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Murray State

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

73.0
PPG
68.0
Opp
+5.0
Margin
37.6%
FG%
32.2%
3P%
83.0%
FT%
41.5
RPG
12.5
APG
17.0
TO
74.8
Est. poss./game
65.6
Adj PPG
61.9
Adj Opp PPG
#32
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1465 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1156, returning +338, transfers -28, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 1417 (#27) Preseason prior 1465 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1156, returning +338, transfers -28, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1308 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +225 elo More โ†’ 1151 (#26) HCA +225 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +9.3 More โ†’ +18.9 (#32) HCA +9.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +9.3 More โ†’ +18.2 (#32) HCA +9.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.925 (#46) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.4 More โ†’ 0.838 (#36) AdjNet +7.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.6 More โ†’ 0.843 (#36) AdjNet +7.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 61.9 More โ†’ 0.809 (#32) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 61.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 61.9 More โ†’ 0.739 (#34) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 61.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.844 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.833 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 195 | GP 2 More โ†’ 1305 (#26) RD 195 | GP 2

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles W 82 - 67
2026-11-06 vs Rice Owls L 64 - 69
2026-11-08 vs Princeton Tigers - Preview
2026-11-12 vs Morehead State Eagles - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Halli Poock Halli Poock G 2 29.5 20.0 1.0 4.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 17.5 6.5 26 2 13.0 17.3 34.3 38.1 61.5 3.94 49.1 45.7
Sharnecce Currie-Jelks Sharnecce Currie-Jelks F 2 30.5 14.5 10.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 2.0 11.0 15.0 6 2 3.0 4.0 45.5 0.0 100.0 -0.16 55.9 45.5
Haven Ford Haven Ford G 2 32.0 13.5 7.5 2.0 2.0 0.5 2.0 12.0 11.5 -3 2 -1.5 -1.9 33.3 30.8 87.5 -0.46 49.1 41.7
Claire Johnson Claire Johnson G 2 24.0 9.5 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 3.5 5.5 6.0 2 2 1.0 1.7 54.5 42.9 80.0 0.46 72.0 68.2
Keslyn Secrist Keslyn Secrist G 2 26.5 4.5 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 3.5 3.0 12 2 6.0 9.1 42.9 33.3 100.0 0.35 57.1 50.0
Katie Reed Katie Reed F 2 10.5 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 3 2 1.5 5.6 33.3 50.0 100.0 -0.16 58.1 50.0
Sophie Terry Sophie Terry F 1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4 1 4.0 181.1 100.0 100.0 0 -0.38 150.0 150.0
Destiny Thomas Destiny Thomas G 2 11.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 - - - - 0 0 83.3 - 94.7 0
Sydney Huber Sydney Huber G 2 27.0 2.0 3.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 5.0 -1.0 8 2 4.0 6.0 10.0 0.0 100.0 -0.25 18.4 10.0
Jaidynn Askins Jaidynn Askins F 2 7.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.0 -10 2 -5.0 -28.4 100.0 0 0 -1.9 100.0 100.0
Cam Hoover Cam Hoover F 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -2.11 0 0
Mary Grant Mary Grant G 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 2 -1.0 -114.3 0 0 0 -0.41 0 0
Alice Magnanini Alice Magnanini G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

117 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Currie-Jelks44% Ford50% Poock50% Poock50% Currie-Jelks100% Ford100% Terry100% Poock40% Poock50% Poock60%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Currie-Jelks38% Currie-Jelks36% Poock67% Currie-Jelks50% Poock100% Poock50% Johnson25% Poock42% Poock50% Huber56%
Misses: who misses most here

Halli PoockHaven FordSharnecce Currie-JelksClaire JohnsonSophie TerrySydney Huber

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 16-29 55.2 32 Sharnecce Currie-Jelks 44% (14 pts) Claire Johnson 19% (6 pts) Sharnecce Currie-Jelks 38% (5 misses) Halli Poock 31% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 4-15 26.7 8 Haven Ford 50% (4 pts) Halli Poock 25% (2 pts) Sharnecce Currie-Jelks 36% (4 misses) Haven Ford 18% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 2-5 40.0 4 Halli Poock 50% (2 pts) Haven Ford 50% (2 pts) Halli Poock 67% (2 misses) Haven Ford 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-6 33.3 4 Halli Poock 50% (2 pts) Sharnecce Currie-Jelks 50% (2 pts) Sharnecce Currie-Jelks 50% (2 misses) Halli Poock 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-3 33.3 2 Sharnecce Currie-Jelks 100% (2 pts) - Halli Poock 100% (2 misses) -
Left corner 3 1-5 20.0 3 Haven Ford 100% (3 pts) - Halli Poock 50% (2 misses) Haven Ford 50% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 1-5 20.0 3 Sophie Terry 100% (3 pts) - Claire Johnson 25% (1 misses) Haven Ford 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 10-29 34.5 30 Halli Poock 40% (12 pts) Claire Johnson 20% (6 pts) Halli Poock 42% (8 misses) Sydney Huber 21% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-6 33.3 6 Halli Poock 50% (3 pts) Haven Ford 50% (3 pts) Halli Poock 50% (2 misses) Haven Ford 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-14 35.7 15 Halli Poock 60% (9 pts) Claire Johnson 20% (3 pts) Sydney Huber 56% (5 misses) Haven Ford 22% (2 misses)