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Otterbein | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Marietta | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | John Carroll | L | 64 - 91 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Mount Union | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Heidelberg | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Capital | W | 90 - 64 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Ohio Northern | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Mount Union | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Otterbein | L | 76 - 81 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Marietta | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | John Carroll | L | 84 - 90 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Otterbein | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | John Carroll | L | 62 - 80 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duane Davis | - | 28 | 34.2 | 18.0 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 15.4 | 10.0 | -112 | -4.5 | -12.4 | 48.8 | 22.8 | 53.0 | 1.11 | 51.5 | 50.3 |
| Owen Emig | - | 28 | 30.5 | 13.1 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 11.3 | 4.9 | -58 | -4.1 | -6.3 | 39.1 | 35.8 | 83.8 | 0.69 | 53.0 | 49.1 |
| Luken Hill | - | 28 | 26.0 | 8.9 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 7.2 | 11.2 | -66 | -4.4 | -9.0 | 38.3 | 32.2 | 68.0 | 0.31 | 51.0 | 45.3 |
| Zaveon Croff | - | 28 | 21.0 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.1 | 6.4 | -98 | -7.5 | -18.6 | 46.7 | 29.8 | 60.9 | 0.54 | 53.4 | 51.0 |
| Nathan Walker | - | 28 | 25.0 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.6 | 7.5 | -35 | -2.7 | -4.2 | 42.4 | 42.0 | 66.7 | 1.24 | 57.1 | 55.7 |
| DJ Fowler | - | 27 | 16.1 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 3.9 | -2 | -0.3 | -0.8 | 43.0 | 28.6 | 71.2 | 0.21 | 51.9 | 47.2 |
| Alieu Ceesay | - | 28 | 13.4 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 4.1 | -67 | -4.2 | -22.9 | 45.5 | 12.5 | 69.0 | -0.18 | 50.6 | 46.0 |
| Brett Devault | - | 27 | 12.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 3.7 | -2 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.47 | 51.2 | 45.8 |
| Terrell Darden | - | 28 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.8 | -18 | -1.5 | -12.2 | 36.2 | 20.8 | 64.3 | 0.12 | 43.6 | 40.5 |
| Reed Coconis | - | 28 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | -8 | -1.3 | -7.5 | 30.8 | 29.4 | 0.0 | -0.03 | 39.1 | 40.4 |
| Ethan Taylor | - | 28 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.45 | 48.7 | 50.0 |
| Alex Coffey | - | 22 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 39.6 | 38.5 |
| Phil Towns | - | 28 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 87.5 | -0.95 | 26.8 | 11.8 |
| Tanner Holbert | - | 28 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 30.0 | 0.0 | - | 41.4 | 45.0 |
| Logan Stotzer | - | 28 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -0.0 | 2 | 0.5 | 29.6 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 0 | -1.1 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Shane Knepp | - | 28 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.7 | 8.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Korey Robinson | - | 28 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 0.7 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.76 | 22.5 | 25.0 |
| Kevin Darthard | - | 24 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG